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Cheltenham 2023 - Early fancies

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  • Originally posted by Liamdan69 View Post

    On @ 40s Turners


    The crime is aftertiming....the sentence....is death

    Comment


    • Originally posted by darlojim View Post

      God how did you get 40s???

      Top punter.

      ….i presume he took the 40-1 Mighty Potter for next years Turners (33-1 Arkle) with SkyBet last December.

      Might actually be worth opening a thread later this year on the 2024 Festival. I remember when Facile Vega started to get highlighted on here, I posted he was 66/1 at that point to win the CB and a/r the following year.
      Last edited by Eggs; 27 September 2022, 12:13 PM.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by robith View Post



        The crime is aftertiming....the sentence....is death
        Great post

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


          ….i presume he took the 40-1 Mighty Potter for next years Turners (33-1 Arkle) with SkyBet last December.

          Might actually be worth opening a thread later this year on the 2024 Festival. I remember when Facile Vega started to get highlighted on here, I posted he was 66/1 at that point to win the CB and a/r the following year.
          Yeah, there were a lot of prices floating about for all manner of different horses, so I'm not surprised some have some juicy odds about certain ones that are now short enough.

          I'd love to say I joined the party, but I picked the wrong race for Constitution Hill, thinking he'd go chasing

          Fair play to those who have them 66's about FV, I'd be over the moon with them tickets.

          I guess the problem arises where there is no word from some members at the time then they appear saying they have x horse at xxx/x odds.

          Maybe a thread would help, but the bets are still such a long way off that I can't see anyone wanting to oversee it and keeping tabs on who says/backs what etc... ( Quevega might, as it agitates him a fair bit ) so as to keep on top of after timing etc... which seems to be the main issue some have a problem with. Me, personally, I couldn't care less. More worried about my own positions.

          I'm thinking of ditching my diary next season and just posting my +525% ROI after the festival has been

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


            ….i presume he took the 40-1 Mighty Potter for next years Turners (33-1 Arkle) with SkyBet last December.

            Might actually be worth opening a thread later this year on the 2024 Festival. I remember when Facile Vega started to get highlighted on here, I posted he was 66/1 at that point to win the CB and a/r the following year.
            In the members section or the price will go instantly

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


              ….i presume he took the 40-1 Mighty Potter for next years Turners (33-1 Arkle) with SkyBet last December.

              Might actually be worth opening a thread later this year on the 2024 Festival. I remember when Facile Vega started to get highlighted on here, I posted he was 66/1 at that point to win the CB and a/r the following year.
              Facile was 125-1 bumper supreme wasn't he ?

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Winging The Last View Post

                In the members section or the price will go instantly
                I think they were going in either the Sky RABs section or the Win today and at the festival section. As Eggs mentioned I think he shared there was Facile Vega for the CB/ar 2023 at 66s highlighted and the CB/Supreme was put up and 80s and I remember saying they'd accidentally put it up again at 150s. Might be an idea to set up something in the members section as suggested

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                  Facile was 125-1 bumper supreme wasn't he ?
                  Was up twice at 150s and 80s.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                    Yeah, there were a lot of prices floating about for all manner of different horses, so I'm not surprised some have some juicy odds about certain ones that are now short enough.

                    I'd love to say I joined the party, but I picked the wrong race for Constitution Hill, thinking he'd go chasing

                    Fair play to those who have them 66's about FV, I'd be over the moon with them tickets.

                    I guess the problem arises where there is no word from some members at the time then they appear saying they have x horse at xxx/x odds.

                    Maybe a thread would help, but the bets are still such a long way off that I can't see anyone wanting to oversee it and keeping tabs on who says/backs what etc... ( Quevega might, as it agitates him a fair bit ) so as to keep on top of after timing etc... which seems to be the main issue some have a problem with. Me, personally, I couldn't care less. More worried about my own positions.

                    I'm thinking of ditching my diary next season and just posting my +525% ROI after the festival has been

                    ….I’d be happy facilitating such a thread. I think tying in detail from Stable Tours etc could be a route to looking for a bit of value for future festivals.

                    When you have a very decent novice hurdler like MP, for example, who Elliott says will make a better chaser, then the next years Novice Chases have to be a serious consideration.
                    Last edited by Eggs; 27 September 2022, 01:31 PM.

                    Comment


                    • As it was only their second post I feel bad picking on them a bit. Welcome aboard. We're a friendly bunch, but obsessives. One of the things that keeps this place on the level is transparency to avoid the willy waving so prevalent on this sport. As such brief posts simply with a long gone price are unlikely to be received well. And after all, we're just faceless nobodies, who are you really impressing?

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                        Facile was 125-1 bumper supreme wasn't he ?
                        I got 150/1 (Sorry not sure why I didn't take A/R too (all in my diary tbf...)), so if ever you all needed a cast iron guarantee that he's Ballymore bound...

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


                          ….I’d be happy facilitating such a thread. I think tying in detail from Stable Tours etc could be a route to looking for a bit of value for future festivals.

                          When you have a very decent novice hurdler like MP, for example, who Elliott says will make a better chaser, then the next years Novice Chases have to be a serious consideration.
                          I did a few early door's last dec and jan. for this year , posted it in the 22 diary , but i seem to remember people were getting a bit Moody about posting those so far in advance ??. If you do mind the thread Egg's , I'll definitely log any i do in there . .

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                          • Facile Vega was 50/1 A/R for this season at the biggest last season.
                            Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Spectre View Post
                              Facile Vega was 50/1 A/R for this season at the biggest last season.

                              ….he was 66-1 to win CB & a/r in 2023 with Sky.

                              Comment


                              • I'm still not convinced how great a lot of those bets actually are to be honest, as much as they may look fancy now.

                                What price was FV to win the Supreme immediately after the Bumper?

                                Lovely tickets to be sitting on right now of course but are they actually any better than the rolling singles would've been?

                                Running with the 80/1... I'd guess he was 16s for the bumper at the time (as an absolute minimum). So you'd need him 7/2 or below for the Supreme. It's probably about right isn't it. But not any real great value above separating the bets like.

                                ​​​​​​
                                Last edited by Benjy23; 27 September 2022, 05:45 PM.

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