The ULTIMA Handicap Chase

[ComplyOrDie]

If The Cap Fits not entered in the Reynoldstown, now just for him to turn up in this race in one piece

[billymag]

Thanks for all info everyone much appreciated

[billymag]

Yes he has. Last night on twitter

Question: 'Hi Kim, any idea of which race we might see Happygolucky in at Cheltenam'

Kim: 'Ultima'

Didn't leave much room for interpretation

Hi do you have a link to the tweet please many thanks

[Saxon Warrior]

Profile wise Happygolucky ticks quite a lot of boxes:

YES - The last 6 winners ran at Cheltenham that season.
YES - Only one of the last eight winners aged older than eight.
YES - 10 of the last 12 won by either novices or second season chasers.
NO - The last five GB trained novices to win all had previously won a hurdle with a first prize of at least ?10k.
YES - All winners this century had recorded their best RPR over at least 3 miles.
YES - 7 of the last 8 had run at a previous Festival.
NO - 4 of the last 7 ran in the Newbury Ladbroke Chase. The other three were novices.
YES - No Irish trained winner since 2006.
YES - Six of the last seven winners all rated at least 142 and none SP bigger than 11/1.

We can't lay claim to much in handicaps on this side of the Irish Sea, but the Irish haven't won this since 2006 so siding we a horse that is confirmed, won over 3m+ around cheltenham and ticks all the above boxes seems like more than a reasonable bet @ 27/1 IMO.

Agreed Charlie,

He's the one I put up for this race when we did the 28 Festival Race picks a month or so ago.

Was waiting for confirmation he would go here, as a few weeks back Kim Bailey quoted a Graded Festival race was the plan, cant quite recall whether it was the NHC or the RSA.

Great he has given the thumbs up for here, so feel safer he will get entered next Monday by KB.

[Topofthegame2021]

Yes he has. Last night on twitter

Question: 'Hi Kim, any idea of which race we might see Happygolucky in at Cheltenam'

Kim: 'Ultima'

Didn't leave much room for interpretation

Was me that asked that Question Charlie. Should’ve posted in here once I had a response apologies!!

[charlie]

Hi do you have a link to the tweet please many thanks

My word not good enough?

[charlie]

Was me that asked that Question Charlie. Should’ve posted in here once I had a response apologies!!

Nice work pal! Nice to see him be so direct in his answer

[Quevega]

My word not good enough?

Yeah billymag - do you want a Blood print ?

[billymag]

That was my next request!!!! thanks though didnt mean to sound ungrateful

[Quevega]

That was my next request!!!! thanks though didnt mean to sound ungrateful

don't think anyone thought that mate.

[charlie]

don't think anyone thought that mate.

Yeh was just shits and gigs Billymag!!

[billymag]

Ha ha all good dont take anything serious in internet land!

[BigChaang]

Agreed Charlie,

He's the one I put up for this race when we did the 28 Festival Race picks a month or so ago.

Was waiting for confirmation he would go here, as a few weeks back Kim Bailey quoted a Graded Festival race was the plan, cant quite recall whether it was the NHC or the RSA.

Great he has given the thumbs up for here, so feel safer he will get entered next Monday by KB.

It was the N.H.Chs Saxon W , I know because i backed him off of that , and no Cashback ... .
But Hey , that's how it roll's ..... Onwards and Upwards etc ...

[Saxon Warrior]

It was the N.H.Chs Saxon W , I know because i backed him off of that , and no Cashback ... .
But Hey , that's how it roll's ..... Onwards and Upwards etc ...

You had me doubting myself, so I looked back and found the Tipping Competition and it was the Ultima

I thought it was as
Kevloaf , and I had a conversation about my thoughts on why I’d picked Happygolucky (Ultima) and Paint The Dream (Plate) and their strong form including from a clash with each other early in the season.

I think I cashed out the Ultima originally after Kim Bailey said that he intended to run Happygolucky in the NHC.

Now he’s come round to my way of thinking and said it’s the Ultima, I had to reback him again.


————————————-
11 January 2021, 10:03 PM
SAXON WARRIOR

Supreme Novices Hurdle - METIER
Arkle Chase - SHISHKIN
Ultima Handicap Chase - HAPPYGOLUCKY
Champion Hurdle - SILVER STREAK
Mares Hurdle - HONEYSUCKLE
Boodles Juvenile Hurdle - PALM BEACH
National Hunt Chase - GALVIN

Ballymore Novices Hurdle - GAILLARD DU MESNIL
RSA Chase - MONKFISH
Coral Cup - BENSON
Queen Mother Champion Chase - POLITOLOGUE
Cross Country - POTTERS CORNER
Grand Annual - FRONT VIEW
Champion Bumper - SIR GERHARD

Marsh Chase (JLT) - ENVOI ALLEN
Pertemps Final - THE BOSSES OSCAR
Ryanair Chase - MELON
Stayers Hurdle - THE STORYTELLER
Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Plate - PAINT THE DREAM
Mares Novices Hurdle - GAULOISE
Kim Muir - MINELLA TIMES

Triumph Hurdle - FRENCH ASEEL
County Hurdle - CADZAND
Albert Bartlett - STATTLER
Gold Cup - A PLUS TARD
Foxhunter Chase - BILLAWAY
Mares Chase - ELIMAY
Martin Pipe - FANTASIO D'ALENE

[The King Pimm]

Has anyone heard anything about Whatmore? I’ve seen him in the betting and backed him with B365 at 33/1 for the Ultima. He was 4th in the Novice Handicap Chase behind Imperial Aura & Galvin last Festival. So far this season he has raced twice finishing second at Ascot in October behind Regal Encore in a very competitive race and then 2nd again behind Yorkhill at Newcastle in November with Taking Risks behind in 4th who recently won the Skybet Chase. Currently rated 149, he’s a second season chaser who has two very good 2nd place performances under his belt this season. I can’t find any information about his spring target or any future entries but could be a good value each way bet in this race.