PADDY POWER PLATE Handicap Chase

[Eggs]

….Colonel Harry OFTS, a blow to my ‘one horse, one race’

[Wayward Lad]

….Colonel Harry OFTS, a blow to my ‘one horse, one race’

Still got a couple of nice ones though in the Comp Eggs, like Busselton at 50/1!

[YoungHustler]

….Colonel Harry OFTS, a blow to my ‘one horse, one race’

I'm really gutted about this as thought he had a massive chance.

[Eggs]

….Crebilly;

’He is in the two-and-a-half-mile Plate and the three-mile one furlong Ultima and, again, it is hard to say as they could be watering Cheltenham in two weeks’ time. He ran a great race last year in the Plate. If he could go there in the same sort of form this time, he would go there with a great chance. He seems in good form, and we are happy at this stage. (Jonjo & AJ O’Neill)

[Kevloaf]

Shakem Up'arry

3rd off 139
1st off 143

Now rated 145

25/1 - definitely one I'll be looking at on day of race markets with extra places

[ComplyOrDie]

According to Gaultstats the last 6 winners have all won at Cheltenham that season. That should reduce what to back by plenty

Qualifiers purely based on this stat:

Springwell Bay
Path D'Oroux
Il Ridoto
Gemirande
Jagwar
Moon D'Orange

By the sounds of it the bottom two are going for the novices race on the same day, so just back the other four, right? Well, the last 11 winners have been rated between 140-149, so that takes Springwell Bay out of the equation too.

Just three to go!

10 of the last 11 had not run in more than 12 chases. Goodbye Gemirande & Il Ridoto.

Your winner? Path D'Oroux!

And no, I haven't backed him....yet!

[Chelterskelter]

Where have you heard this about Moon D'Orange? He was my horse for the Plate. Haven't backed him yet though

[Benjy23]

According to Gaultstats the last 6 winners have all won at Cheltenham that season. That should reduce what to back by plenty

Qualifiers purely based on this stat:

Springwell Bay
Path D'Oroux
Il Ridoto
Gemirande
Jagwar
Moon D'Orange

By the sounds of it the bottom two are going for the novices race on the same day, so just back the other four, right? Well, the last 11 winners have been rated between 140-149, so that takes Springwell Bay out of the equation too.

Just three to go!

10 of the last 11 had not run in more than 12 chases. Goodbye Gemirande & Il Ridoto.

Your winner? Path D'Oroux!

And no, I haven't backed him....yet!

Is it actually where he runs? I came to similar conclusion on trends and then thought it was the race that made least sense for him...

[Quevega]

Gavin mentioned the novices race for Path Droux, he is actually a novice.

[ComplyOrDie]

Is it actually where he runs? I came to similar conclusion on trends and then thought it was the race that made least sense for him...

Gavin has repeatedly said about stepping him up in trip. Completely unexposed over the trip, having never run over it. Not sure if he ends up here or the novices chase though.

Also, just to note, he's had 13 chase starts, so he's actually going to have to bust that stat, but the other two had had way more starts than him!

[ComplyOrDie]

Gavin mentioned the novices race for Path Droux, he is actually a novice.

Yeah, that could be the race for him. Would only back NRNB.

Ignore the chase runs then and just back Gemirande and Il Ridoto haha!

[Chelterskelter]

Any novice that has had 4 runs should surely aim for the Plate, I'd imagine it'll be easier to win and over the same course and distance. I'll be trying to identify who that is. Originally thought Moon D'Orange, but if he's going to the novice race I'll have to get my head back into the entries.

[Kevloaf]

Any novice that has had 4 runs should surely aim for the Plate, I'd imagine it'll be easier to win and over the same course and distance. I'll be trying to identify who that is. Originally thought Moon D'Orange, but if he's going to the novice race I'll have to get my head back into the entries.

Thecompanysergeant still technically a novice?