Originally posted by Odin
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2024 Novice Chasers
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Originally posted by Guinness Village View PostNow, I may have misheard, but on upping the ante last week, I’m sure that the kauto star was mentioned as a possibility for Gaelic warrior. Now that would be a demolition job. None of this French rubbish with one of those john Wayne fellas on top
Would be a nice tester for next years king george though
He'd be 1/50 to go to limerick over kempton in my eyes
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostTimeform Novice Chase Ratings....
Stay Away Fay....150p
Le Patron ............149
Indiana Dream.....143p
feels like he’s got a hit to find still, in previous years you see BANC horses hit mid 155’s over 2 and a half, allowing for improvement to be seen again when they step up to 3
for me anyway, just feels he’s shy of the rating expected after 2nd run over 3 miles but happily get the view from a ratings judge :-)
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Originally posted by opatcho View Post
I’d be interested to hear what Saxon Warrior thoughts are on SAF RPR/retunsg - given the amount of analysis he’s done across 10 year ratings
feels like he’s got a hit to find still, in previous years you see BANC horses hit mid 155’s over 2 and a half, allowing for improvement to be seen again when they step up to 3
for me anyway, just feels he’s shy of the rating expected after 2nd run over 3 miles but happily get the view from a ratings judge :-)
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
9 out of last 12 winners OR of between 144 and 153.
Pre-Race Ratings:
160, 163, 170, 157, 161, 163, 165, 165, 157, 151,
(High 170, Low 150, Avge 163) - taking last 8yrs only
I'd assume SAF will have one more run, current RPR is 151... dunno, I'm bored this monday...
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Originally posted by opatcho View Post
Taken from Saxon's thread - RPR's
Pre-Race Ratings:
160, 163, 170, 157, 161, 163, 165, 165, 157, 151,
(High 170, Low 150, Avge 163) - taking last 8yrs only
I'd assume SAF will have one more run, current RPR is 151... dunno, I'm bored this monday...
Needs a bit more, doesn’t he?
He only beat one proper rival on Friday, be good to see him in a deeper race to see what he’s got.
The Cotswold Chase on Trials Day has been mentioned, that would be a great way of finding where they are with him, and could lead to a rating boost."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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Originally posted by Craigy14 View Post
Knappers Hill is an intended runner I believe.
Il Est Francais as someone has said.
I’d have him as fav is the ground isn’t as soft but the quick turnaround is a slight worry. Hopefully gets a decent rest after that!
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Yeah, I think he's jus shy, and I'm a little concerned he may get outpaced, similar to Gerri C.
Really like the horse, but quicker ground around the sharper course... I would like to see him score a little higher to mitigate some of my concerns
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostTimeform Novice Chase Ratings....
Stay Away Fay....150p
Le Patron ............149
Indiana Dream.....143p
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Looking forward to seeing how Let's Go Champ runs tomorrow. Ran well on debut and sure to be fitter. Tomorrow's race is over the qualifying distance for the NHC which is where I believe he'll end up. Would be unusual for HDB to have a runner in the race but I reckon it'll really suit him.
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostTimeform Novice Chase Ratings....
Stay Away Fay....150p
Le Patron ............149
Indiana Dream.....143p
Stay away fay beats a very good prospect giving him 3lb and gets 150
Not sure I'm seeing that
The 2 mile novices in britain are useless
The 3 mile novices look like Cheltenham grade 1 contenders
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Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
Le patron wins a grade 1 full of handicappers and gets 149
Stay away fay beats a very good prospect giving him 3lb and gets 150
Not sure I'm seeing that
The 2 mile novices in britain are useless
The 3 mile novices look like Cheltenham grade 1 contenders
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Originally posted by Runragged View PostIndiana Dream 149. Been some good RPR's run this season though from first time out horses over the shorter trips. BANC looks much more open as is normally the case.
I think I might be right in saying only Iroko has bettered that first time up this season for novice chasers?
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