PADDY POWER PLATE Handicap Chase

[Saxon Warrior]

Post 1 updated, ready for 2023 use

[Istabraq]

Have we heard whether French Dynamite is likely to head here ?
I know off a mark North of 150 he won’t appeal to everyone but he’s a class act and that Paddy Power form looks hot…

[Carnage at Taunton]

Have we heard whether French Dynamite is likely to head here ?
I know off a mark North of 150 he won’t appeal to everyone but he’s a class act and that Paddy Power form looks hot…

Going Ryanair I thought

[Quevega]

Have we heard whether French Dynamite is likely to head here ?
I know off a mark North of 150 he won’t appeal to everyone but he’s a class act and that Paddy Power form looks hot…

Ista ? Is your strategy in handicaps to go for the top weights ?
It appears this is often the case.

Did someone once tell you that they are the best horse in the race and it's stuck with you ?

No horse rated over 150 has ever won the plate.
Been telling you this for 5 years now.

If you won't listen to me, listen to Queen Elsa.

[Istabraq]

Ista ? Is your strategy in handicaps to go for the top weights ?
It appears this is often the case.

Did someone once tell you that they are the best horse in the race and it's stuck with you ?

No horse rated over 150 has ever won the plate.
Been telling you this for 5 years now.

If you won't listen to me, listen to Queen Elsa.

I knew it wouldn't appeal to you Q !
Granted the early onset of dementia may have started but I can't remember ever backing a topweight in a festival handicap.
And the topweight for the Plate is usually mid/upper 150s, French Dynamite should be a good few pound under that.
But yes, the chances are there'll be a 135 with a stone in hand who's spent all Winter getting beat the length of the straight in 2 milers...

[BigChaang]

Have we heard whether French Dynamite is likely to head here ?
I know off a mark North of 150 he won’t appeal to everyone but he’s a class act and that Paddy Power form looks hot…

Just read in racing post , - Ryanair . but who knows theses days ??.

[Quevega]

I knew it wouldn't appeal to you Q !
Granted the early onset of dementia may have started but I can't remember ever backing a topweight in a festival handicap.
And the topweight for the Plate is usually mid/upper 150s, French Dynamite should be a good few pound under that.
But yes, the chances are there'll be a 135 with a stone in hand who's spent all Winter getting beat the length of the straight in 2 milers...

He's 152 in IRE so he might be close.

[Birds Nest]

I knew it wouldn't appeal to you Q !
Granted the early onset of dementia may have started but I can't remember ever backing a topweight in a festival handicap.
And the topweight for the Plate is usually mid/upper 150s, French Dynamite should be a good few pound under that.
But yes, the chances are there'll be a 135 with a stone in hand who's spent all Winter getting beat the length of the straight in 2 milers...

A 135 rated with maybe not quite a stone in hand , getting beat all winter over 2m's ...think venetia's got one of those...

[nortonscoin200]

A 135 rated with maybe not quite a stone in hand , getting beat all winter over 2m's ...think venetia's got one of those...

Trouble is, Venetia's run her 135 on 17 occasions and never once beyond 2m 1f.

Either there's been a reason for that or Venetia's been placing him in the wrong races for the best part of 2 1/2 years.

[Eggs]

….no big haircut but I notice Mars Harper getting steadily clipped in for this. All of a sudden he’s a best price 16-1 NRNB.

[JackieMoon33]

….no big haircut but I notice Mars Harper getting steadily clipped in for this. All of a sudden he’s a best price 16-1 NRNB.

Not sure you can take it too literally, but he’s ran in some nice races given his mark. Had my eye on him for a little while as this should be his trip and not having to worry on other entries.

[Exar Essay]

Not sure you can take it too literally, but he’s ran in some nice races given his mark. Had my eye on him for a little while as this should be his trip and not having to worry on other entries.

Agreed. That second to Mighty Potter too ... almost looked like the jockey was under instruction not to get upsides him. Finished strongly and with plenty left.

[ComplyOrDie]

….no big haircut but I notice Mars Harper getting steadily clipped in for this. All of a sudden he’s a best price 16-1 NRNB.

I backed him about 10 minutes ago

I was looking through his form yesterday and thought he travelled well enough at the DRF, but for some mistakes. If he can iron them out then he could be in with a shout. Certainly an E/W shout, and 16's was big enough to entice me in.

I know it's farfetched to use it exclusively or as an exact piece of solid form, as Mighty Potter wasn't particularly great on the day, but that form line looks OK now.

[Ball Mark]

Frero Banbou 33's (NRNB) for me. Venetia entered him 2m5f at Cheltenham in January but pulled him out for some reason. Third in the 2022 Grand Annual staying on, now on a much lower mark having run & been too slow at 2m but picked up some cash for 3rd/4th placings. All eggs in the Plate basket which is a race she's won 3 times before.

I've also had a very small EW @ 40's on Coole Cody who won this in 2022 by 6L. He's on a lower mark now. Accept he may have 'gone' but also a chance he's being lined up for one last hurrah.

[Eggs]

….I’ve popped the 10 year trend in the ‘trend thread’. An interesting one for this; 39 of the last 40 placed horses had finished 1st or 2nd in at least one of their previous 3 runs.