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The CORAL CUP Handicap Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

    Well technically he should, they have to handicap based on what they see, not what they think or guess.
    I think they generally have a common sense approach normally, to ignore one bad race, that was effectively pulled up.
    Cos obviously they aren't going to drop him a stone are they ?

    It would be guessing dropping him 2lbs wouldn't it really ?, on what logic would that be based on ?

    Or would you say it ought to be 3lb ?

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    • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

      I think they generally have a common sense approach normally, to ignore one bad race, that was effectively pulled up.
      Cos obviously they aren't going to drop him a stone are they ?

      It would be guessing dropping him 2lbs wouldn't it really ?, on what logic would that be based on ?

      Or would you say it ought to be 3lb ?
      Haha, they actually should drop him a stone and he wouldn't get in - that'd stop them doing it

      Of course you are right generally, just being pedantic.


      I don't like that they can change marks through collateral form generally, but common sense means they do/should.

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      • I guess it tells you everything you need to know when the nrmb firm are 14s and 10s for two festival races after looking beaten after 8 yards.

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        • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

          Can you imagine a mark of 145...
          Spoken like someone who’s backed him for the MP again

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          • Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post
            I guess it tells you everything you need to know when the nrmb firm are 14s and 10s for two festival races after looking beaten after 8 yards.
            Folk no how good he is it’s no secret now, the only thing to harm his chances today would of been a win/ close 2nd.

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            • Originally posted by Outlaw View Post

              Spoken like someone who’s backed him for the MP again
              Haha, I haven’t......yet.
              Just think 145 would give them that option, what price does he go off in a M Pipe ?

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              • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                Haha, I haven’t......yet.
                Just think 145 would give them that option, what price does he go off in a M Pipe ?
                I see he's 10/1 NRNB

                Half that?

                Went off 13/2 off of 143

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                • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                  Haha, I haven’t......yet.
                  Just think 145 would give them that option, what price does he go off in a M Pipe ?
                  Can't see it one bit but hypothetically he has to be shorter than he was last year given he would of won(fact not imo) so 4/1 fav maybe ?

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                  • Originally posted by Outlaw View Post

                    Can't see it one bit but hypothetically he has to be shorter than he was last year given he would of won(fact not imo) so 4/1 fav maybe ?
                    Agree, but I was thinking closer 9/4...

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                    • I wouldn't touch him with. barge poll after that.

                      Completely lost his confidence jumping and didn't want to race.

                      If that was part of a plot then hats off to them - they all deserve an Oscar. But it looked more like a complete meltdown to me.

                      Wonder if he's still not right after that fall at Cheltenham. It might explain why we haven't seen him till now.

                      The huge drift in price showed they were expecting zilch and that's what they got.

                      I'd be surprised if he comes over for the Festival.

                      I thought it was all very sad because he was such a battler last season. Just a shadow of his former self today.

                      Whether he comes over or not, I hope he's ok.

                      Because imo something is clearly amiss.

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                      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                        I see he's 10/1 NRNB

                        Half that?

                        Went off 13/2 off of 143
                        They probably already know he’s a 155 hurdler and would have proved that had he stood up last year, they just need to work out what race do we stick our 155 horse off 145...

                        Though of course the handicapper won’t be stupid enough to let him in off 145
                        Last edited by Istabraq; 29 January 2021, 05:10 PM.

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                        • I wonder if a lot of the people defending that performance today have already backed him and are just defending their position? You can’t seriously be happy with what you saw today! I’ve backed him a while ago and unless he gets another prep run I’d be writing him off as a probable non runner. I think people are just too attached because of what happened last season.

                          If you’ve not already backed column of fire, would you back him now??

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                          • Originally posted by Kautostar View Post
                            I wonder if a lot of the people defending that performance today have already backed him and are just defending their position? You can’t seriously be happy with what you saw today! I’ve backed him a while ago and unless he gets another prep run I’d be writing him off as a probable non runner. I think people are just too attached because of what happened last season.

                            If you’ve not already backed column of fire, would you back him now??
                            It was much worse than I expected. As a backer, I'm clinging to the hope that he really needed it but to be beaten after 2 hurdles isn't ideal. Not many positives from a run as bad as that. He has barely drifted either!

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                            • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post

                              It was much worse than I expected. As a backer, I'm clinging to the hope that he really needed it but to be beaten after 2 hurdles isn't ideal. Not many positives from a run as bad as that. He has barely drifted either!
                              The fact that he hasn’t drifted is a sad indictment on the integrity of the sport imo.
                              Last edited by Rooster Booster; 29 January 2021, 05:40 PM.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Kautostar View Post
                                I wonder if a lot of the people defending that performance today have already backed him and are just defending their position? You can’t seriously be happy with what you saw today! I’ve backed him a while ago and unless he gets another prep run I’d be writing him off as a probable non runner. I think people are just too attached because of what happened last season.

                                If you’ve not already backed column of fire, would you back him now??
                                It's a fair enough question...but....

                                I would 100% be backing him NRNB after today if I wasn't already on. I could get out of every bet I have with him for my money back too, but I'm not....

                                As I said, if he pulled up, huge problem...... I'll ask again, why do you think he plugged on, never in contention, but still completed? If he was gone at the game, he'd have been pulled up.

                                In my opinion, taking it literally today means you don't think Gordon Elliott understands how to get a horse handicapped for Cheltenham.... do you think Gordon has forgotten about last season? You're implying it's a negative that "we" remember it, of course we do, so does the trainer....

                                Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post

                                It was much worse than I expected. As a backer, I'm clinging to the hope that he really needed it but to be beaten after 2 hurdles isn't ideal. Not many positives from a run as bad as that. He has barely drifted either!
                                He was 14/1 the night before and went off 33/1 so he has drifted - or did you mean ante post?
                                Last edited by Kevloaf; 29 January 2021, 05:56 PM.

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