2024 Champion Hurdle (Previously Constitution Hill thread)

[Istabraq]

He made the decision back in April. Buckley caught up in May, We get told in September.

To be fair you got told in June...

[RoadToCheltenham]

Worth noting as well - Nicky told the reporter that Constitution Hill had schooled fences.

He certainly won't have schooled them since ballooning to the size of a small house so must have been before he went to Tracey's for the summer.

[Lobos]

Worth noting as well - Nicky told the reporter that Constitution Hill had schooled fences.

He certainly won't have schooled them since ballooning to the size of a small house so must have been before he went to Tracey's for the summer.

Yep. That's the promising part I'm hanging onto. Go on Nicky and Micky......be brave and make him the GOAT.

[Lobos]

To be fair you got told in June...

But punters aren't convinced as he'd be 1/4 by now. Not long to wait though. We can all move forward then.

[archie]

Most of us moved forward months ago.

[Lobos]

Most of us moved forward months ago.

Don't think so Archie..... certainly not on the punting front. Hardly anything staked on Churdle or Arkle. Be good to be able to move on next week though.

[Bollinger]

But punters aren't convinced as he'd be 1/4 by now. Not long to wait though. We can all move forward then.

Lobos, why would Constitution Hill be 1/4, even if confirmed for the champion hurdle, 6 months out?

C’mon now.

[Lobos]

Lobos, why would Constitution Hill be 1/4, even if confirmed for the champion hurdle, 6 months out?

C’mon now.

Because he's pretty good

[Bollinger]

Because he's pretty good

That’s a pretty poor statement to make with regards to a”1/4” price you think he should be 6 months out, and I’m fairly sure you’ve quoted 1/8 on the day, if he was fit, a comment you made several months ago.

If, for instance he is confirmed next week over hurdles (and it still might be fences I will concede, but not over 2 miles -Buckley has all but confirmed that, and quoted that), his current 8/11 price with Skybet will be, at best, an 8/15 job. At best, with a large snip into 1/2 a distinct possibility.

Other bookies that already have him at 4/6 may feel the need to shorten further, and will do I’d suggest into a 4/9 price. Possibly 2/5 too. Bet Victor have him already at 4/9, so it’s a little bleary as to what they cut him to, but a 4/11 price would theoretically sound realistic.

Move forwards 6 months hence, and the morning of ; If both Con ‘Hill & State Man have cleared up in their respective country’s 2 mile hurdle races and shown exactly the same kind of levels of precocity as last season, then your 1/4 price is likely to ring true. State Man will be hovering around 10/3/ 7/2 ish - dependant on who else might be lining up.

But 1/4’s won’t be dished out in September.

Man City, Max Verstappen and Novak Djokovic are also ‘pretty good’ at what they do, in comparison to their nearest competitors in their chosen fields, but 1/4’s aren’t dished out pre season to them.

[Lobos]

Hopefully it won't matter anyway and he'll go chasing. I've got everything crossed they make the right decision.

[RoadToCheltenham]

Hopefully it won't matter anyway and he'll go chasing. I've got everything crossed they make the right decision.

You've got no chance!!! (0.1% of a chance)

[HoldenTheReins]

Looked like he hardly got the Aintree trip. No chance of the gold cup trip imo. Hurdling all day.

[Lobos]

You've got no chance!!! (0.1% of a chance)

I'll take that

[Lobos]

Looked like he hardly got the Aintree trip. No chance of the gold cup trip imo. Hurdling all day.

They said Kauto wouldn't stay.

Hendo said CH will stay ANY trip didn't he ?

[Saxon Warrior]

Looked like he hardly got the Aintree trip. No chance of the gold cup trip imo. Hurdling all day.

I wasn’t very taken with his finish over 2M4F at Aintree, I thought at the longer trip he would just saunter further away - didn’t happen the way I thought it would.

Maybe that’s helping the decision to stay hurdling.