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Proper open Arkle this. It feels like a year were running to an RPR of 160+ will probably be enough.
Gaelic Warrior jumps right and I just don't think he'll get away with it. He should have won the Boodles but kept jumping right and IMO the same will happen here. Hard to know how well he is after the fall after FTF handed him his soul. He's ended up here because connections deem the race to be weaker and probably over rate the chances of FV in the Turners. I genuinely wouldn't be surprised if Paul didn't pick him, but he probably will. He's just not for me but at the same time I wouldn't be at all surprised if he were to win.
On the Betfair preview they said Il Etait Temps was notorious for travelling badly. That, plus his previous runs at Cheltenham would put me off. I do like him and he does have a good attitude but he's a small rat of a thing and I just think he's too short based on what he's actually achieved. On RPR's he's done well with 152, 143, 156, but I don't think Cheltenham and the travelling will suit so he's one I want to take on at the current prices. I remember a few flagged him at big prices a few months ago - well done those people.
Found A Fifty is bloody consistent but he jumps right and is a proper quirky bastard. For that reason I can't have him and I actually think they should be going for the Turners but are going Arkle because the race looks weaker. You wouldn't associate Gordon with Arkle horses and I think this fella is best avoided at a really short price now.
Hunters Yarn is the one that I keep coming back to. The chase debut fall was unfortunate (where he basically crumpled on landing) but that performance LTO was eye catching because it was so easy. The mistake two out should have ended his chance but the composure and confidence PT displayed was really informative. The County run would worry me a bit, but he went off 11/2 and they clearly really like the horse and think he's very good. Paul rode him that way after the mistake LTO. He didn't get after him at all and knew he would pick up again and go away.
If the winner of the Arkle needs to run to an RPR of 160+ to win this then ideally I want a horse who has either ran to that level (there isn't one) or, I want a horse who has run to a mid 150's RPR and done their winning easily. Having posted 141 on debut and then 154 easily, HY is the horse in the race that could easily surpass 160+. Some of the others I've mentioned could easily do this to, but, they've had more opportunity to do so and haven't, and, have been in finishes where they have typically be asked for an effort.
I am certain we have not seen the best of HY and for me 6/1 is a good price to play vs the top 3.
Gaelic Warrior jumps right and I just don't think he'll get away with it. He should have won the Boodles but kept jumping right and IMO the same will happen here. Hard to know how well he is after the fall after FTF handed him his soul. He's ended up here because connections deem the race to be weaker and probably over rate the chances of FV in the Turners. I genuinely wouldn't be surprised if Paul didn't pick him, but he probably will. He's just not for me but at the same time I wouldn't be at all surprised if he were to win.
On the Betfair preview they said Il Etait Temps was notorious for travelling badly. That, plus his previous runs at Cheltenham would put me off. I do like him and he does have a good attitude but he's a small rat of a thing and I just think he's too short based on what he's actually achieved. On RPR's he's done well with 152, 143, 156, but I don't think Cheltenham and the travelling will suit so he's one I want to take on at the current prices. I remember a few flagged him at big prices a few months ago - well done those people.
Found A Fifty is bloody consistent but he jumps right and is a proper quirky bastard. For that reason I can't have him and I actually think they should be going for the Turners but are going Arkle because the race looks weaker. You wouldn't associate Gordon with Arkle horses and I think this fella is best avoided at a really short price now.
Hunters Yarn is the one that I keep coming back to. The chase debut fall was unfortunate (where he basically crumpled on landing) but that performance LTO was eye catching because it was so easy. The mistake two out should have ended his chance but the composure and confidence PT displayed was really informative. The County run would worry me a bit, but he went off 11/2 and they clearly really like the horse and think he's very good. Paul rode him that way after the mistake LTO. He didn't get after him at all and knew he would pick up again and go away.
If the winner of the Arkle needs to run to an RPR of 160+ to win this then ideally I want a horse who has either ran to that level (there isn't one) or, I want a horse who has run to a mid 150's RPR and done their winning easily. Having posted 141 on debut and then 154 easily, HY is the horse in the race that could easily surpass 160+. Some of the others I've mentioned could easily do this to, but, they've had more opportunity to do so and haven't, and, have been in finishes where they have typically be asked for an effort.
I am certain we have not seen the best of HY and for me 6/1 is a good price to play vs the top 3.
well not gutted but you know what I mean. I do think they may be missing a trick with his mark in the Ultima though.
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