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He'd get in most years on his rating, but not sure about where 63 would be on an average year, someone did do these things at some point and may have an idea.
There are many horses double and triple entered though and a very quick run through gave me around 30 almost certain not to run. This leaves quite a few to come out still but entirely possible.
Based on recent history should have no trouble getting in:
Last 5 years of Ultima (excluding Covid impacted 2021)
2020 : Lowest Rating 129 88th of 90 entries
2019 : 140 71st of 105
2018 : Race didn't fill
2017 : 134 87th of 101
2016 : 131 97th of 105
The couple that i think are interesting for this are:
Our Power
wears headgear
aged 8
ran at last years festival
novice chaser
GB novice - won a hurdle worth >?10k to the winner
ran in last 60 days
stepped up to 3m in Coral Trophy
Storm Control
wears headgear
ran at last Festival
best RPR over 3miles
Form at Cheltenham is 115P
Coming back into form
ran in last 60 days
Both UK trained, in a race that has a history of going the way of smaller trainers. Sam Thomas has a good string this year and in in good form. Kerry Lee's horses on a good day are more than capable. hard to pin down exactly what is heading here with many having multiple entries. The Irish don't tend to target this race although that could change this year with GE having a few entries seemingly heading this way. The above two just seem to meet a lot of the trends.
Storm Control declared for Donny on Saturday FYI. Very winnable looking race.
Nicholls doesn't sound that keen on running Frodon in this. Will help a few of those lower down who might have been running out of the handicap.
Was wondering myself if they keep Frodon in to keep Threeunderthroughfive, I mean Fury Road is unlikely to come here, The Shunter 100% doesn't come here so if they pulled Frodon early everyones weight rises, leave it till the day then TUTF gets to run off 11st which would be a lovely racing weight or am I totally barking up the wrong tree here.
Was wondering myself if they keep Frodon in to keep Threeunderthroughfive, I mean Fury Road is unlikely to come here, The Shunter 100% doesn't come here so if they pulled Frodon early everyones weight rises, leave it till the day then TUTF gets to run off 11st which would be a lovely racing weight or am I totally barking up the wrong tree here.
Aye does look that way, but Nicholls isn't keen to send 2 good chances in against each other so maybe he has a plan to try to talk Mcneils out of that, I'm thinking out loud here more than anything tbh.
Aye does look that way, but Nicholls isn't keen to send 2 good chances in against each other so maybe he has a plan to try to talk Mcneils out of that, I'm thinking out loud here more than anything tbh.
They said again today that Kiltealy is the one here, The Wolf for the Scottish National and TUTF to the Brown Advisory.
Leave a lay in running for him at 1.1 or something
Has a habit of completely pulling himself up if he gets to the front too soon
Was just about to post exactly the same.
The run the last day, and jockey was about as bad an example of a horse pulling himself up,as I've seen.
Even the young jockey should have known, and he really ought to know this time round, but so will the other jockeys - I know what I'd do if on another horse.
Be a fun race to watch.
Was just about to post exactly the same.
The run the last day, and jockey was about as bad an example of a horse pulling himself up,as I've seen.
Even the young jockey should have known, and he really ought to know this time round, but so will the other jockeys - I know what I'd do if on another horse.
Be a fun race to watch.
I backed him a couple of years ago
10 clear on the snaff, literally stopped dead, other horse catches up then he goes again and wins
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- I know what I'd do if on another horse.
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