Likely to be entered for both . Late decision depending on other entries and ground id say. There will be plenty like that. GE felt he wasn't himself last time as well.
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2025 Ryanair Chase
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Originally posted by BuckingThe Trend View Post
I've tried to tell you lads before. My Nan said never back 10 year olds in G1's at Cheltenham Festival. She is rarely wrong. Trust me.
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Originally posted by BuckingThe Trend View Post
I've tried to tell you lads before. My Nan said never back 10 year olds in G1's at Cheltenham Festival. She is rarely wrong. Trust me.
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I am well on board with ignoring 10yr olds+ in grade one races at the festival.
However, I can also play with stats all day long.
In 20 renewals of the Ryanair, we have had 3 10yr old winners. (I could pretty much guarantee that they've not made up more than 15% of the runners in that time) So effectively outperforming all other age groups.
And 45% of winners were aged either 9 or 10.
In the last 8 renewals 50% were aged 9 or over
2 x 10 year olds filled the places last year also.
In previous years, not many that age have tried, I think it averages roughly 1 per renewal.
In all seriousness, of all the races I'd say the Champion Chase, Ryanair and the modern stayers hurdle all probably need to have a softer approach to the hard and fast "10yr olds have no chance mantra" which I've championed on many an occasion (when it suited )
Most importantly of all, The UK horse racing population is so short of genuine grade 1 performers at the moment then the ones that are, and have a fairly clear target, should be watched for potential value as the Irish challenge will thin out naturally as we approach the festival. Compared to the market now that is.Last edited by Quevega; 10 December 2024, 04:42 PM.
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