‘Win Today’ & 2024 Festival

[Benjy23]

Think often better to back the horse to win & then reinvest ….specially if ur watching live & can get on fairly quickly after

That's kind of my point, that I think you're potentially wrong in this case. Currently a shade of odds on for today and 33s for the Stayers top price. As I said, she shouldn't be clipped too much if winning today but any movement will likely see the 50s as fair.

It's very rare that these are fair these days. And this is one example of one being fair. Which was all I really said.

Wouldn't expect to be able to get on quickly as market will be suspended. I've had a look at doing this with a few others this week and it's not been an option. Although she's one I guess could go under the radar for the Stayers market.

Down Memory Lane and any race I could've been interested in but 16s seems a bit tight. Especially as he's 14s just any race. Might as well leave the beaten and handicap option open at 14s as take the 16s to be honest. Although at 1/3 today couldn't have hoped for much.

[Benjy23]

Woodoh at 50s with the Triumph is another that's actually decent 'value', at the respective prices for each race. Although she must have a pretty unusual profile for the triumph with 3 hurdle runs by mid November! So probably a value loser at best

[Kevloaf]

…Hills added;

Brandy Love & a/r 9-1; MC 14-1
Cadell & AB 40-1
Wodhooh & TH 50-1
Down Memory Lane & a/r 14-1; Sup 33-1; Bally 20-1
Dr Legislator & a/r 40-1
Theleme & Stay 10-1
Ile Atlantique & a.r 14-1; Bally 33-1; AB 33-1
No Time to Wait & AB 66-1

Down Memory Lane is still unchanged despite the 2nd fav coming out and now 1/5

The 20/1 and 14/1 any race maybe worth taking another look at

[Kevloaf]

Woodoh at 50s with the Triumph is another that's actually decent 'value', at the respective prices for each race. Although she must have a pretty unusual profile for the triumph with 3 hurdle runs by mid November! So probably a value loser at best

I've backed this morning but given the number of runs the handicap route must be odds on

[Benjy23]

I've backed this morning but given the number of runs the handicap route must be odds on

Yea, I'm sure there's a stat around a few recent triumph winners not having their first run until December. Nevermind three runs before then!

Although as a 4 year old she wouldn't need that many runs for the Fred Winter anyway. And can they actually qualify for other handicap hurdles?

Maybe she's just not that good.

[Carnage at Taunton]

Down Memory Lane is still unchanged despite the 2nd fav coming out and now 1/5

The 20/1 and 14/1 any race maybe worth taking another look at

Thanks Kev
Have backed him for Bally, but can use that as an attempt to cover in case of Supreme

[Kevloaf]

Thanks Kev
Have backed him for Bally, but can use that as an attempt to cover in case of Supreme

Yeah did the exact same myself for the same reasons

[Kevloaf]

Yea, I'm sure there's a stat around a few recent triumph winners not having their first run until December. Nevermind three runs before then!

Although as a 4 year old she wouldn't need that many runs for the Fred Winter anyway. And can they actually qualify for other handicap hurdles?

Maybe she's just not that good.

Well we#re still alive, but in the virtual bin?

[Benjy23]

Well we#re still alive, but in the virtual bin?

Aye, straight in the virtual bin.

1/4 SP though, and top price of 33s for the Triumph still. So barely a 40/1 double. We got 50s. Value!

[Carnage at Taunton]

Yeah did the exact same myself for the same reasons

He’s nice horse Kev, jumped fine.
Can relax a bit now with races covered.
Cheers

[Lobos]

People finally coming around to TWAR

[Kevloaf]

People finally coming around to TWAR

I thought we settled this when Galvin won the NH Chase and I won more

[Eggs]

….Sunday Hills;

Dinoblue & MC 7-1; Ry 40-1
Sir G & Ry 66-1; GC 150-1
Corbett’s & a/r 8-1; Turn 14-1; BANC 12-1; NHC 25-1
Grangeclare & a/r 16-1; Turn 33-1; NHC 33-1; BANC 40-1

….plus;

Il est Francais & a/r 10-1; Turn 25-1; BANC 25-1
KoK & a/r 33-1
Slade Steel & a/r 33-1
Golden Joy & a.r 25-1
Southoftheborder & Sup 50-1

[Carnage at Taunton]

Southoftheborder available at 50 for Supreme

[Eggs]

….Hills today;

Queens Gamble & MNH 28-1
East India Express & a/r 25-1
Langer Dan & Pert 40-1