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Weather Watch 2024

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  • Rain has set in most of afternoon and now evening here …and I’m only few miles away
    Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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    • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
      Rain has set in most of afternoon and now evening here …and I’m only few miles away
      Yeah I live in Pershore and I’m sure we’ve had a fair bit more than what was forecast, been raining fairly steady for a few hours

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      • It looks like the was rain through the night judging by the various webcam across Cheltenham.

        They surely start on soft ground.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
          It looks like the was rain through the night judging by the various webcam across Cheltenham.

          They surely start on soft ground.
          There’s a load appeared in the forecast for Tuesday morning now too….

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
            It looks like the was rain through the night judging by the various webcam across Cheltenham.

            They surely start on soft ground.
            Bound to. Must be Heavy in places again by now. I'm happy though as that's what the ground has been like all year round so the form will hold up for the punters.

            Comment


            • Gonna be really interesting to see the numbers today, the weather station is only showing 4mm rain in last 24 hours which must be wrong based on what everyone else has said/seen...

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                There’s a load appeared in the forecast for Tuesday morning now too….
                Yes, the Met Office are currently showing 7 hours of heavy rain from 7am-2pm on Tuesday, but that looks pretty much it for the week.

                Comment


                • If there isn’t Heavy in the going description somewhere, I will be astounded. There certainly won’t be “Good-Soft” anywhere. I’d like to see the going stick readings though. They classified it as GS on Sat before Sunday’s rain, but the going stick readings were aligned with a description of “Soft” for recent festivals. Think it’ll be 4.something and they’ll call it Soft (Heavy in places) when it’ll really be Heavy, especially after the rain mid-morning.

                  Comment


                  • Latest here - I’m amazed they haven’t taken going stick readings for the last two days - Saturday for Old and New, Friday for XC

                    The going @CheltenhamRaces remains
                    Old: Soft,
                    C/C: Heavy Soft (in places),
                    New: Soft.
                    GoingStick Old: 5.6 09/03/2024 12.30
                    C/C: 4.4 on 08/03/2024 15.30
                    New: 5.7 on 09/03/2024 12.30

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Mighty View Post
                      Latest here - I’m amazed they haven’t taken going stick readings for the last two days - Saturday for Old and New, Friday for XC

                      The going @CheltenhamRaces remains
                      Old: Soft,
                      C/C: Heavy Soft (in places),
                      New: Soft.
                      GoingStick Old: 5.6 09/03/2024 12.30
                      C/C: 4.4 on 08/03/2024 15.30
                      New: 5.7 on 09/03/2024 12.30

                      https://x.com/turftrax/status/176711...Ap9QKCXBG0j_tA
                      ridiculous that the readings are from Saturday!!

                      Comment


                      • I put up heavy @ 16/1 and soft “as a cover bet” @ 7/4 just over a week ago on here. It was such a sensible play, even though it was suggested by some ‘betting on grass is degenerate’.

                        No, it was both smart, sensible, and come tomorrow morning, very profitable.

                        It might yet turn out to be my biggest priced winner of the week, for a very decent sum staked.

                        There’s a market for everything, and when good to soft is 8/15, soft is 7/4 and with a touch of luck heavy is 16/1 - following a month of rainfall, and with a mixed forecast going into the festival, there was a hell of an exciting opportunity to profit here.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Bollinger View Post
                          I put up heavy @ 16/1 and soft “as a cover bet” @ 7/4 just over a week ago on here. It was such a sensible play, even though it was suggested by some ‘betting on grass is degenerate’.

                          No, it was both smart, sensible, and come tomorrow morning, very profitable.

                          It might yet turn out to be my biggest priced winner of the week, for a very decent sum staked.

                          There’s a market for everything, and when good to soft is 8/15, soft is 7/4 and with a touch of luck heavy is 16/1 - following a month of rainfall, and with a mixed forecast going into the festival, there was a hell of an exciting opportunity to profit here.
                          My goodness


                          If your best result of the week and biggest priced winner does happen to be on the ground, I'm not sure it's the right sport for you?

                          Comment


                          • I'd suggest farming.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                              My goodness


                              If your best result of the week and biggest priced winner does happen to be on the ground, I'm not sure it's the right sport for you?
                              Tongue in cheek Mr ‘Loaf, of course.

                              It looks extremely likely the 7/4 (I don’t bet with pennies) will be a lovely start to the festival. A 16/1 winner should the heavens open, in these days of festival hotpot’s across the 4 days, might be the biggest winner for a lot of bettors, including those that love the sport, I’d kindly suggest.

                              Comment


                              • I think that bet on Heavy will come in. Just checked the met office’s weather map and the course is going to get A LOT of rain between 6am and 12pm. Would not surprise me if they get 12mm. They could get more. Given 7mm took them from GS to soft, with only a day’s grace, surely this rain will make it Heavy. If it does rain that much, and unless I see a going stick reading, I will not trust a description of “soft”.

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