Originally posted by darlojim
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2025 Novice Hurdlers
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Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
How would you personally rank Kel Historie vs Kawaboomga?
Both have very solid form from France, being franked plenty with horses in behind, and infront in Kawaboomga's case.
Kawa we have at least seen hurdling, Kel we are yet to do so
Hopefully any sort of mention from Willie for both in the stable tours, otherwise it could be a year held back, although Kel Histoire bought in Nov '23 so highly doubt he will be held back any further.
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Originally posted by darlojim View Post
Personally, I'd have Kel Histoire ahead of Kawa (maybe slight bias )
Both have very solid form from France, being franked plenty with horses in behind, and infront in Kawaboomga's case.
Kawa we have at least seen hurdling, Kel we are yet to do so
Hopefully any sort of mention from Willie for both in the stable tours, otherwise it could be a year held back, although Kel Histoire bought in Nov '23 so highly doubt he will be held back any further.
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Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
Kawaboomga is already 4 so will be 5 next year and therefore ineligible to run in a 4yo race.
What a poser then. Very interesting regarding stable tours now then. He isn't listed on my bookie. I suppose the same question still applies re handicaps but he will be wanting an early enough entry and thats not Willies MO and he has only had the 1 run thus far
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Originally posted by darlojim View PostKawaboomga gets a good mention from Tony Mullins here
That 100/1 wont be around for long
https://x.com/AtTheRaces/status/1848804012390232186
And is Matt Chapman taking the piss with his 'Novice Prospect' horse. Someone has asked him to say that surely
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Seeing the price movement of Kawaboomga overnight following Tony Mullins ‘At the Races’ interview……doesn’t it show us how scared the bookmakers are of views and intel from racing people or pundits with ante post and how easily they slash prices as a result?……if only other horses went out in price as a result eh!
I dont think for one minute that the price reductions across the board on oddschecker have come from weight of money or liabilities, as most people will have only had a interest at such large odds on Tony Mullins view. It’s the traders following other traders like the herd mentality which is difficult to profit from because the market just adds % to bookmakers profitability rather than lengthen a few as a result and keep their overound the same.
The age old war between punters and bookmakers maybe…… but they sure react to any favourable view/intel at the moment. In boxing terms they seem to react to any feints let alone a punch being thrown !
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There was a discussion on here in the spring about Good N’Kind (for the Gallagher) after he’d debuted quite impressively in the Bob Olinger bumper. Obv Port Julain didn’t do that justice in his next run.. Noted Henry described GNK as a ‘staying type’ and his hurdle debut would be over ‘at least 2 and a half’. Possible Bartlett type (currently 50/1).
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