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2024 Stayers Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

    Incredible, almost unbelievable .... In fact, it is not believable, as he's not in the top 3 in the betting.

    Never let the truth get in the way of a good post hey

    Not when you’re almost at the 20,000 mark.

    Nearly there Lobos, keep her lit!

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    • ….latest betting (best prices);

      Theleme 11/2
      Teahupoo 6-1
      IEP 12-1
      Marie’s Rock 14-1
      Irish Point 16-1
      West Balboa 20-1
      Sir G 20-1 (PP/BFSB)

      25-1 bar.

      Comment


      • I love that Eggs drops in with the prices for reference, he's like fat jockey's very own chatgpt
        Long bitcoin, long gold, long silver, long g/s opening day Cheltenham Festival

        Comment


        • Eggs carrying out a hit in broad daylight, cold blooded, they call him the Odds Butler, quiet, unassuming but ruthless.

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          • There is of course a higher rated horse than SG over both fences and hurdles (he actually has 7 rprs higher than SGs highest with the highest 17 pounds higher) that you would like to think is only one more bad fencing error away from a switch back to hurdles. He is garnering much less attention despite being available at more than twice the price on the exchange. Oh and he has already won 5 times at the trip.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post
              There is of course a higher rated horse than SG over both fences and hurdles (he actually has 7 rprs higher than SGs highest with the highest 17 pounds higher) that you would like to think is only one more bad fencing error away from a switch back to hurdles. He is garnering much less attention despite being available at more than twice the price on the exchange. Oh and he has already won 5 times at the trip.
              Nice riddle, have you backed Ahoy Senor yourself?

              Comment


              • Stateman (Matheson H.) and IEP (Stayers) double worth a cover?

                Does he have the toe for SM over 2M? Can see him beating Teahupoo over 2m4f in Hattons Grace and possibly not have the toe for SM over 2M at Xmas.. surely then he’s a million to even think of taking on the Hill in champion hurdle.

                Thought there would be something more generous on xchange but he’s short enough for this.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                  Nice riddle, have you backed Ahoy Senor yourself?
                  Haha yes I have I’m just hoping connections see sense soon. I just hope they still have a horse to go to war with after the next time it happens . They can’t say they weren’t given plenty of warnings.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                    ….latest betting (best prices);

                    Theleme 11/2
                    Teahupoo 6-1
                    IEP 12-1
                    Marie’s Rock 14-1
                    Irish Point 16-1
                    West Balboa 20-1
                    Sir G 20-1 (PP/BFSB)

                    25-1 bar.
                    My mate always says Exchange prices rule.....

                    He's still 3rd best ........

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                    • Make that 4th best.....Irish Point now 12's

                      Now back out to 16.5

                      Fascinating watching the prices move......

                      I must get a life
                      Last edited by Lobos; 28 November 2023, 10:42 AM.

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                      • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                        Make that 4th best.....Irish Point now 12's

                        Now back out to 16.5

                        Fascinating watching the prices move......

                        I must get a life
                        Out of interest what is Marie’s rock showing as for you. Perhaps you have got your liquidity threshold value (I don’t know what the correct term is) set to a different amount than most?

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post

                          Out of interest what is Marie’s rock showing as for you. Perhaps you have got your liquidity threshold value (I don’t know what the correct term is) set to a different amount than most?
                          No idea what you are talking about

                          She was showing as 14.5 the last I looked. Assume that's the average price. Sir G @ 14 which to me makes the 20/1 best that Eggs quoted as very good value.

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                          • It's probably best not to use the exchanges if you don't know how. But you can back Sir Gerhard at a higher price than you can lay Marie's Rock at. There's no way he can be considered shorter at the moment.

                            It would take about a fiver to make him shorter because there's no liquidity in most antepost markets but it's just factually incorrect to say he is ahead of her in the market like.

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                            • If Willie actually wanted to win this race he'd run Impaire et passe

                              Say he beats teahupoo in the hattons grace

                              Then loses to state man at 2 miles

                              2 very realistic scenarios

                              Why would they then run both against constitution hill

                              Will be one il be looking at having a large bet on once NRNB comes in

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
                                If Willie actually wanted to win this race he'd run Impaire et passe

                                Say he beats teahupoo in the hattons grace

                                Then loses to state man at 2 miles

                                2 very realistic scenarios

                                Why would they then run both against constitution hill

                                Will be one il be looking at having a large bet on once NRNB comes in
                                And if he beats state man? Where does state man go if he isn't going to run both against con hill?

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