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June - In loving memory of Roger Diamond Geezer Hunter
As has been the way in recent years, this will be a Gordon Elliott Yankee which we’ve done well in. I’d say this is the one themed Yankee that has made the most profit across the last 4 years.
I’ll kick us off with Three Stripe Life at 16s for the Turners
Of the horses that I backed at Cheltenham at a big price, but then failed to do so at Punchestown, the one that hurt the most was Mighty Potter, so there may be a feeling of desired retribution in this - but Mighty Potter 14s for the Arkle would be one suggestion to throw into the mix.
Other fairly obvious and easy selection would be American Mike in Ballymore at 10s
I'm going to throw a bit of a left field one in here and I'll try and give reasons for doing so.
Now I know Frontal Assault is the standout Gordon candidate for the NHC and one I do like although Chemical Energy is another that may go under the radar.
I know CE was a lot of people's, myself included, idea of a Martin Pipe horse and he ultimately finished in a disappointing 8th place. Looking back at the race, he did have a lot go wrong including him getting kicked by another horse.
Despite that, Gordon wasted no time getting him over fences a month later in a half decent race where he finished 5th of 10 at Kilbeggan. I do think he'll persist with him and he will definitely improve as he goes up in trip and getting the chase experience alongside. He ticks a good few boxes and will be 7yr old by the time the NHC comes around. He's only priced up with 365/Unibet at 33s at the time of this post but I'd be happy to request odds elsewhere if anyone is keen?
Not sure about American Mike he could improve for hurdles but has been firmly put in his place twice now by facile vega.
Id probably go for
mighty potter - arkle
three stripe life - turners
riviere detel - mares chase
delta work - xc
Frontal Assault (mentioned above) is a stand-out 25-1 for NHC with Hills, be surprised if that’s still there at the end of the month but anything around those odds has to be a consideration.
We know Queens Brook is a difficult mare to train but if she’s staying over hurdles, then 12-1 is perfectly reasonable for another crack at the Mares Hurdle after coming close in March.
I’ve bored enough threads with my views in Conflated and Farouk D’Alene in the Gold Cup, 33/1 and 40/1 look serious value to me…
I know Gordon was keen on this years Gold Cup for Conflated but I do think he might have another crack at the Ryanair, if you take Allaho out of the market (unlikely but I do believe the gold cup is likely to be at the very least discussed) then its a very winnable looking race for Conflated. He was unlucky in falling this year (albeit not ever catching Allaho).
I know Gordon was keen on this years Gold Cup for Conflated but I do think he might have another crack at the Ryanair, if you take Allaho out of the market (unlikely but I do believe the gold cup is likely to be at the very least discussed) then its a very winnable looking race for Conflated. He was unlucky in falling this year (albeit not ever catching Allaho).
He looks all stamina to me.
Aintree won’t have played to his strengths but he made up plenty of ground to get to a length of Clam Des Obeaux.
Conflated started the season a 145 chaser and finished it 168 and I’m convinced there’s further improvement in him.
Of course A Plus Tard put up a performance for the ages and Galopin des Champs looks a freak, but Conflated won’t have to improve a great deal on his current mark to go close in a Gold Cup…
I was looking at the 3 big novice chasers for Gordon and I came up with the below, feel free to scoff......
Mighty Potter - Arkle : shows speed and won the 2m grade 1 hurdle at Punchestown beating Sir Gerhard and Dysart Dynamo, size and scope for a chaser, Arkle looks to suit. Fil D'Or - Turners : smart juvenile last season finishing either 1st or 2nd in each race, looks as though step up in trip will suit, maybe the Turners over 2m 3f ill suit. Three Stripe Life - Brown Advisory : 2nd in the Ballymore behind Sir Gerhard, he then won at Aintree easily over 2m 4f, he has looked better the further he's went and I think he might be a 3 miler.
As for the bet, got and add Delta Work in the Cross Country, he looks a banker.
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