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For those potentially thinking of backing Cadzand at 40-1 to win the Betfair Hurdle and the County Hurdle, it might be of interest that only two horses have succesfully completed this double since 1963 (Neblin in 1987 and Spirit Leader in 2003). I don't know how many have tried the double but those that failed most likely scuppered their chances of the County by having their Handicap raised too much for winning the Betfair Hurdle.
Others may think differently but if you fancy Cadzand for the Betfair then IMO I would rather back him for that at 6-1 and then think about the County later. If he loses badly in the Betfair then his price (and chance) for the County will blown and similarly if he wins.
I have him backed for the County, so pocket talking I would rather he runs OK on Sunday, finishing in 3th or 4th. The problem is that the prize money for the Betfair is better than the County so the Skeltons will be wanting to win (echoes of Pic d'Orhy last year).
For those potentially thinking of backing Cadzand at 40-1 to win the Betfair Hurdle and the County Hurdle, it might be of interest that only two horses have succesfully completed this double since 1963 (Neblin in 1987 and Spirit Leader in 2003). I don't know how many have tried the double but those that failed most likely scuppered their chances of the County by having their Handicap raised too much for winning the Betfair Hurdle.
Others may think differently but if you fancy Cadzand for the Betfair then IMO I would rather back him for that at 6-1 and then think about the County later. If he loses badly in the Betfair then his price (and chance) for the County will blown and similarly if he wins.
I have him backed for the County, so pocket talking I would rather he runs OK on Sunday, finishing in 3th or 4th. The problem is that the prize money for the Betfair is better than the County so the Skeltons will be wanting to win (echoes of Pic d'Orhy last year).
Nobody can be fancying the double.
If anyone is on for the County (without NRNB) they should definitely be backing this weekend.
For those potentially thinking of backing Cadzand at 40-1 to win the Betfair Hurdle and the County Hurdle, it might be of interest that only two horses have succesfully completed this double since 1963 (Neblin in 1987 and Spirit Leader in 2003). I don't know how many have tried the double but those that failed most likely scuppered their chances of the County by having their Handicap raised too much for winning the Betfair Hurdle.
Others may think differently but if you fancy Cadzand for the Betfair then IMO I would rather back him for that at 6-1 and then think about the County later. If he loses badly in the Betfair then his price (and chance) for the County will blown and similarly if he wins.
I have him backed for the County, so pocket talking I would rather he runs OK on Sunday, finishing in 3th or 4th. The problem is that the prize money for the Betfair is better than the County so the Skeltons will be wanting to win (echoes of Pic d'Orhy last year).
If he wins the Betfair then surely they'll take their chance in the Supreme won't they ?
If he wins the Betfair then surely they'll take their chance in the Supreme won't they ?
My guess is that he'll be primed to win only one handicap and if they determine that race is the County, a race Skelton does very very well in, then I wouldn't expect to see him competitive tomorrow, but as you say if he wins the betfair hurdle he'll be 10-12lb higher for the County and that would probably be enough to end his chance so they'll have a crack at the Supreme.
But I'm only guessing...
The Betfair is worth plenty more than the County hurdle, couple that with Skelton not having Chelt as the be & end all anyone who thinks Cadzand won't try tomorrow but would at the fez is way off imo.
He has Proschema provisionally entered next week and he would need a win to get raised enough to get into the County, would clearly gain momentum if doing so given finding a Skelton runner is popular.
Last edited by Outlaw; 20 February 2021, 10:23 AM.
I had Ginto added to the Hills market to win tomorrow at Navan and Champ Bumper at 25/1. I was hoping for 33’s but 25’s is fair if he wins tomorrow. I’ll request it with Sky and see what they come back with
Skybet have come back with 25/1 too, there’s no value in that if you can get him at 28/1 with Cashout elsewhere
Last edited by The King Pimm; 21 February 2021, 09:44 AM.
I had Ginto added to the Hills market to win tomorrow at Navan and Champ Bumper at 25/1. I was hoping for 33’s but 25’s is fair if he wins tomorrow. I’ll request it with Sky and see what they come back with
Crickey, he'd need to bounce back from a pathetic first run (when well fancied), and then turn up at Cheltenham, and then win?
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The problem is that the prize money for the Betfair is better than the County so the Skeltons will be wanting to win (echoes of Pic d'Orhy last year). 
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