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Fulke Walwyn KIM MUIR Challenge Cup Amateur Rider Handicap Chase

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  • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

    Yeah, not the obvious route but the market suggests it might be Gordons main hope for this, but we'll see
    I'd still have the Plate in mind as my only option but the markets are starting to heat up now and I should probably start paying more attention to them.

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    • ….Angels Dawn heading here;

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      • I’m sure I heard a stat somewhere about this being a regular GE play to go KM with one who has been running over shorter
        Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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        • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
          I’m sure I heard a stat somewhere about this being a regular GE play to go KM with one who has been running over shorter
          Compared to the horse's last run...

          If moved up in distance by 4f+:
          9 bets, 3 winners (33%), 6 placed (77.8%), +11.98 BSP

          All others:
          10 bets, 0 winners (0%), 2 placed (20%), -10 BSP




          It's a lot harder to get the full season worth of runs, but thought that was a pretty clear set of stats.

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          • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
            I’m sure I heard a stat somewhere about this being a regular GE play to go KM with one who has been running over shorter
            Mount Ida stepped up from 2 and a half to win it. Milan Native stepped up from 2 and a half to win it. Form Footings has ran over 2 and a half over hurdles but a big step up to 3m2 from his 2m chase runs. I'd be with Jackie for the Plate but I backed him NRNB for the Grand Annual, Plate and Kim Muir as I'm a fan of him.

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            • Looks like Perceval and Jonny both got hiked 144 & 142.

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              • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                Looks like Perceval and Jonny both got hiked 144 & 142.
                ….mmm, I think the trend suggest winning off 143+ Is unlikely. Is there news on Whacker Clan, HdB suggested he might struggle to get in?

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                • Originally posted by Eggs View Post

                  ….mmm, I think the trend suggest winning off 143+ Is unlikely. Is there news on Whacker Clan, HdB suggested he might struggle to get in?
                  Stayed at 131 apparently so will be touch and go whether he gets in

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                  • Cool Survivor got off lightly and looks well treated vs Good time Jonny on last running.
                    Chavez getting 138 means the weight would be ok for Patrick also, unless like I've said before he gets an outside ride

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                    • Whereitallbegan would get to run off it's Irish mark if they wanted to come over also.

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                      • May not get in is literally no reason to not back though, balloted out so money back.

                        Not suggesting anyone thats posted that doesn't know, but the lurkers might care

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                        • Not sure if already been mentioned, but GE has got Fakir Dalene in 3 pounds less than last year I think (unless taxed?) ….when he was 4th

                          He’s 33-1
                          Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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                          • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post
                            Not sure if already been mentioned, but GE has got Fakir Dalene in 3 pounds less than last year I think (unless taxed?) ….when he was 4th

                            He’s 33-1
                            2 years back that, but point still stands.

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                            • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                              2 years back that, but point still stands.
                              Good spot ….i need more coffee
                              Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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                              • Firm Footings a sea of blue today for this today.

                                A half brother to Monalee and a full brother to Monty's Star, suggest this horse has been campaigned at the incorrect trip throughout his career so far and that he could be 'well in' going out in trip.

                                He has both solid novice hurdle and chase form, considering the trips he's mostly been campaigned at.

                                Finished well enough in the Martin Pipe (6th) last season too.
                                Last edited by ComplyOrDie; 28 February 2024, 11:24 AM.

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