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Win Today & Festival 2025

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  • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

    Do you think she'll drop in price that much, if at all ?

    The race is absolutely awful. Think she'd need to be winning it by a fair distance to have much impact.
    I'd be amazed if she wasn't cut (assuming she wins today) - we all know how the bookies operate. The Skeltons seem to really like her and I thought she was pretty impressive last time considering the big price drift before the race. Looked to travel very strongly.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

      Do you think she'll drop in price that much, if at all ?

      The race is absolutely awful. Think she'd need to be winning it by a fair distance to have much impact.
      I think she wins really well today, so yeah, I'm expecting a hair cut. She's mostly 16's currently. She'll be 10-12/1 maximum, I think.

      She's currently best price of 1/3 which means you'd need her to be 16/1 AFTER the race to get the 22's if you was doing a manual roll up.
      Last edited by ComplyOrDie; 27 November 2024, 11:54 AM.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

        Do you think she'll drop in price that much, if at all ?

        The race is absolutely awful. Think she'd need to be winning it by a fair distance to have much impact.
        Remember thems Bookmakers don’t need much excuse to cut an ante post price do they!

        IF she wins well today then;

        5/4 shes cut to av 11/1
        6/4 shes cut to av 12/1
        5/2 she’s cut to av 14/1
        11/1 no cut
        100/1 she increase in price !

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Wayward Lad View Post

          Remember thems Bookmakers don’t need much excuse to cut an ante post price do they!

          IF she wins well today then;

          5/4 shes cut to av 11/1
          6/4 shes cut to av 12/1
          5/2 she’s cut to av 14/1
          11/1 no cut
          100/1 she increase in price !
          Not cut as much as I thought she would be, even though she won well..…Lobos was right

          And as for the book, well there’s lots of 16/1 and 14/1 so let’s say the average is 15/1, so it’s a skinner!

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Wayward Lad View Post

            Remember thems Bookmakers don’t need much excuse to cut an ante post price do they!

            IF she wins well today then;

            5/4 shes cut to av 11/1
            6/4 shes cut to av 12/1
            5/2 she’s cut to av 14/1
            11/1 no cut
            100/1 she increase in price !
            Bugger.....wish I'd had a pound at 11/1.......

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Wayward Lad View Post

              Not cut as much as I thought she would be, even though she won well..…Lobos was right

              And as for the book, well there’s lots of 16/1 and 14/1 so let’s say the average is 15/1, so it’s a skinner!
              Yeah, she didn't hurdle as well as I'd hoped so maybe that's why. The engine looks to still be there though. Hopefully on to better things now.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                Yeah, she didn't hurdle as well as I'd hoped so maybe that's why. The engine looks to still be there though. Hopefully on to better things now.
                She'll jump better in a better race. Couldn't back her after watching that though. I expect they will up her in class now. She does look a big baby though so they might just go easy on her and save her for next season and beyond.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                  She'll jump better in a better race. Couldn't back her after watching that though. I expect they will up her in class now. She does look a big baby though so they might just go easy on her and save her for next season and beyond.
                  ‘save her for next season’……yikes…..hope not as a few of us are on her for the MNH, after Harry picked her as being the best horse to follow this season from the yard, when on the TV last weekend !

                  Comment


                  • ….Hills Thursday;

                    Mistergif & a/r 25-1
                    Appreciate It & a/r 40-1
                    Embassy Gdns & a/r 66-1
                    Fishery La & AB 50-1; a/r 20-1
                    Baby Kate & MNH 66-1
                    Karamoja & MNH 33-1

                    Comment


                    • …PP/BFSB

                      Romeo Coolio; Royal Bond & Sup 16-1
                      Last edited by Eggs; 28 November 2024, 08:09 AM.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                        …PP

                        Romeo Coolio; Royal Bond & Sup 16-1
                        Very good offer that, in my opinion. If he wins, at less than evs, he’ll go less than 17/2 IMO.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Exar Essay View Post

                          Very good offer that, in my opinion. If he wins, at less than evs, he’ll go less than 17/2 IMO.
                          Always a chance he ends up in the Turners but I guess you can cover that separately at a bigger price...

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                            Always a chance he ends up in the Turners but I guess you can cover that separately at a bigger price...
                            You had me flummoxed there. These name changes … there is that chance, but I’m firmly of the opinion he’s a 2-miler at present. Gordon has a few candidates for the longer race, but not the Supreme.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                              …PP/BFSB

                              Romeo Coolio; Royal Bond & Sup 16-1
                              ….now 14-1

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Exar Essay View Post

                                You had me flummoxed there. These name changes … there is that chance, but I’m firmly of the opinion he’s a 2-miler at present. Gordon has a few candidates for the longer race, but not the Supreme.
                                Yeah I agree, especially the 2m 5f race, must have changed names 4/5 times in recent years...

                                Comment

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