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The ULTIMA Handicap Steeplechase

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  • Originally posted by Always a Claimer View Post
    Of all the entries and likely runners, what is the feel
    for the likely mark of the top weight? Trying to work out the likely weight to be carried by Lord Accord off 137. Presumably a feather weight. Equally, presumably there is a chance that he doesn’t make the cut?
    …..Frodon carried 11st 12lb under top weight last year off 164.

    Comment


    • Thank you. Was the 138 in 2022 genuinely 138, or were a few of them rated less but ran out the handicap due to Frodon carrying 164? Sorry for asking, but hovering over button on Lord Accord. Given the trainer has been adamant of race, tempted with the 20s antepost rather than NRNB but given the rating that seems risky.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Always a Claimer View Post
        Thank you. Was the 138 in 2022 genuinely 138, or were a few of them rated less but ran out the handicap due to Frodon carrying 164? Sorry for asking, but hovering over button on Lord Accord. Given the trainer has been adamant of race, tempted with the 20s antepost rather than NRNB but given the rating that seems risky.
        I think a few were running out of the handicap. Oscar Elite carrying 4lbs more than his mark, Gericault Roque carrying 5lbs more than his mark

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        • …Lord Accord very strong on Ultima trends. Surprisingly in the last 10 years, 2 winners & 2 placed had run in the Cleeve Hurdle.

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          • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
            …Lord Accord very strong on Ultima trends. Surprisingly in the last 10 years, 2 winners & 2 placed had run in the Cleeve Hurdle.
            My only bet in this so far

            Well, I did back Mister Coffey NRNB but he isn't running....


            So my only live bet in this so far.

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            • Gone for the 20s antepost (4 places) as it seems like he runs and it adds 40% to the potential return vs NRNB (albeit I also lose a place). Would have probably swayed towards NRNB with 365 at 16s but I’ve lost that account unfortunately.

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              • Lord Accord seems quite ground dependent, probably why the big variable on NRNB prices (Bet 365 28's compared to 16's).

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                • Oscar Elite got just 4lb.
                  Which is very nice.

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                  • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                    Oscar Elite got just 4lb.
                    Which is very nice.
                    More lenient than I thought they’d be, same with West Cork going down 5.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                      Oscar Elite got just 4lb.
                      Which is very nice.
                      Very surprised at that. In a good way. I was very impressed with the Reynoldstown performance. He ticks all the trends highlighted by Eggs and the famous RPR 3miles+ stat.

                      I've gone in again. 12/1 is fair.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                        Oscar Elite got just 4lb.
                        Which is very nice.
                        I like him, but what did you think of his jumping mate? Seemed to reach for a couple LTO, a bit guessy, but you'd think OE has had plenty of starts now not to be doing such, and instead correcting himself, at least in my opinion.

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                        • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                          I like him, but what did you think of his jumping mate? Seemed to reach for a couple LTO, a bit guessy, but you'd think OE has had plenty of starts now not to be doing such, and instead correcting himself, at least in my opinion.
                          His jumping isn’t perfect
                          but he’s my number one pick for this race.
                          should have won last year and was travelling all over them off 138. Jockey went too soon IMO.
                          I waited till Saturday to back him as wanted to see him get round looking fresh.
                          Got nice prices with Ladbroke post race, as they left 28-1 so fingers crossed.
                          and wtaf thanks to eggs

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                            His jumping isn’t perfect
                            but he’s my number one pick for this race.
                            should have won last year and was travelling all over them off 138. Jockey went too soon IMO.
                            I waited till Saturday to back him as wanted to see him get round looking fresh.
                            Got nice prices with Ladbroke post race, as they left 28-1 so fingers crossed.
                            and wtaf thanks to eggs
                            Yeah, I had him covered last season, although I'm not as convinced as you that he would have won, personally.

                            Can see the appeal though, I like returning horses to the race. I'm not on yet, and given his previous jumping issues I'm not sure I want to be involved at 12/1, but would happily take the 28's off you

                            Comment


                            • Some selected horses that are not entered - Thunder Rock, Indigo Breeze, Ain't That A Shame, Run Wild Fred, Gold Cup Bailly

                              This according to a pretty reliable Twitter account, but just double check before doing anything with your bets.

                              Comment


                                1. Adamantly Chosen (IRE)
                                1. Beauport (IRE)
                                1. Born By The Sea (IRE)
                                1. Bowtogreatness (IRE)
                                1. Broken Halo
                                1. Castle Robin (IRE)
                                1. Clondaw Castle (IRE)
                                1. Cloudy Glen (IRE)
                                1. Coeur Serein (IRE)
                                1. Coko Beach (FR)
                                1. Cooper's Cross (IRE)
                                1. Corach Rambler (IRE)
                                1. Death Duty (IRE)
                                1. Dunboyne (IRE)
                                1. Empire Steel (IRE)
                                1. Eva's Oskar (IRE)
                                1. Fanion d'Estruval (FR)
                                1. Fantastikas (FR)
                                1. Farinet (FR)
                                1. Fastorslow (FR)
                                1. Folcano (FR)
                                1. Fontaine Collonges (FR)
                                1. Fortescue
                                1. Francky du Berlais (FR)
                                1. Gevrey (FR)
                                1. Glamorgan Duke (IRE)
                                1. Good Boy Bobby (IRE)
                                1. Happygolucky (IRE)
                                1. Harper's Brook (IRE)
                                1. I Am Maximus (FR)
                                1. Iceo Madrik (FR)
                                1. Into Overdrive
                                1. Irascible (FR)
                                1. Iron Bridge (IRE)
                                1. Java Point (IRE)
                                1. Kapga de Lily (FR)
                                1. Karl Philippe (FR)
                                1. Kilcruit (IRE)
                                1. Kinondo Kwetu
                                1. Laskalin (FR)
                                1. Lifetime Ambition (IRE)
                                1. Lord Accord (IRE)
                                1. Monbeg Genius (IRE)
                                1. Nassalam (FR)
                                1. Next Destination (IRE)
                                1. Oscar Elite (IRE)
                                1. Our Power (IRE)
                                1. Punitive (IRE)
                                1. Recite A Prayer (IRE)
                                1. Remastered
                                1. Sam Brown
                                1. Secret Reprieve (IRE)
                                1. Silver Hallmark
                                1. Slipway (IRE)
                                1. Stolen Silver (FR)
                                1. Stumptown (IRE)
                                1. Tea Clipper (IRE)
                                1. The Big Breakaway (IRE)
                                1. The Goffer (IRE)
                                1. The Wolf (FR)
                                1. Threeunderthrufive (IRE)
                                1. Top Ville Ben (IRE)
                                1. Western Zara (IRE)

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