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2025 Novice Chasers

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  • Originally posted by Carnage at Taunton View Post

    I wouldn’t say it was disappointing jumping.
    He did get too close to some but he’s clever enough, and I don’t mind that with novice’s learning.
    He also jumped some very well.
    It was disappointing considering I was impressed on debut and was excited to see him again. He was slow and careful at many of his fences. Probably his best jump actually came at the last as he went to win the race.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Runragged View Post

      It was disappointing considering I was impressed on debut and was excited to see him again. He was slow and careful at many of his fences. Probably his best jump actually came at the last as he went to win the race.
      Understand.
      He jumped the first few well and then he got close to one and repeated that a couple more times, and yes a bit slow and careful.
      I think they would have learned a lot about him today, probably more than his first run.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Odin View Post

        I do some systems type betting, which has proved pretty reasonable over the last couple of years but my god it's a different way of betting isn't it?

        I went from 2250pts on 28th June to 470pts on 24th August (lost 75% of my bank in 2 months!), then by 30th November I was back up to 4960pts. Lost a bit since (now at 4000pts), but it's a proper rollercoaster of emotions - particularly as you end up backing a fair few horses you just don't fancy don't you?

        Would be really keen to chat about the model at some point - hopefully next week, but heading down with my family so not sure how much time I'll have given my brothers son is 3 and needs a lot of entertaining
        Over what time period are those results from Odin? I could retire on a return of almost 5000pts.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by YoungHustler View Post

          Over what time period are those results from Odin? I could retire on a return of almost 5000pts.
          Bank started at 300pts on 5th April 2023, 5pts per bet.
          Stake was revised on 17th March 2024 to 20pts per bet mainly, with a few 5pts per bet systems.
          As of today (approx 21 months after starting), bank is 4357pts from 1865 bets, with an ROI of 18.16%

          But these are definitely not retirement profits for me!

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Odin View Post

            Bank started at 300pts on 5th April 2023, 5pts per bet.
            Stake was revised on 17th March 2024 to 20pts per bet mainly, with a few 5pts per bet systems.
            As of today (approx 21 months after starting), bank is 4357pts from 1865 bets, with an ROI of 18.16%

            But these are definitely not retirement profits for me!
            5 goes into 300

            We over complicate this a bit

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

              5 goes into 300

              We over complicate this a bit
              Just because it's easy for me to work out tbh and because the stake quadrupled half way through - I'm sure you had a similar discussion about what to do with your stakes on here when it changed not so long ago

              Good to have you back and causing chaos btw - hope you'll be sticking around for longer this time than your brief pre-Xmas(?) check in?

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Odin View Post

                Just because it's easy for me to work out tbh and because the stake quadrupled half way through - I'm sure you had a similar discussion about what to do with your stakes on here when it changed not so long ago

                Good to have you back and causing chaos btw - hope you'll be sticking around for longer this time than your brief pre-Xmas(?) check in?
                Haha, yeah exactly the same

                ....and yeah, throwing my substantial weight around from now until March is odds-on


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                • Whilst I wouldn't say it was franked entirely, it's always nice when horses show up well next time out and thereafter, so Kinturk Kalanisi is providing Better Days Ahead with some nice form boosts having finished 2nd the last twice, beaten a neck behind Judicieus Allen, and just 2 3/4 lengths behind Three Card Brag (rated 147) over the weekend.

                  Better Days Ahead hammered him by 13 lengths.

                  ObviousLy it's not an exact science but as I've already said, it provides a little bit of solidity to the form, IMO.

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                  • Impaire Et Passe been pushed out to 12/1 by several for the BANC tonight?

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                    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                      Impaire Et Passe been pushed out to 12/1 by several for the BANC tonight?
                      All tinpot bookies on the right hand side of the market, wouldnt give em the time of day

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by darlojim View Post

                        All tinpot bookies on the right hand side of the market, wouldnt give em the time of day
                        But why push him ?

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                          Impaire Et Passe been pushed out to 12/1 by several for the BANC tonight?
                          There should really be a "So What" emoji for some of your market updates.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                            Impaire Et Passe been pushed out to 12/1 by several for the BANC tonight?
                            Surprised it's taken them this long. He's been bigger on the exchanges for a fair while now.

                            Think he may miss the DRF and I wonder if that's caused it.

                            Expecting an entry in the Scilly Isles now. Think the owners like that race having won it 4 years in a row from 2015 onwards.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                              But why push him ?
                              Because theyre bored

                              Majority of those bookies that have 'pushed' him out are all linked and just follow each others prices, so in fact its likely just 1 bookie has edged him a point or 2

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by darlojim View Post

                                All tinpot bookies on the right hand side of the market, wouldnt give em the time of day
                                A move in the other direction for Jukebox with the same tinpot bookies

                                Ill have you know some of us old fashioned high street shoppers just love the likes of Betfred, Corals and Ladbrokes

                                Comment

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