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Supreme Novices Hurdle 2021

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  • Originally posted by Billyboo View Post

    How do you compare horses then if you dont compare how fast they run compared to others???? By looking at times between fences and the sections you can work out if a horse can run at a fast pace for the duration of the race and how it would fare depending on whether its tactical or a truly run race.

    I only used summerville boy as an example as he was the last tolworth winner to go on and win the supreme, I understand people have backed metier and dont like the facts regarding the times but the horse has no chance in the supreme it's as simple as that.

    I will keep using my proven methods of finding winners you can just keep backing as many horses as possible and claiming you know what your doing
    Your time analysis is a joke from what you've wrote so far. You think the Summerville Boy race was on heavier ground when all evidence states the opposite. You've also commented elsewhere that Energumene ran faster than CPS which isn't true. Think you need a new clock...

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    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

      In graph format only please
      Slide-rule

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      • Uhtred finally running tomorrow

        Top connections, good bumper form and Joseph’s horses running well again

        Still 40-1 NRNB available.....looks worth a try
        Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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        • Needs to be thrashing this field to be in with a shout. The current favourite for tomorrow was a long way behind Appreciate It at Christmas.

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          • Uhtred was one I was keen on earlier in the season. Concern is his lack of hurdling experience but has some form, two hours to decide whether to have a play in this before he runs later

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            • Originally posted by Blackdownhills View Post
              Uhtred was one I was keen on earlier in the season. Concern is his lack of hurdling experience but has some form, two hours to decide whether to have a play in this before he runs later
              If he runs well what will his price in this go, 25/1 ?
              With Appreciate It at the head of the market even a head in chest win won't shake the market up, if it was me I'd wait until after the race, I don't see his price crashing either way...

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              • If he wins well I can see him going around 16/14s quite comfortably bearing in mind the trainer/connections as well. Very late in the day to come to come to the party if he wins but I think Mullins did it with Melon(?),having just the one run before running a race in the supreme

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                • ...Uhtred 66-1 in win today/Supreme market (20-1 to win today & place in Supreme). Both offers with Sky.
                  Last edited by Eggs; 14 February 2021, 11:24 AM.

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                  • Thedevilscoachman only beaten once this season..... walloped 19L by Appreciate It.

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                    • Appreciate it form boost!

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                      • Originally posted by Blackdownhills View Post
                        If he wins well I can see him going around 16/14s quite comfortably bearing in mind the trainer/connections as well. Very late in the day to come to come to the party if he wins but I think Mullins did it with Melon(?),having just the one run before running a race in the supreme

                        Wasn’t a performance without hope and 365 push him out to 66s if you still like him/have an account...

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                        • Originally posted by Big Bucks View Post
                          Appreciate it form boost!
                          20s too big Thedevilscoachman for the Supreme for my money, He's become a man since then.

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                          • Originally posted by Moby123 View Post

                            20s too big Thedevilscoachman for the Supreme for my money, He's become a man since then.
                            Yeah to be fair, even taking that run literally, he's got place claims. He was only 3L behind Ballyadam in 5th, and we have all forgiven Ballyadam and think he's the right 2nd fav after he bounced back.....



                            So 20/1, not a bad bet each way.


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                            • 148 RPR (Ballayadm 147) looks a touch high for that but it won with plenty in hand. Certainly value for more than the 2 lengths. Giving them 6lbs too.
                              JP loves a runner in the Supreme. Should save him having to buy one now! I'd have it around 14s.

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                              • Originally posted by Moby123 View Post

                                20s too big Thedevilscoachman for the Supreme for my money, He's become a man since then.
                                Surely looking at one of the handicaps for this thing. And it's Meade.

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