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2025 Ryanair Chase

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  • Originally posted by Killiney View Post

    Having spent most of last season backing Gaelic Warrior all over the place for the Festival I’m not sure that logic will play much part this season. If they go for the KG then logic might say the Ryanair due to trip factors but I’m convinced they will revert to 2m and the CC. They went that trip last year. It’s more prestigious. There is a link between Arkle winners and CC. But there I go again bringing logic to bear on the q. !
    Agree completely. Whatever race he takes in on the way he'll end up in the CC. Worked AT CHELTENHAM this year and Willie just doesn't change things once they've worked. 2M is his trip AT CHELTENHAM.

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    • Originally posted by Odin View Post

      In this scenario, do you have El Fabiolo and Gaelic Warrior racing against each other in the QMCC?

      If you do, I can see where we differ and I wish you good luck as I think that's a braver call than mine!

      If not, and you think Gaelic goes Ryanair, our difference is that you think Energumene won't beat Jonbon, which is a reasonable doubt to have but means our positions are much closer than your post suggests
      Now that’s a good question
      I really don’t know to be honest, but I have a feeling if they are really happy with EF, he will be number 1 and GW could well run as well, remembering what happened last March with EF, plus imo GW as an Arkle winner should imo go QM.
      So I guess yes I do
      I really don’t see either in the Ryanair, but I can see Energ going there.
      I think it will be really hard for Energ to come back and beat Jonbon over here, and if they do meet I would think J would be the winner.
      One thing for sure, it’s going to be fun watching it all pan out!!

      Comment


      • Originally posted by BookieBasher View Post

        If all is well (let’s hope so) then surely that would send alarm bells ringing. 2 of his last 3 runs he’s just cut out. Was that Kempton run a performance way above? Did that run take too much out of him at a young age? Even at 10/1 I wouldn’t even back him for place money.
        I can forgive him not getting home over 3m 3 1/2f at the weekend, provided no issues come to light.

        He wasn't the only one that was fancied that ended up failing to deliver, and it was two of the more dour stayers (with proven form over that trip and beyond) that finished 1st & 2nd.

        The run in April was probably less forgivable however, he was held up that day, and he clearly has a preference for setting the fractions, it's now the second time he's lost when being held up. No idea why they decide to adopt these change of tactics when it so clearly doesn't suit.

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        • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
          "I'm happy to be on Gaelic Warrior for the King George thanks to Tony Mullins saying he was being trained for it"

          Where did you get this from Yosser? Seems odd him coming out with that before connections commented. R4H reckons IET is Willies horse for the race. Very unlikely he'd send two big guns for it imo. He's not done it before.
          He said it on the ATR preview show. The one which made Kawaboomga's price crashed after his comments. He said something along the lines of "As far as i know, Gaelic Warrior is being trained for the King George"

          Sure of it

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          • Cheers Yosser. Very interesting.

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            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
              Cheers Yosser. Very interesting.
              It is, however, we seem to have been getting a LOT of swerves from trainers and people in the know this season. It's almost as if the bookies have asked them to give out false information.........


              And that is why this forum is going to smash them all to pieces in March
              Last edited by Yosser; 18 November 2024, 07:15 PM.

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              • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                I can forgive him not getting home over 3m 3 1/2f at the weekend, provided no issues come to light.

                He wasn't the only one that was fancied that ended up failing to deliver, and it was two of the more dour stayers (with proven form over that trip and beyond) that finished 1st & 2nd.

                The run in April was probably less forgivable however, he was held up that day, and he clearly has a preference for setting the fractions, it's now the second time he's lost when being held up. No idea why they decide to adopt these change of tactics when it so clearly doesn't suit.
                He wasn’t held up COD, he was leading for the first couple circuits, horse joined him after a sticky jump and he just didn’t seem to recover for me. But then the couple sort of banks jumps reverley looks down and is then pulled up. So he either packs in when he’s pressed up front or jockey felt something and has eased up on him.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Craigy14 View Post

                  He wasn’t held up COD, he was leading for the first couple circuits, horse joined him after a sticky jump and he just didn’t seem to recover for me. But then the couple sort of banks jumps reverley looks down and is then pulled up. So he either packs in when he’s pressed up front or jockey felt something and has eased up on him.
                  He was held up in April, albeit got to the front 5 out, so had his chance.

                  I know he led at the weekend, I didn't mean it to read that he was held up then. The trip in that ground was the issue for me.

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                  • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                    He was held up in April, albeit got to the front 5 out, so had his chance.

                    I know he led at the weekend, I didn't mean it to read that he was held up then. The trip in that ground was the issue for me.
                    Ah right with you now. Yeah that race was bizarre to me given his racing style.

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                    • All talk of tactics, trip and ground for the French horse seems like bollocks to me.
                      The horse has "thrown it in" in 2 of his last 3 races (for whatever reason, mental or physical)
                      Any backers just got to bear this in mind.
                      He's got a big fucking squiggle.

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                      • Corbetts was not entered for Betfair chase after scoping badly on Saturday.

                        At least we have a good reason.

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                        • Grey Dawning should come here, on soft ground, he’d be a huge player for the Ryanair (but not the 2025 renewal, I’m taking the 2026 one lol). Before today’s race I questioned whether he would really stay, just think he’s better bolwing along over the middle trip

                          Worried that race today has left a mark, but will confinue to campaign him for the gold cup this season. One for 2026 tracker lol

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                          • Might we see Fastorslow switch here?
                            Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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                            • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
                              Might we see Fastorslow switch here?
                              What would have to happen for them to not to want to have a go in the Gold Cup though?

                              The UR in the Gold Cup, then beating the Gold Cup winner over 3m1f .....

                              Then not winning over 2 and a half in the JD?



                              I'd say ....... no, we won't see him switch here



                              Albeit NRNB if he's beaten over Christmas and is a double figure price I'd fluffing wallop



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                              • Meant to mention this the other day. During the Racing TV interview at the weekend, Donn McClean asked GE how he saw Found A Fifty, think the question was phrased 'do you see him more as a 2m or 2.5 mile horse' GE said 2 miles and that he has a lot of class.

                                Didn't sound like a definitive statement, more of a gut response to being put on the spot. Thought it was worth mentioning as I'd have expected a different answer if the Ryanair was the season plan.

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