Originally posted by CJW
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2025, The Odds on Offer
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Originally posted by Eggs View Post…..Caldwell Potter any race 14-1 PP.
Seems reasonable given he’s now a best price 16-1 for BANC & Turners.
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Aye, Nicholls had winner in 2023 and a second this year in the Turners as well. No reason he wouldn't target it again. Plus Caldwell Potter never been further than 2 mile. Much better bet at 14s to cover any race than 16s for BANC.
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Originally posted by Benjy23 View PostAye, Nicholls had winner in 2023 and a second this year in the Turners as well. No reason he wouldn't target it again. Plus Caldwell Potter never been further than 2 mile. Much better bet at 14s to cover any race than 16s for BANC.Last edited by Eggs; 29 March 2024, 09:40 AM.
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Think you also have to consider that neither horse are seen as Gold Cup horses, the 2 recent Turners runners that is. Nicholls traditionally sends his Gold Cup horses to the BANC and they’ve said as much about Caldwell Potter being a future Gold Cup horse. He may change and go Turners but why change what’s not broken.
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Originally posted by Craigy14 View PostThink you also have to consider that neither horse are seen as Gold Cup horses, the 2 recent Turners runners that is. Nicholls traditionally sends his Gold Cup horses to the BANC and they’ve said as much about Caldwell Potter being a future Gold Cup horse. He may change and go Turners but why change what’s not broken.
So this is fairly irrelevant but anyway... I'm not sure it's a particularly recent successful trend for Nicholls that is it? Stay Away Fay could've been seen as a future Gold Cup horse that went BANC and wasn't particularly successful. Not many others I can think of. I'm reluctant to look back to the Denman years to see how Nicholls now trains tbh.
I'd also have BANC is the more likely target of the two. But if you're suggesting it's the bet aren't you pricing it at like 1/8 he ends up there? Not sure I'd have it that strong
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Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
Stay Away Fay could've been seen as a future Gold Cup horse that went BANC and wasn't particularly successful.
I'm not convinced he would have been in love with the ground in his BANC, he lost a shoe and scoped dirty after the race.
I could be tempted into playing him now on the basis he could go to Aintree and win and that 100/1 becomes 25s, but I didn't pick up any post BANC comments about his plans, if he's put away for the year then there's no rush....
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
I'm probably in a minority of one here but I still think Stay Away Fay can make into a Gold Cup horse, I genuinely think the 100/1 quotes are an overreaction and he represents rare value in the AP markets.
I'm not convinced he would have been in love with the ground in his BANC, he lost a shoe and scoped dirty after the race.
I could be tempted into playing him now on the basis he could go to Aintree and win and that 100/1 becomes 25s, but I didn't pick up any post BANC comments about his plans, if he's put away for the year then there's no rush....
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