2024 Mares Chase

[Istabraq]

Not sure there'll be anything of the quality of Impervious turning up this year.

I'm back on the ADV train. She impressed me today giving all that weight away. 4/1 is very fair imo.

You think there's any risk she enters the Ryanair debate ?
I guess a fit and healthy Allaho reduces that risk...

[Istabraq]

She'd have to be very impressive for them to think along those line but I don't think they'll put her in open grade 1's before Cheltenham. If they won the mares, they may try that at Aintree/Punchestown I'd imagine.

I don't disagree, but there are so many factors at play here:
They thought she was a G1 horse, I think even you backed her for the Gold Cup this season
The Ryanair will no doubt have little depth
She wasn't far behind Impervious last season who, on ratings, would have been a real contender had her fitness not failed
Townend gave her a total pig of a ride in last seasons Mares chase
Connections said they found some issues (wind ?) in the Summer and have resolved them
Allaho is what 3/1 now, anything happens to him and her price crashes

I've just had a very small win only interest at 33s...

[Run4Home]

You think there's any risk she enters the Ryanair debate ?
I guess a fit and healthy Allaho reduces that risk...

None at al imo, they had a set target to go back and win the mares

[Istabraq]

None at al imo, they had a set target to go back and win the mares

Yep I get that,
For the record, this time last year De Bromhead was 100% taking Honesysuckle back to defend her Champion Hurdle crown...

[Run4Home]

Yep I get that,
For the record, this time last year De Bromhead was 100% taking Honesysuckle back to defend her Champion Hurdle crown...

A mare they didn’t think was good enough anymore because of form so dropped a level to win a race v a mare who couldn’t win a mares last season and a willie mare

[Istabraq]

A mare they didn’t think was good enough anymore because of form so dropped a level to win a race v a mare who couldn’t win a mares last season and a willie mare

Plans change, and as I said earlier, if anything should happen to Allaho the race is wide open and it wouldn't take much improvement for her to be G1 level (with the allowance).
She had issues last season they have now resolved so improvement can be expected this campaign...

[The Fellow]

ADV 5/1 with Hills TWAR

[Istabraq]

ADV 5/1 with Hills TWAR

I think that'll get VAR'd.
7/2 best price for Mares Chase, it's an error...

[The Fellow]

yup maybe , wait and see

[Lobos]

ADV 5/1 with Hills TWAR

9/4 now. They've finally caught up !!

[The Fellow]

have they caught up with me though

[Lobos]

have they caught up with me though

No. You'll be perfectly ok. Wasn't a mistake. Just stupidity from the odds compiler.

[The Fellow]

cheers mate , i'm used to it , its the wife's account strictly speaking

[Lobos]

cheers mate , i'm used to it , its the wife's account strictly speaking

You'll be ok. Can't imagine many would be taking TWAR price on her so it'll go unnoticed. No damage.

[Lobos]

Just watched race back . Decent weight carrying performance but her and Instit have now shared 3 races so I'm not sure how strong the form is. Maskada as expected blatantly didn't stay so that didn't help us re weighing the form up. The jury is still out imo.