2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle

[Lobos]

Money continues to pump in for Vega. 7/4 now. Huge confidence behind him again. Was 11/4 this time last week.

[darlojim]

The weapon is back!

[Kevloaf]

The weapon is back!

American Mike?

[Istabraq]

American Mike?

Have to say when I saw the decs I nearly choked on my tea, seriously what is the point in leaving him in ?

[Lobos]

Have to say when I saw the decs I nearly choked on my tea, seriously what is the point in leaving him in ?

Ground turning Very Soft is all I can come up with.

[darlojim]

American Mike?

Facile Vega is going to be ON THE STEEELLLLLL coming to the last

[Odin]

Money continues to pump in for Vega. 7/4 now. Huge confidence behind him again. Was 11/4 this time last week.

The punters are latching on to my undying faith in this horse's ability to go off odds on

[Carnage at Taunton]

The punters are latching on to my undying faith in this horse's ability to go off odds on

I sincerely hope he does go odds on, I can then back MN, as I could do with one of the top 2 onside

[Madmoose]

Hope he goes odds on so I can lay some of my FV bets off

[DenmanSacre]

Stat on Twitter (so probably not true)

Willie Mullins has run 95 horses at the Cheltenham Festival that were a beaten favourite last time out. Out of those only two won.
Out of the seven of them that also started favourite at the festival, none even placed.

Put your FV tickets in the bin and start again

[Geegees]

Stat on Twitter (so probably not true)

Willie Mullins has run 95 horses at the Cheltenham Festival that were a beaten favourite last time out. Out of those only two won.
Out of the seven of them that also started favourite at the festival, none even placed.

Put your FV tickets in the bin and start again

Stats are made to be broken … infacilewetrust

[Kevloaf]

Stat on Twitter (so probably not true)

Willie Mullins has run 95 horses at the Cheltenham Festival that were a beaten favourite last time out. Out of those only two won.
Out of the seven of them that also started favourite at the festival, none even placed.

Put your FV tickets in the bin and start again

If that is true, I'm going to lay off a big chunk of my Facile Vega bets I think.


Odin baybay, where are you

[Hurricane fly]

This all just backs up how obvious the 6/1 after DRF was to take.

If he touches evens lay off stake and have a free 5/1 shot. Odds that were available for under a week in the last 12 months.

[Kevloaf]

This all just backs up how obvious the 6/1 after DRF was to take.

If he touches evens lay off stake and have a free 5/1 shot. Odds that were available for under a week in the last 12 months.

The "price is everything" banners out in force.

Wholeheartidly agree.

[Odin]

Stat on Twitter (so probably not true)

Willie Mullins has run 95 horses at the Cheltenham Festival that were a beaten favourite last time out. Out of those only two won.
Out of the seven of them that also started favourite at the festival, none even placed.

Put your FV tickets in the bin and start again

It's not quite as bad as you mention by my numbers but it's still a fairly accurate statistic.

I have 2 winners from 88 runners, 16 placed for favourites last time out. Including joint-favourites and co-favourites makes it 3-95, 18 placed.

If you narrow it down to those horses who were still Mullins' number 1 at the festival, the number is 3-46, 11 places. Take out handicaps it's 3-31, 7 places. Hurdles only are 2-14, 3 places. Winners were penhill (2018 stayers), black Hercules (2016 jlt), quevega (2010 mares).

Novice hurdles are 0-7, no places. Colreevy, fabulous saga, sous Les cieux, zaidpour, quel esprit, cousin Vinny, uncle junior. Only one of these (cousin Vinny) went off favourite.