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2024 Novice Chasers

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  • Willie is just teasing us all saying Hunters Yarn is staying at home. He's on the boat for sure.....

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    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

      Here we go again.

      ​​​

      Going to be another late night.......
      I think it's just because the field is thinner that he's shorter in that, I don't think it's particularly strong evidence either way

      Comment


      • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
        Exchange suggest Vega going Turners?

        Not sure makes sense tho re what Willie had for Arkle? Il Etait & Blood not strongest hand
        Still fairly steady for the Arkle though, drift there and a plunge for the Turners would maybe indicate that, but that's not the case.

        Gaelic Warrior still looking fine for the Turners too, and they're probably not going to run against each other. I don't think it's pointing either way.

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        • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

          I think it's just because the field is thinner that he's shorter in that, I don't think it's particularly strong evidence either way
          Yeah. Don't care much anyway as he ain't winning either race

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          • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
            Willie is just teasing us all saying Hunters Yarn is staying at home. He's on the boat for sure.....
            Bonkers - prob his best chance to win race

            I’m tempted to top up at some point if exchanges get much bigger
            Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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            • Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post

                Bonkers - prob his best chance to win race

                I’m tempted to top up at some point if exchanges get much bigger
                Totally agree.

                If we say it enough maybe someone from the yard will read it. Can't believe that Double Green wouldn't want him to run it it with their record in the race.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                  Totally agree.

                  If we say it enough maybe someone from the yard will read it. Can't believe that Double Green wouldn't want him to run it it with their record in the race.
                  Surely both Daryl & Paul pushing hard for ride

                  Think Willie said Danny keeps rode on IET
                  Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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                  • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post

                    Surely both Daryl & Paul pushing hard for ride

                    Think Willie said Danny keeps rode on IET
                    Yep. If Vega goes Turners then PT on Hunters would be sweet. He'd win it.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                      Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.
                      I haven't a penny on him bar some any race multiples from free bets.

                      5/1 NRNB was tempting, if he turned up I think he'd go off favourite (rightly or wrongly), so made some sense. Definitely the classiest horse in the race bar F2F, obviously not as good left handed. He's only got Ginny's Destiny as competition who is confirmed for the race really, Iroko has been injured all year, there's not a great deal else... I can see the angle.

                      I think he's odds on to skip the festival though.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                        Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.
                        Me . Ibacked him, Facile Vega and Iroko after news that FTF was more likely BANC bound. I'm happy to write off lto as just a bad day as it was much more than the right handed issue imo. I just think that a standard run from him(with the right handed issue) will still be plenty enough to take care of Ginny's.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                          Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.
                          Yeah. He was beaten before left handed was an issue last time. Even though he's obviously better right handed, what is in there to bear him? 4/1 nrnb is a stonking good price for a dual grade 1 winner.

                          Ginny's destiny is yet to prove he's better than a handicapper - stage star won by getting an easy lead last time. That won't happen for ginny due to gaelics fast jumping. Iroko has run once this season so there's no chance he should be the same price. Facile Vega is likely to be split as PTs other best ride, unless Gaelic doesn't go - I'm sweet on facile if he does go though. Grey Dawning is better over further - I'd be more interested over 2m5f but not 2m3f. Fact to file goes RSA. Found a fifty and il etait temps go arkle. American mike and zanahiyr don't go. Imagine has solid place prospects. Sharjah unlikely to go if Gaelic goes?

                          Gaelic has to be backed nrnb but this race has fallen apart and I see no reason why he shouldn't go and win it. He has the joint highest overall rpr over hurdles and the joint highest left handed rpr over hurdles - both joint with facile who probably won't go. It just looks obvious to me at the prices.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                            Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.
                            He was going to be my lay of the festival before he ran at the DRF but now I'll be backing him if he turns up.

                            He was too short in the betting but now looks overpriced to me, even with the left handed concerns.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                              Is anyone on here seriously still fancying Gaelic Warrior to win at the Fez or is it just in hope that he even turns up based on the old pocket talking?? Has anyone who had not backed him before his DRF flump, now put their money down ? I'd want to know why.
                              If not backed him before DRF, then no way would I then back him after it!!
                              I know horses have a price that can tempt one in to bet, but imo current price is not big enough going on that last performance.
                              Those that do are hoping he will jump straight enough rather than confident, and imo underestimating opposition.
                              Ginnys is likely to be the main opponent and he jumps really well, and I can see a scenario where he gains at the fences round the inside whilst GW is further out doing his stuff.
                              Of course it’s possible GW is simply so much better he will get away with his tendencies, but from what I’ve seen of the horse left handed, and watching GD this season, I don’t think that will happen.

                              Comment


                              • Cheers for your replies guys. I agree that it was definitely more than just any RH bias at the DRF and that puts me off him more. Yes, we have the NRMB option but that still wouldn't interest me as he looked a sick horse and the fall was just unnecessary. He should have been pulled up. Odin, the Turners is over 2m 4f (albeit 50 yards) not 2m 3f and on the much stiffer track.......not that that will change your mind by the sounds of it !

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