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The Randox Health COUNTY Handicap Hurdle

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  • The Randox Health COUNTY Handicap Hurdle


    TO CLOSE BY NOON ON FEBRUARY 20th

    CHELTENHAM

    Friday, March 15th

    THE RANDOX HEALTH COUNTY HANDICAP HURDLE RACE (CLASS 1)
    (Grade 3)


    TOTAL RACE VALUE GBP 100,000

    Distributed in accordance with Stakes and Prize Money Code
    GBP 56,270 to the winning horse
    The second to receive GBP 21,200,
    the third GBP 10,610, the fourth GBP 5,300,
    the fifth GBP 2,660,
    the sixth GBP 1,330,
    the seventh GBP 660 and
    the eighth GBP 340

    for five yrs old and upwards

    TWO MILES ABOUT ONE FURLONG (2m 179yds)

    Enter by noon, February 20th and pay GBP 125 stake
    Confirm by noon, March 9th and pay GBP 375
    Declare by 10.00 a.m. March 13th
    Weights published on February 27th

    Penalties, after February 25th, 2024, a winner of a hurdle race
    (No penalty to increase a horse’s weight above 11st 12lb)


    PLEASE NOTE: A novice horse shall only be qualified to run in this race if it has run a minimum of FOUR times in Hurdle Races in Great Britain, Ireland or France in accordance with paragraph 15 of the Weights and Handicapping Code







    2023 Faivoir 8-10-7 33/1. Dan Skelton - Bridget Andrews RPR 141 (OR 134) 24 ran
    2022 State Man 5-11-1 11/4F. W P Mullins - Paul Townend RPR 141 (OR 149) 26 ran
    2021 Belfast Banter 6-10-0 33/1 Peter Fahey - Kevin Sexton RPR 137 (OR 129) 25 ran
    2020 Saint Roi 5-10-13 11/2F. W P Mullins - Barry Geraghty RPR 151 (OR 137) 24 ran
    2019 Ch’tibello 8-11-5. 12/1. Dan Skelton - Harry Skelton. RPR 154 (OR 146) 24 ran
    2018 Mohaayed. 6-10-8. 33/1. Dan Skelton - Bridget Andrews 3. RPR 145 (OR 139) 24 ran
    2017 Arctic Fire. 8-11-12 20/1. W P Mullins - Paul Townend. RPR 163 (OR 158) 25 ran
    2016 Superb Story. 5-10-12 8/1. Dan Skelton - Harry Skelton. RPR 148 (OR 138) 26 ran
    2015 Wicklow Brave 6-11-4. 25/1. W P Mullins - Paul Townend. RPR 153 (OR 138) 24 ran
    2014 Lac Fontana. 5-10-11. 11/1 Paul Nicholls - Daryl Jacob. RPR 149 (OR 139) 28 ran



    2023 1st OR 134, 2nd OR 154, 3rd OR 141, 4th OR 155: (High OR 155, Lowest OR 134)

    2022 1st OR 141, 2nd OR 142, 3rd OR 140, 4th OR 141: (High OR 152, Lowest OR 134)
    2021 1st OR 129, 2nd OR 155, 3rd OR 140, 4th OR 139: (High OR 156, Lowest OR 129)
    2020 1st OR 137, 2nd OR 149, 3rd OR 146, 4th OR 141: (High OR 150, Lowest OR 132)
    2019 1st OR 146, 2nd OR 152, 3rd OR 133, 4th OR 144: (High OR 153, Lowest OR 127)
    2018 1st OR 139, 2nd OR 144, 3rd OR 141, 4th OR 140: (High OR 154, Lowest OR 133)
    2017 1st OR 158, 2nd OR 152, 3rd OR 135, 4th OR 140: (High OR 158, Lowest OR 135)
    2016 1st OR 138, 2nd OR 145, 3rd OR 142, 4th OR 139: (High OR 152, Lowest OR 138)
    2015 1st OR 134, 2nd OR 134, 3rd OR 136, 4th OR 137: (High OR 146, Lowest OR 134)
    2014 1st OR 139, 2nd OR 141, 3rd OR 140, 4th OR 154: (High OR 154, Lowest OR 132)
    -----------

    …..2023 trend analysis for reference;

    THE LAST 10 WINNERS;

    - Had won no more than 4 hurdle races.
    - Had won no more than 2 H’cap hurdles, 6 winning 0. Two had never run in a H’cap.
    - Had won a hurdle race over 2m - 2m1f.
    - Had an average OR of 140, with only 3 rated higher.
    - Aged 5-8.

    9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS;

    - Carried 11st 5lb or less.
    - Had never won a G1.
    - Had run no more than 4 times, 7 had won.
    - Made top 3 in at least it’s last 3 runs.
    - Had never won at Chelt.

    TRIAL TRENDS;

    In last 20yrs 4 winners from Betfair Hurdle. The Imperial Cup & Lad Hurdle at Leop are worthy of note.

    TRAINER TRENDS;

    Skelton has only had 12 runners but 3 of the last 7 winners. W Mullins has 5 of the last 12 winners.

    JOCKEY TRENDS;

    Paul Townend 3 winners & Harry Skelton 2.


    -----------


    74 Early Entries in the County Hurdle at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival:

    Absurde (FR)
    Afadil (FR)
    Altobelli (IRE)
    Anyharminasking (IRE)
    Ascending (IRE)
    Aucunrisque (FR)
    Bad (FR) Benson
    Bialystok (IRE)
    Bingoo
    Black Bamboo (IRE)
    Brucio
    By Your Side
    Cannock Park
    Colonel Mustard (FR)
    Comfort Zone (IRE)
    Encanto Bruno (IRE)
    Faivoir (FR)
    Favour And Fortune (IRE)
    Fils d'Oudairies (FR)
    First Street
    Geromino (FR)
    Gin Coco (FR)
    Go Dante
    Guard Your Dreams
    Hansard (IRE)
    Iberico Lord (FR)
    Impose Toi (FR)
    Into The Park (IRE)
    Jason The Militant (IRE)
    Jeff Kidder (IRE)
    Jigoro (FR)
    Jungle Jack
    Kihavah
    King of Kingsfield (IRE)
    Knickerbockerglory (IRE)
    L'Eau du Sud (FR)
    Lisnagar Fortune (IRE)
    Luccia
    Lump Sum (FR)
    Magic Tricks (FR)
    Magical Zoe (IRE)
    Media Naranja (IRE)
    Mighty Tom (IRE)
    Moveit Like Minnie (IRE)
    Mr Freedom
    Nibiru (IRE)
    Norman Fletcher
    Nusret
    Ocastle des Mottes (FR)
    Panjari (IRE)
    Parramount
    Party Central (IRE)
    Petit Tonnerre (FR)
    Pied Piper
    Playful Saint (FR)
    Quai de Bourbon (FR)
    Rare Edition (IRE)
    Rare Middleton
    Risk Belle (FR)
    Salsada (IRE)
    Samui Sans Bruit (FR)
    Shecouldbeanything (IRE)
    So Scottish (FR)
    Spirit d'Aunou (FR)
    Teddy Blue (GER)
    Too Friendly
    Under Control (FR)
    Westport Cove (FR)
    What's Up Darling (IRE)
    Williethebuilder (IRE)
    Zanndabad (IRE)
    Zenta (FR)






    Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 22 February 2024, 11:51 AM.
    "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

  • #2
    7 winners in last 12 year's rated 137-139. Something to look out for. Skelton also has a superb recent record in the race.
    Last edited by Lobos; 5 January 2022, 11:39 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks Saxon for putting these threads up. What would we do without you. applause.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Just be wary guys if backing the current fav in this. West Cork got struck into in his last race and picked up a nasty cut which excuses him from the poor run but will hold him up going forward.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Lobos View Post
          Just be wary guys if backing the current fav in this. West Cork got struck into in his last race and picked up a nasty cut which excuses him from the poor run but will hold him up going forward.

          ….Skelton seemed positive when saying he would go straight to the County Hurdle. Has run very well when fresh if the trainer can get him there.

          Comment


          • #6
            NRNB probably the best way to go with him to be on the safe side ?

            Comment


            • #7
              I love having a position in every race before the festival, but this is impossible to call this for out.

              Gun to my head, I'd back Echo's in rain if I had to have a bet today. but you really need to see what comes out of the DRF in the G1 Novice races before you can take a view.

              Question for the group, Saint Felicien, what is the plan with the horse? needs a handicap mark but times getting on and he needs 2 runs to my knowledge?

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by JamieSensible View Post
                Question for the group, Saint Felicien, what is the plan with the horse? needs a handicap mark but times getting on and he needs 2 runs to my knowledge?
                No idea on the plan but he only needs 1 more run, so plenty of time if they're thinking along these lines.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Shouldn’t have too much trouble finding him a race to get beat in

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Atlantic Viking View Post

                    No idea on the plan but he only needs 1 more run, so plenty of time if they're thinking along these lines.
                    Oh well that's better than I thought, his form isn't bad so far from the 1 run in Ireland. The horse he beat in second Slip of the tongue was behind Quilixious and Teehupoo in his next run so that's a decent level of form Considering he was eased down.

                    But I really need to see him slightly deeper waters, without ruining the mark, otherwise he's another Saint Roi and you're taking a big risk

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by JamieSensible View Post
                      otherwise he's another Saint Roi and you're taking a big risk
                      Not quite sure how to tell you this...

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Atlantic Viking View Post

                        Not quite sure how to tell you this...
                        I realised after I wrote it.. I'm going to be quiet now and back the horse to win.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I'm just going to spit ball a few ideas here..
                          • Cask Mate - Noel Meade, Entered in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury in February, looks a potential Noel Meade plot job, if it doesn't do the job there it may come here? not seen it priced up anywhere unless anyone knows otherwise. (OR 139) Not Priced.
                          • Farout -- Willie Mullins, so far ran in two Grade 1s this year, never looked like wining. Handicap plot job? Never good enough to win and pushed by the owners? Under performing? current mark (OR 137) Best Price 20/1
                          • Esky Lane - Gordon Elliot, I've mentioned this horse on the Handicap thread previously and made the case there. (OR 145) Best Price 25/1
                          • Broomfield Burg - Seems like the obvious pick, improving horse, Cheltenham run this season, also has an entry in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury, if he doesn't go close there he'd have to go close here. (OR 134). Best Price 20/1
                          Penny for the forums thoughts?
                          Last edited by JamieSensible; 11 January 2022, 10:24 PM.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Really rare I'll go handicap betting this far out and with no NRNB but i really can't get away from Echoes in Rain for this now. Not exactly groundbreaking so was surprised to still see 16's with 365. She doesn't look ready for a Champion Hurdle tilt yet and is surely too keen for the Mares.

                            A nice down the field performance at the DRF in a high class race should see her hopefully nicely weighted too. Looking forward to NRNB so i can tip away at this.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Echoes might not even get into a County Hurdle if she keeps performing as she has this season!

                              Comment

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