Originally posted by Lobos
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2023 Mares Novice Hurdle
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Had my first look into this
Magical Zoe's first run out in bumpers, I mean, thats some cheek that was the way she just pathed her path around them all. Impressed how she's won her races.
The search continues though... want something thats a little tough
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostJust realised Ashroe Diamond, after taking on the boys all winter, has no entries in any of the 3 Novice Hurdles.
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostJust realised Ashroe Diamond, after taking on the boys all winter, has no entries in any of the 3 Novice Hurdles.
Is 5/1 value ?
No, but a win next week and/or a poor Luccia update and that 5/1 becomes 9/4.
I’m tempted…
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I don’t quite get it to be honest, someone can pipe in on what I say below.
What is the point in ‘hiding’ her in Grade 1’s with no attempt to win, then go and win a race where you’ll get a penalty in the intended race anyway, makes absolutely no sense to me whatever!
Why not just run on merit in mares races where you’re not going to have any more a penalty whether you win 1, 2 or 3 races (provided it’s not a Grade 1). Wins under the belt, happy owners etc.
Something doesn’t add up for me.
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Originally posted by Craigy14 View PostI don’t quite get it to be honest, someone can pipe in on what I say below.
What is the point in ‘hiding’ her in Grade 1’s with no attempt to win, then go and win a race where you’ll get a penalty in the intended race anyway, makes absolutely no sense to me whatever!
Why not just run on merit in mares races where you’re not going to have any more a penalty whether you win 1, 2 or 3 races (provided it’s not a Grade 1). Wins under the belt, happy owners etc.
Something doesn’t add up for me.
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Originally posted by Craigy14 View PostI don’t quite get it to be honest, someone can pipe in on what I say below.
What is the point in ‘hiding’ her in Grade 1’s with no attempt to win, then go and win a race where you’ll get a penalty in the intended race anyway, makes absolutely no sense to me whatever!
Why not just run on merit in mares races where you’re not going to have any more a penalty whether you win 1, 2 or 3 races (provided it’s not a Grade 1). Wins under the belt, happy owners etc.
Something doesn’t add up for me.
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Originally posted by Craigy14 View PostI don’t quite get it to be honest, someone can pipe in on what I say below.
What is the point in ‘hiding’ her in Grade 1’s with no attempt to win, then go and win a race where you’ll get a penalty in the intended race anyway, makes absolutely no sense to me whatever!
Why not just run on merit in mares races where you’re not going to have any more a penalty whether you win 1, 2 or 3 races (provided it’s not a Grade 1). Wins under the belt, happy owners etc.
Something doesn’t add up for me.
There may be a grand scheme plan with her and she may bolt up in this race, the biggest I can remember her being is 10s and she’s been second favourite for a long time I think so she’s hardly gone under the radar. I’d be very surprised if many on here didn’t put her in their portfolio when she was double figures. Many others have put their hat in the ring since then and i don’t entirely understand folks getting excited about her at half the odds if they weren’t excited at double figures before others had even emerged.
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Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View PostShe wasn't hidden away in the Royal bond
She travelled into it beautifully and looked the winner before finding very little for pressure
That would worry me for the Cheltenham hill
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Has Willie ever trained the MNH winner and his best Novice Mare for Cheltenham in the same way he's running Ashroe Diamond?
She was definitely his best Autumn Mare, and got her going early with the Royal Bond the early target
He's done this for years, with Mares.
Statuaire last season won the Royal Bond.
SWIW would have too, but for her injury when winning her prep race for it.
One day one of these early Mares will last all the way to March for him.
Could be this year, I suppose.
But I've never seen any of the previous ones as a plot, just taking the races as they come."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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Originally posted by Lbur4288 View Post
I don't see it like that, she was coming from the rear in both races this season and stayed on without being near the level needed for the novice hurdle races. Hidden away makes it sound like a handicap plot but I do think she has been running against superior opposition to avoid any penalties - it gets her race fit too and if it gives her a better chance of winning then avoiding the penalty will only help her. I think she will enjoy the hill (stayed on nicely in the Royal Bond) too. Regardless of the logistics of her race planning previously I think 5s is still good value in a race not giving much away.
So she was in the ideal position
And I wouldn't say she stayed on nicely in the Royal bond, she found little after travelling better than Irish point and as well as marine nationale
Does she have the profile of willies usual winners in this race? Il have a look
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