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To win TODAY and at the Festival

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  • The 28s looks even better value now there is support for goshen

    Hes 3.05 on the exchange and was 3.65 earlier

    15/8 General price now

    So if he wins at that and is cut to 5s the double would be 16/1

    Comment


    • 28/1 for Goshen to win tomorrow and the Champion Hurdle is an extremely strong price.

      BFR are 15/8 & 9/1 for those two events which is all but equal to 28/1.

      Its been the standout price offered on this thread for some time, whether he wins or not the maths of that price is basically saying

      "back him to win on Saturday, and if he does we will still give you 9/1 for the Champion"

      Apart from Epatante there is nothing left in Britain for the Champion Hurdle (that isn't injured or chasing) that isn't lining up tomorrow.

      If Goshen beats them tomorrow, I would be most surprised if he stayed 9/1.
      Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 11 December 2020, 07:33 PM.
      "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

      Comment


      • Where’s this 28/1?

        edit: found it - sorry I’ve had a few!
        Last edited by Topofthegame2021; 11 December 2020, 08:05 PM.

        Comment


        • Didn’t have a penny on Goshen this year, but I’ve learnt a tough lesson in ignoring value when it’s outstanding.

          If he doesn’t win tomorrow (bar a Triumph esc fall) he isn’t winning at all so I’ve put 2pts on the 28/1 because I’ve decided to recognise the value in a potentially poor field.

          Comment


          • I can only get a 1 quid on so if you can all hold off until the morning when I can access another account it would be greatly appreciated

            Comment


            • ....just to highlight:

              Goshen & CH is also 28-1 with PP.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                ....just to highlight:

                Goshen & CH is also 28-1 with PP.
                14/1 now......

                Comment


                • Nice one Eggs, actually managed to get on most of what I wanted with BFSB last night but had small top-up with PP boosting back to 28s this morning after they trimmed to 26s. Looks like BFSB has completely removed.

                  Like others this is very much a cover bet due to the price and the fact he is well supported today.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                    ...a few priced up by Hills for tomorrow;

                    Chantry House & a/r 10-1
                    Song for Someone 1st 3 & 1st 3 CH 10-1; win & CH 66-1
                    Silver Streak 1st 3 & 1st 3 CH 14-1; win & CH 125-1
                    Goshen win & CH 14-1 (16-1 Sky) (28-1 Betfair Sportsbook).

                    ....Hills have added a few re Mater Tommytucker:

                    1st 4 today/1st 3 Ryanair 8-1
                    1st 4 today/1st 3 GC 16-1
                    win today & a/r 50-1 (56-1 with boost)
                    win today/Ryanair 66-1. (100-1 with Sky)

                    ....and SkyBet:

                    Adagio & TH 33-1
                    Elham Valley & TH 50-1
                    Son of Red & TH 50-1
                    Chantry House & a/r 17/2; & Marsh 14-1; & Arkle 20-1.
                    Al Dancer & Ryanair 100-1
                    Ofalltheginjoints & NHC 50-1; & RSA 80-1
                    Chosen Mate & CC 125-1
                    Goshen & CH 12-1
                    Song for Someone & CH 80-1
                    Last edited by Eggs; 12 December 2020, 08:44 AM.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


                      ....Hills have added a few re Mater Tommytucker:

                      1st 4 today/1st 3 Ryanair 8-1
                      1st 4 today/1st 3 GC 16-1
                      win today & a/r 50-1 (56-1 with boost)
                      win today/Ryanair 66-1. (100-1 with Sky)

                      ....and SkyBet:

                      Adagio & TH 33-1
                      Elham Valley & TH 50-1
                      Son of Red & TH 50-1
                      Chantry House & a/r 17/2; & Marsh 14-1; & Arkle 20-1.
                      Al Dancer & Ryanair 100-1
                      Ofalltheginjoints & NHC 50-1; & RSA 80-1
                      Chosen Mate & CC 125-1
                      Goshen & CH 12-1
                      Song for Someone & CH 80-1
                      No brandy love?

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Topofthegame2021 View Post

                        No brandy love?
                        ...not that I’ve seen.

                        Just to note, Goshen & CH is 12-1 in Sky ‘Today & Festival’ market, but still 16-1 in their NH Special doubles section.

                        Comment


                        • If he goes off 11/8 wins and then gets cut to 4/1 or 5/1 the double pays 11/1-14/1

                          PP/Betfair will be praying he loses after laying so much 28/1 they had to take the market down

                          Comment


                          • Brandy Love wins with a little afternoon stroll out, pretty sure she stopped for a cup of tea and a carrot at one point.

                            Comment


                            • ......Lord Royal & a/r 22-1 (Hills).

                              Sky have priced a few up based on last weekends runners;

                              Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Monmiral (TH) both to place 18-1
                              Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Adagio (TH) both to place 20-1
                              Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Make Good (AB) both to place 22-1
                              Adagio (MNC)/Make Good (AB) both to place 25-1
                              Make Good (AB)/Monmiral (TH) both to place 25-1

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                                ......Lord Royal & a/r 22-1 (Hills).

                                Sky have priced a few up based on last weekends runners;

                                Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Monmiral (TH) both to place 18-1
                                Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Adagio (TH) both to place 20-1
                                Fusil Raffles (MNC)/Make Good (AB) both to place 22-1
                                Adagio (MNC)/Make Good (AB) both to place 25-1
                                Make Good (AB)/Monmiral (TH) both to place 25-1
                                I requested Lord Royal, I’m disappointed with 22/1. I’ve backed Lord Royal with B365 for Marsh (40/1) and RSA (33/1) each way instead, hopefully he will put in a decent performance and the cash out will holds its price

                                Comment

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