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Weather Watch 2024

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  • #16
    For those who subscribe to the water table theory, here's some historical water table levels from 1970 through til this month (on a monthly basis in some cases)...



    2020 (through winter 2019 and into March) was notably bad and quite similar to this year
    2021 was a bit lighter
    2022/23 fairly normal from what I can see.

    2020 was the year of Shishkin Supreme, Envoi Ballymore, Easysland turning over Tiger Roll etc

    Comment


    • #17
      These few days were predicted to be the heaviest for rainfall. What also could be predicted is the recency bias it would trigger as a consequence. The met office racecourse has from Sunday up till the 7th as largely dry with just occasional light rain. Should this be accurate what would we then be saying.? What then happens from the 7th to the festival and the week itself is key and we don’t yet know that so my advice would be chill out, keep a close eye on things but don’t over analyse just yet.

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      • #18
        Is anyone actually making any bets based on any information in this thread ?
        Or just enjoy talking about the weather.

        I used to work in a Bank on the counter, and the number of people who walked up and started talking about the weather caused me to develop Tourette's syndrome.
        Or at least that's what I told them.

        Comment


        • #19
          Originally posted by Quevega View Post
          Is anyone actually making any bets based on any information in this thread ?
          Or just enjoy talking about the weather.

          I used to work in a Bank on the counter, and the number of people who walked up and started talking about the weather caused me to develop Tourette's syndrome.
          Or at least that's what I told them.
          I don't believe any of it.

          The bigger issue for me is rain in the day leading up to and on the day of racing (in particularly Tuesday fucking up Wednesday's ground and Thursday fucking up Friday's ground). Obviously if it's biblical for a month before I'd take that into account but it sounds like we aren't getting that consistently over the next two weeks so the day before/of is most important to me.

          Did think the water table link I added was interesting though - particularly as the worst day/ground I ever remember came in a year where the water table was at average levels

          Comment


          • #20
            Originally posted by Quevega View Post
            Is anyone actually making any bets based on any information in this thread ?
            Or just enjoy talking about the weather.

            I used to work in a Bank on the counter, and the number of people who walked up and started talking about the weather caused me to develop Tourette's syndrome.
            Or at least that's what I told them.
            Maybe Cash out gets people more interested in this?
            For me personally my antepost bets are pretty much done now and the ground will be what it will be, although some of the bets I have will be affected by it.
            But that’s part of antepost of course.

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by Quevega View Post
              Is anyone actually making any bets based on any information in this thread ?
              Or just enjoy talking about the weather.

              I used to work in a Bank on the counter, and the number of people who walked up and started talking about the weather caused me to develop Tourette's syndrome.
              Or at least that's what I told them.
              Ofc people will be, posters and particularly senior posters need to acknowledge that people listen to them and act on what they say. This forum is probably the single most respected source of opinion and information in the entire ante post arena now and we need to recognise and take very seriously the responsibility that comes with it imo. It has moved way beyond a number of like minded passionate people sharing an obsession. It is now a serious commercial platform. Of course we have fun and enjoy it but it really has become very purposeful.

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              • #22
                Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post

                Ofc people will be, posters and particularly senior posters need to acknowledge that people listen to them and act on what they say. This forum is probably the single most respected source of opinion and information in the entire ante post arena now and we need to recognise and take very seriously the responsibility that comes with it imo. It has moved way beyond a number of like minded passionate people sharing an obsession. It is now a serious commercial platform. Of course we have fun and enjoy it but it really has become very purposeful.
                Agree mostly, my comment was just a more light hearted way of saying what you said immediately prior.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                  Agree mostly, my comment was just a more light hearted way of saying what you said immediately prior.
                  Yeah I know , I just needed to get the other stuff off my chest , wasn’t the best example to choose but the opportunity presented itself and I didn’t think you’d mind

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post

                    Ofc people will be, posters and particularly senior posters need to acknowledge that people listen to them and act on what they say. This forum is probably the single most respected source of opinion and information in the entire ante post arena now and we need to recognise and take very seriously the responsibility that comes with it imo. It has moved way beyond a number of like minded passionate people sharing an obsession. It is now a serious commercial platform. Of course we have fun and enjoy it but it really has become very purposeful.
                    Is it? Interested to know your inside information on this

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      As wet as it was this morning there’s a really strong gusty cold wind now which will help dry it, I’m on a housing site literally a stones throw away

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                        Is it? Interested to know your inside information on this
                        Platform for commercial success not commercially successful …though you should consider the possibility thats a whole new ball of cheese of course. How about kevloaf obe as an altruistic alternative

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Originally posted by MTR View Post
                          As wet as it was this morning there’s a really strong gusty cold wind now which will help dry it, I’m on a housing site literally a stones throw away
                          I'm so pedantic that I want to see that it's literal. How good are you at throwing stones?
                          I'm a below average 'thrower' ... could I make it?

                          I want more emojis to play with

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Originally posted by MTR View Post
                            As wet as it was this morning there’s a really strong gusty cold wind now which will help dry it, I’m on a housing site literally a stones throw away
                            When I saw you'd posted I was expecting news of a Snowbombing incoming

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                              I'm so pedantic that I want to see that it's literal. How good are you at throwing stones?
                              I'm a below average 'thrower' ... could I make it?

                              I want more emojis to play with
                              Yeah I think I was overestimating my throwing power as my Google maps says I’m exactly 0.22 miles from the course

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                                When I saw you'd posted I was expecting news of a Snowbombing incoming
                                snow bombing would be getting off lightly! It’s a 650 mile wall of snow!

                                https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...w-32227464.amp

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