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2024 Ryanair Chase

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  • Any on allaho at 6 or 7s I think it's worth a few hedge doubles today using janidil and French dynamite who both have solid records fresh

    Iv invested 1pt in cross doubles with saint roi, edwardstone and envoi allen

    I went through the betting and could only find 6 horses other than allaho who are likely to run

    He wins today I'm happy having only given up a small portion of the returns, he loses iv got 3 more in the book at minimal cost

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    • Originally posted by jono View Post
      [

      Istabraq mentioned getting involved for him at a NRNB price.
      Assuming he wins today, I’m not sure 3/1 or anything like would be there NRNB.
      I think he was around 7 or 8/1 when I mentioned that, he's now halved in price on the strength of a declaration which means your 7/4 is probably nearer the mark, but what it highlights is how quick these markets move on new/rumour because it certainly won't be because the 8/1 was wrong and they got knocked over in the stampede...

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      • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

        I think he was around 7 or 8/1 when I mentioned that, he's now halved in price on the strength of a declaration which means your 7/4 is probably nearer the mark, but what it highlights is how quick these markets move on new/rumour because it certainly won't be because the 8/1 was wrong and they got knocked over in the stampede...
        Looks a typical ploy from the bookies to shorten it so if gets beat can push it out to a price it was a week ago and if wins then their liabilities are on at a shorter price with people betting prior to first run.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

          I think he was around 7 or 8/1 when I mentioned that, he's now halved in price on the strength of a declaration which means your 7/4 is probably nearer the mark, but what it highlights is how quick these markets move on new/rumour because it certainly won't be because the 8/1 was wrong and they got knocked over in the stampede...
          Wouldn’t surprise me if Allaho went evens NRNB if he wins today when NRNB kicks in. Remember last year when they priced up GDC Ryanair at 14s NRNB (365) and everyone piled in only to receive a message a day later saying they dropped a bollock and he was actually evens. Think Bookies will be running scared of a fit Allaho NRNB

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          • Originally posted by Runragged View Post

            Looks a typical ploy from the bookies to shorten it so if gets beat can push it out to a price it was a week ago and if wins then their liabilities are on at a shorter price with people betting prior to first run.
            Absolutely this.
            And they love seeing some blue on Oddschecker as the FOMO brigade will be panic punting....

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            • I'm gunna take him on today! Probably look like a mug after, but think the odds on the other 2 are worth having a punt! Awaits the outsider Grange Walk upsetting everything

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              • Originally posted by Runragged View Post

                Looks a typical ploy from the bookies to shorten it so if gets beat can push it out to a price it was a week ago and if wins then their liabilities are on at a shorter price with people betting prior to first run.
                He's been put up by a couple of tipsters too

                But yeah that's there normal strategy once a few pennies start coming after an entry

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                • Originally posted by Big Bucks View Post
                  I'm gunna take him on today! Probably look like a mug after, but think the odds on the other 2 are worth having a punt! Awaits the outsider Grange Walk upsetting everything
                  The old 'back the outsider in a 3 horse race' tactic: a lad at work does that and allegedly does well

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                  • Fair play to those who snared the 48/1 double Allaho/Allegorie de Vassy, was very keen to join the party but I could only get 23/1.
                    You have yourselves a solid position...

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                    • Nice school for Mullins two there.
                      Look forward to seeing them next time out, hopefully will learn more.

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                      • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
                        Fair play to those who snared the 48/1 double Allaho/Allegorie de Vassy, was very keen to join the party but I could only get 23/1.
                        You have yourselves a solid position...
                        Yeah, I would not mind some of that.

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                        • Good to see Allaho back Thought he had gone too quick from the front and thought Janidil might pick him off but it wasn't the case.

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                          • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                            Good to see Allaho back Thought he had gone too quick from the front and thought Janidil might pick him off but it wasn't the case.
                            Janadil = Plate if they want to...

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                            • They both looked tired at the end there. I'm cautious about a bounce on his next run but glad to see him back and healthy.

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                              • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
                                They both looked tired at the end there. I'm cautious about a bounce on his next run but glad to see him back and healthy.
                                Probably won't run until thurles now

                                Unless they want to try the king george

                                I'd rather they went to thurles in january myself

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