Originally posted by AaronLad
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Mares Hurdle 2024
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Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View PostGala Marceau AND Ashroe Diamond currently in declarations for the race at Doncaster.
I think I have slight preference for Gala Marceau.
There was a bit of money for Ashroe Diamond in the Coral Cup the other week, so if that is the plan I can't see them wanting to get too close, either.
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Originally posted by HesTheOne View Post
Cant not see her running in the mares at Chelt. Surely they want a big G1 on the CV for breeding? She has always been contesting at the top end even with the boys
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
Mares market going to take some hit on Saturday!!!!!
Gala v Ashroe should be informative. They're the only two I've backed as well.
Not even sure what I want to happen at Cheltenham. Lossiemouth win easily and convince them to go Champion Hurdle maybe
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Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
Aye, top four in the market all running Saturday!
Gala v Ashroe should be informative. They're the only two I've backed as well.
Not even sure what I want to happen at Cheltenham. Lossiemouth win easily and convince them to go Champion Hurdle maybe
Doesn't work like that though !!
Great to see all 4 out though.
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
She was terrible last time though. The play is just to watch the race and enjoy I'd say. That's what I'll be doing anyway.
Hopefully Mr Burke won't hold her up so far back early on this time either, she had a hell load of ground to make up that day, partly due to how she was ridden and partly due to her lack of enthusiasm.
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
She was terrible last time though. The play is just to watch the race and enjoy I'd say. That's what I'll be doing anyway.
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Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
She was. I don't think she'll be as bad this time, unless she's lost interest in the game entirely.
Hopefully Mr Burke won't hold her up so far back early on this time either, she had a hell load of ground to make up that day, partly due to how she was ridden and partly due to her lack of enthusiasm.
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Originally posted by DenmanSacre View Post
Her rating is arguably too high. The Mares last year was her best rating by far, she had the lead in a falsely run race and probably isn't worth her rating. Doubt Lossiemouth actually needs to improve to beat her.
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
I just don't get this falsely run race thing about last years Mares. The first two were just much better than the rest.
Translation, they dawdled in front then sprinted clear. Both Mares were the best on the day, but there's absolutely no guarantee the race would be run that way again, so it's "false" form, whether its proven correct in the future or not.
Racing Post times: Mares Hurdle (slow by 22.13s)
Translation, the Racing Post has an "average" set of times they expect based on going conditions and (I'm assuming) class of horse. The Champion Hurdle was slow by 10.38s, the Supreme was slow by 10.69s. The Mares Hurdle was twice as slow as both. The race was falsely run.
Nothing wrong with following what your eyes show you as horses just have to win the race they run in, but to expect the same result IF there is a front runner in the race next time (e.g. Youwearitwell possibly for one) to make it a better test (e.g. a faster race) is a questionable strategy.
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