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Just makes it a no bet race for me. Chuck CH in multis. Maybe some E/W plays as if he stays fit it will be a small field.
I had already backed State Man and have IEP any race from the last season special to win the Ballymore, so I'm happy to go in on Constitution Hill @ 4/6 for some cover. He's also in plenty of multiples too.
I had already backed State Man and have IEP any race from the last season special to win the Ballymore, so I'm happy to go in on Constitution Hill @ 4/6 for some cover. He's also in plenty of multiples too.
Gone 4/9, with most now. Not even worth it. Would be a lump on the day if so.
That’s a pretty poor statement to make with regards to a”1/4” price you think he should be 6 months out, and I’m fairly sure you’ve quoted 1/8 on the day, if he was fit, a comment you made several months ago.
If, for instance he is confirmed next week over hurdles (and it still might be fences I will concede, but not over 2 miles -Buckley has all but confirmed that, and quoted that), his current 8/11 price with Skybet will be, at best, an 8/15 job. At best, with a large snip into 1/2 a distinct possibility.
Other bookies that already have him at 4/6 may feel the need to shorten further, and will do I’d suggest into a 4/9 price. Possibly 2/5 too. Bet Victor have him already at 4/9, so it’s a little bleary as to what they cut him to, but a 4/11 price would theoretically sound realistic.
Move forwards 6 months hence, and the morning of ; If both Con ‘Hill & State Man have cleared up in their respective country’s 2 mile hurdle races and shown exactly the same kind of levels of precocity as last season, then your 1/4 price is likely to ring true. State Man will be hovering around 10/3/ 7/2 ish - dependant on who else might be lining up.
But 1/4’s won’t be dished out in September.
Man City, Max Verstappen and Novak Djokovic are also ‘pretty good’ at what they do, in comparison to their nearest competitors in their chosen fields, but 1/4’s aren’t dished out pre season to them.
You make some valid and astute comments at times Bollinger but self praise and the need to quote your own comments is never going to be a behavior I respect.
No forum rules against it of course, just a personal observation...
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