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2023 Mares Novice Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by HesTheOne View Post
    Don’t think FV sister will be in the mix, vibes from the owners were she was decent but they weren’t jumping up and down about her (albeit this was early in the season)

    Equally I do not see Luccia being diverted to supreme, highlighted it before it’s not Nickys style to run a good mare against 2m geldings at the festival. She’s taking the talworth run cause the timing suits & she likes the track. In all seriousness it will not be near the quality competition you’d face in a supreme come March.

    and the fact it’s the owners first chance at a Cheltenham winner or a major win at all (biggest win they have beyond her is a grade 3 handicap in 2018).

    If people even consider her good enough to run in a supreme then she is surely a shoe in for MNH, as an owner you’d go for the easier race to secure that 1st festival winner.
    As an owner I wouldn’t.
    Just in general- I’d go for glory every time.
    especially so if small time.
    In this example though it would depend on a few things so I’d wait till last minute, as always.

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    • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

      As an owner I wouldn’t.
      Just in general- I’d go for glory every time.
      especially so if small time.
      In this example though it would depend on a few things so I’d wait till last minute, as always.
      Yea I can see the glory point, I’d be more of the conservative side myself. It would be naive of me to pretending to know what they want but that’s how I see it playing out.

      Of course like fellow FJ’s - I will hold my opinion true till I’m proven horribly wrong and then in hindsight say I seen in coming..

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      • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

        As an owner I wouldn’t.
        Just in general- I’d go for glory every time.
        especially so if small time.
        In this example though it would depend on a few things so I’d wait till last minute, as always.
        100% agree

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        • Ho My Lord has took some money before he runs in the next.

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          • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
            Ho My Lord has took some money before he runs in the next.
            Serious money Q, shame she aint priced up

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            • Originally posted by darlojim View Post

              Serious money Q, shame she aint priced up
              Shame he fell.
              I was on at 20's

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              • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                Shame he fell.
                I was on at 20's
                holy fuck...

                Might be one that got away that mate

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                • Bookies seem fairly impressed with Lot of Joy there. Trimmed with most - they're cutting for finishing second now then...

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                  • Originally posted by RoadToCheltenham View Post
                    Bookies seem fairly impressed with Lot of Joy there. Trimmed with most - they're cutting for finishing second now then...
                    2 1/2m soft ground and stiff finish probably too much for her there. A drop back and better ground will help. She'll need to improve again though.

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                    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                      2 1/2m soft ground and stiff finish probably too much for her there. A drop back and better ground will help. She'll need to improve again though.
                      I get that angle but Denise cutting her from 16/1 to 10/1 for that is rancid.

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                      • Originally posted by RoadToCheltenham View Post

                        I get that angle but Denise cutting her from 16/1 to 10/1 for that is rancid.
                        Absolutely. Maybe Willie has said something after the race

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                        • Originally posted by RoadToCheltenham View Post

                          I get that angle but Denise cutting her from 16/1 to 10/1 for that is rancid.
                          …remains unchanged @ 20-1 with a few firms.

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                          • Pink in the park entered for the mares hurdle at fairyhouse on sunday, same one in which allegorie de vassy won last year, over the same course and distance as the solerina.

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                            • Originally posted by YoungHustler View Post

                              I'm really excited by Luccia and she is a strong bet for me. I have less than 1pt on her as a single so am curious how many points would make it a proper one for you? A proper bet for me is 1pt as that is my average cash stake.
                              For Cheltenham I’d do something like 15-20 points a race split across maybe 3 or 4 antepost and on the day. And if I fancy one massive like Gaelic last year, I’d have something like 30 points on the one horse.

                              My betting for Cheltenham deliberately dwarfs everything else. That’s always been my MO.

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                              • Credrojava beating She's a Saint at Taunton just then, slight knock to the Luccia form?

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