Cheltenham 2023 - Early fancies

[IstabraqBarRegular]

Just looking at the AN TOBAR point to point form
From his win, from the other 8 finishers, 5 have won since, two of them have finished 2nd and the final horse is unraced since
Had a few bob on at 20/1 for the Ballymore
Does anybody have a link to his point to point win ?
CHEERS

[ComplyOrDie]

According to the RP site his current OR is 139 so with a tax I would think we are looking around 145

The only other issue is IF backing E/W like I like to do, you only get 3 places for any race, but guaranteed to get more for the Pertemps nearer the time. Even when prices open up for the handicaps for this years handicaps they went 5 places, then obviously increased places on the days of the festival too.

I do like his price though!

[Hurricane fly]

Love the thinking HF and couldn’t disagree.
That said he was 154 in last seasons Coral Cup, does he have a revised UK rating ?
Could be he’d sit somewhere in the 143-147 bracket (UK) which isn’t a horrible mark…

According to the RP site his current OR is 139 so with a tax I would think we are looking around 145

[Istabraq]

I put this in my diary, but The Bosses Oscar is now rated 139 over hurdles, just 1lb over the weight he went into Cheltenham pre boost for the Pertemps.

He will be 8 next festival and has tumbled 15lbs in the space of 3 races, while being kept "active" in the first part of summer. At 20/1 Any Race I think he's already being plotted for the Pertemps.

Runs well fresh so can trundle round in 5th around Christmas time and be comfortable getting in

Love the thinking HF and couldn’t disagree.
That said he was 154 in last seasons Coral Cup, does he have a revised UK rating ?
Could be he’d sit somewhere in the 143-147 bracket (UK) which isn’t a horrible mark…

[Hurricane fly]

I put this in my diary, but The Bosses Oscar is now rated 139 over hurdles, just 1lb over the weight he went into Cheltenham pre boost for the Pertemps.

He will be 8 next festival and has tumbled 15lbs in the space of 3 races, while being kept "active" in the first part of summer. At 20/1 Any Race I think he's already being plotted for the Pertemps.

Runs well fresh so can trundle round in 5th around Christmas time and be comfortable getting in

[Saxon Warrior]

I asked 365 for a price on Luccia and sadly got rejected. Hopefully someone else has better luck with a request

Thanks for trying BB.

[That Horse]

It's probably worth asking Paddy Power or Sportsbook to price her up. If they match up with William Hill you should be able to boost her to 15/1 with SB, and you'll have the cash out option.

Neither have the mares novice market up yet Spectre

[Spectre]

It's probably worth asking Paddy Power or Sportsbook to price her up. If they match up with William Hill you should be able to boost her to 15/1 with SB, and you'll have the cash out option.

[BookieBasher]

14/1 was the 'par' price I was thinking too, so now she is fair value with Will Hill.

As I mentioned yesterday, it may be worth asking 365 to add her to their MNH market.

They too could give an opening quote above the 14s WH have dropped too.

I can no longer request prices with them, unfortunately.

I asked 365 for a price on Luccia and sadly got rejected. Hopefully someone else has better luck with a request

[Saxon Warrior]

I'd say anything 14/1 or better is a good price for her

25s was a gift

14/1 was the 'par' price I was thinking too, so now she is fair value with Will Hill.

As I mentioned yesterday, it may be worth asking 365 to add her to their MNH market.

They too could give an opening quote above the 14s WH have dropped too.

I can no longer request prices with them, unfortunately.

[Eggs]

….Luccia into 14-1 Hills for MNH.

[FinalFurlong91]

I'd say anything 14/1 or better is a good price for her

25s was a gift

[nortonscoin200]

Great spot FinalFurlong91 - she's now been cut to 20-1 with WH but worth a punt in my book.

[Saxon Warrior]

Hills have priced up luccia to win the mares novice at 25/1

She looked extremely good in both bumpers this looks very generous to me

“She looked good there, didn’t she? I said to her owner, ‘There’s a nice novice hurdle for her in a week’s time’, and before I could get out ‘in a year’s time’, he thought I was going to run her next week (at Cheltenham). I thought she would win at Warwick.

“I thought we would win this, until Milton (Harris) suddenly came with the horse who looked as if she would go to the Champion Bumper (Mullenbeg) and all that rain overnight, and put what would have been nice ground here today, back to where it has been all winter – horrible. And it didn’t seem to bother her at all.

“I thought it would run to speed – which she has got – so she could go to Aintree for that mares’ bumper. It is either Aintree or bed – one of the two. The obvious objective is a week’s time next year, the mares’ novice hurdle at Cheltenham.

I'd have her well shorter than 25s personally

That is an insane price.
Was it loaded up today?

She was slashed to 10s and 7s by the price-cutters Skybet and Unibet after that March Bumper win.

They're too short of course, but 25/1 should be considered a good price and taken very quickly.

It's under the radar at the moment as its not pulling through on Oddschecker yet.

She beat Eabha Grace by 1/2 a furlong yet she's only 16s

Bet365 are quoting on the MNH, but she's not in the market with them yet.

May be worth a price request for her today, to see if they match the 25s.
If they do, snap it up with cashout.
And let FJ members know.

[FinalFurlong91]

Hills have priced up luccia to win the mares novice at 25/1

She looked extremely good in both bumpers this looks very generous to me

“She looked good there, didn’t she? I said to her owner, ‘There’s a nice novice hurdle for her in a week’s time’, and before I could get out ‘in a year’s time’, he thought I was going to run her next week (at Cheltenham). I thought she would win at Warwick.

“I thought we would win this, until Milton (Harris) suddenly came with the horse who looked as if she would go to the Champion Bumper (Mullenbeg) and all that rain overnight, and put what would have been nice ground here today, back to where it has been all winter – horrible. And it didn’t seem to bother her at all.

“I thought it would run to speed – which she has got – so she could go to Aintree for that mares’ bumper. It is either Aintree or bed – one of the two. The obvious objective is a week’s time next year, the mares’ novice hurdle at Cheltenham.

I'd have her well shorter than 25s personally