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Excellent summary of the race Kev. Of your 'No hopes' though; the only one of interest for me is Fingerontheswitch.
Only beause: 7/8 last winners have worn some form of headgear, which is a fairly notable stat. Wears cheekpices.
Also: Millie Wonnacott - has a strike rate of 22% which is decent and is riding pretty well at the minute (from albeit a fairly limited number of rides).
Worth an EW poke if Sky still paying 7 places on the day.
Yeh I didn't factor the headgear stat in to be fair but I'm still pretty happy that on balance he's not going to be winning the race.
I remember backing Singlefarmpayment 10 places in this race and it not landing
Worrying stat for this is the performance of 7 year olds. The only 7 year olds to win this the last 10 years have been G1 level hurdlers effectively thrown in compared to what they had achieved over hurdles.
The trends point to Aye Right, Pym, Milan Native and Happygolucky and each one has sound form claims in the going. Milan Native seems out of form in his last 2 runs. Pym's jumping can be good or not so good but in value for money order:
Sometimes when your horses are being beaten you still cheer for the winner. That was a Vintage (Clouds) performance for the redoubtable Sue Smith and Trevor Hemmings as well as Ryan Mania
Bringing back the Mister McGoldrick memories. Try, try and try again!
Happygolucky made some niggling jumping errors at awkward times and had to be ridden to challenge. All the placed horses ran creditably.
Better jumping won.
I blame Sue Smith. She could have sent Vintage Clouds to the Kim Muir to win by half the track and for half the money.
Vintage Clouds deserved his win though. He'd run well twice in the race before and looked well handicapped. I think he's had a breathing op too, so he was defintely one to have onside. I though HGL would be the better handicapped of the two, but he needed to jump better, and Vintage Clouds is such a thorough stayer.
It was a really good run for the money though, and the place return was well worth it. I had Vintage Clouds amongst my other bets anyway, and to top it off I landed the tricast, so I can't complain at all. Hopefully plenty made a really good profit on the race just from the place part of bets.
Most of all it was good fun, and it seems like it created a lot of interest in a race that perhpas wouldn't have been there. We'll defintely be looking to land a similar bet next year.
Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.
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