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2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle

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  • #46
    FV back into favourite now on the exchanges this morning

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    • #47
      Originally posted by Geegees View Post
      Given the perceived lack of strong quality in the field then I am surprised there aren’t more willing to put a line through the FV run and still count him as the most likely winner.

      Townsend clearly got it wrong and won’t be doing that again, FV been to Cheltenham, hurdles reasonably well and has beat IET previously although granted they could have also improved

      Jumped on FV at 4/1 and expect him to be a lot shorter on the day. Do think he will probably be the horse in a lot of specials come the day
      I feel the same way. Oddly, I'm actually more confident of him winning now given everything that's been said than I was before - which is great because I hadn't backed him previously! Also think the way he was ridden after the last ties in with darlojim lack of full fitness information quite clearly.

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      • #48
        Originally posted by Geegees View Post
        Given the perceived lack of strong quality in the field then I am surprised there aren’t more willing to put a line through the FV run and still count him as the most likely winner.

        Townsend clearly got it wrong and won’t be doing that again, FV been to Cheltenham, hurdles reasonably well and has beat IET previously although granted they could have also improved

        Jumped on FV at 4/1 and expect him to be a lot shorter on the day. Do think he will probably be the horse in a lot of specials come the day
        Totally agree. We are getting a 400% increase in his price, with the security of NRNB.

        The way Mullins has always talked about him has meant he's always been shorter in the market than he should have been but to go from 4/6 > 4/1, with the valid excuses, is quite surprising.

        Comment


        • #49
          ….FV boosted to 4-1 NRNB in 365 Supreme market.

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          • #50
            Cheers Eggs, had taken 7/2,didn't see this hidden away. So cashed out and rebacked.

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            • #51
              Is it bonkers to like Tahmuras for this, watched the Tolworth back and just looked like he needed to be in a better race. He's never faced decent opposition, but you can only beat what's put in front of you.

              This appears to be a wide open race.

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              • #52
                Originally posted by PaisleyClegg View Post
                Is it bonkers to like Tahmuras for this, watched the Tolworth back and just looked like he needed to be in a better race. He's never faced decent opposition, but you can only beat what's put in front of you.

                This appears to be a wide open race.
                No, not I’m my opinion.
                Think he’s a fair price for a horse we don’t really know how good he could be.
                And it is wide open now.
                And a definite runner, unlike some who are shorter.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Fair few interesting ones entered at Naas on Sunday.

                  Tactical Move is one I've been waiting for, think he could be a lively Supreme outsider. American Mike, Doctor Bravo and Hunters Yarn also in there. 4th run for Hunters Yarn which could line him up for a handicap.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    Originally posted by PaisleyClegg View Post
                    Is it bonkers to like Tahmuras for this, watched the Tolworth back and just looked like he needed to be in a better race. He's never faced decent opposition, but you can only beat what's put in front of you.

                    This appears to be a wide open race.
                    I can’t get over the price he is.

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Still consider myself a rank amateur on all this, but to my eye and all things relative to the level we're talking about, FV isn't exactly the most pleasing of jumpers is he? Everyone is talking about the cut throat speed him and HD went at, but not much attention being paid to him looking a bang average jumper on the evidence thus far.

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                      • #56
                        Just watching this week's UTA, Johnny D says Facile Vega is on his list of horses he would never back again now, reckons he must have either blead or had a defibrillated heart.

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Originally posted by Many Clouds View Post
                          Just watching this week's UTA, Johnny D says Facile Vega is on his list of horses he would never back again now, reckons he must have either blead or had a defibrillated heart.
                          Then he goes and tips High Definition for the Supreme

                          Is he getting paid for this ?

                          Make a good comedian

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                            ….FV boosted to 4-1 NRNB in 365 Supreme market.
                            Thanks for highlighting.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Originally posted by Liammet View Post

                              Then he goes and tips High Definition for the Supreme

                              Is he getting paid for this ?

                              Make a good comedian
                              Not watched it yet(never used to but comedy gold these days) but he couldn't have High definition for his life at the weekend so that is surprising.

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                Originally posted by Many Clouds View Post
                                Just watching this week's UTA, Johnny D says Facile Vega is on his list of horses he would never back again now, reckons he must have either blead or had a defibrillated heart.
                                Horses who have had a defibrillated heart have time and time again come right back to form afterwards and never had the issue arise again, so doesn’t make a lot of sense for him to completely avoid if that is the reason. If the horse bled though then that can be a continuous issue.

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