Fulke Walwyn KIM MUIR Challenge Cup Amateur Rider Handicap Chase

[Saxon Warrior]

TO CLOSE BY NOON ON FEBRUARY 20th

CHELTENHAM
Thursday, March 14th

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders Handicap (Class 2)

TOTAL RACE VALUE GBP 75,000

Distributed in accordance with Stakes and Prize Money Code
GBP 44,475 to the winning horse
The second to receive GBP 13,965,
the third GBP 6,983,
the fourth GBP 3,488,
the fifth GBP 1,747,
the sixth GBP 878,
the seventh GBP 442 and
the eighth GBP 210

for five yrs old and upwards
(Weight Range 0-145)

THREE MILES TWO FURLONGS (3m 2f)

Enter by noon, February 20th and pay GBP 90 stake
Confirm by noon, March 8th and pay GBP 260
Declare by 10.00 a.m. March 12th

Weights published on February 27th
Penalties, after February 25th, 2024, a winner of a steeple chase 5lb
(No penalty to increase a horse’s weight above 11st 12lb)


PLEASE NOTE: A novice horse shall only be qualified to run in this race if it has run a minimum of three times in Steeple Chases in Great Britain, Ireland or France in accordance with paragraph 15 of the Weights and Handicapping Code

Last 10 Years Winners

2023. Angels Dawn (MARE) 8-11-0 10/1, S. Curling - P A King. RPR 143
2022. Chambard 10-10-12 40/1, Venetia Williams - Lucy Turner (3) RPR 142
2021. Mount Ida 7-11-9 3/1F, Mrs Denise Foster - Jack Kennedy RPR 160
2020. Milan Native 7-11-1 9/1. Gordon Elliott - Mr R James (7) RPR 152
2019. Any Second Now. 7-11-11. 6/1. T M Walsh - Mr Derek O'Connor. RPR 154
2018. Missed Approach. 8-11-5. 8/1. Warren Greatrex - Mr N McParlan. RPR 149
2017. Domesday Book. 7-11-4. 40/1. Stuart Edmunds - Miss Gina Andrews. RPR 144
2016. Cause Of Causes. 8-11-9. 9/2. Gordon Elliott - Mr J J Codd. RPR 156
2015. The Package. 12-11-4. 9/1. David Pipe - Mr J J Codd. RPR 151
2014. Spring Heeled. 7-11-8. 12/1. J H Culloty - Robbie McNamara. RPR 151



2023 1st OR 131, 2nd OR 135, 3rd OR 145 4th OR 141 - High 145, Low OR 119. 23 ran
2022 1st OR 134, 2nd OR 137, 3rd OR 127 4th OR 144 - High 145, Low OR 130. 20 ran
2021 1st OR 142, 2nd OR 140, 3rd OR 140 4th OR 140 - High 142, Low OR 132. 21 ran
2020 1st OR 141, 2nd OR 138, 3rd OR 140 4th OR 140 - High 145, Low OR 135. 23 ran
2019 1st OR 143, 2nd OR 139, 3rd OR 142 4th OR 140 - High 144, Low OR 133. 23 ran
2018 1st OR 138, 2nd OR 143, 3rd OR 135 4th OR 143 - High 145, Low OR 119. 20 ran
2017 1st OR 137, 2nd OR 145, 3rd OR 137 4th OR 139 - High 145, Low OR 133. 24 ran
2016 1st OR 142, 2nd OR 138, 3rd OR 138 4th OR 144 - High 145, Low OR 134. 22 ran
2015 1st OR 137, 2nd OR 134, 3rd OR 140 4th OR 137 - High 145, Low OR 130. 24 ran
2014 1st OR 140, 2nd OR 140, 3rd OR 144 4th OR 136 - High 144, Low OR 131. 23 ran



This is now the only chase with rating restrictions, with maximum OR 145.

---------

…..2023 trend analysis for reference;

LAST 10 WINNERS;

- Rated on average 139, none rated more than 143 or less than 134.
- Had won no more than 3 races, if any at all.
- Had finished 1st 3 no more than 4 runs ago.
- Had run at least 4 times over hurdles & had won up to four time (most winning once or twice).

LAST 9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS;

- Did not win LTO (the last 6 have placed).
- Had won no more than 2 chases, if any.
- Were not French bred (6 placed out of 44).
- Wore headgear, a tongue tie or both.
- Had run in at least 5 chases.
- Had run over 3m or further at least once.
- Last run no more than 76 days ago.

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS;

- Carried no more than 11st 4lb.
- Were not older than 9.
- Had never won a graded race.

TRIAL TRENDS;

Grade B PP Chase at Leop produced 3 of the last 10 winners. Tim Duggan Memorial Chase at Listowel produced a winner & placed, whilst Warwick’s Classic Chase is also of note.

TRAINER TRENDS;

Pipe has 2 winners & 2 placed from 24 runners. Elliott emerging with 2 of the last 10 & 5 placed.

JOCKEY TRENDS;

Codd has won 4 of the last 12.

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79 Early entries in the Kim Muir at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival:

A Wave of The Sea (IRE)
Amirite (IRE)
Angels Dawn (IRE)
Animal (IRE)
Annual Invictus (IRE)
Apple Away (IRE)
Autonomous Cloud (IRE)
Back On The Lash
Bill Baxter (IRE)
Blackjack Magic
Bodhisattva (IRE)
Boldmere
Bowtogreatness (IRE)
Castle Robin (IRE)
Celebre d'Allen (FR)
Cepage (FR)
Chavez (IRE)
Chianti Classico (IRE)
Christopher Wood (IRE)
City Chief (IRE)
Cloudy Glen (IRE)
Cool Survivor (IRE)
Daily Present (IRE)
Demnat (FR)
Diol Ker (FR)
Dom of Mary (FR)
Fakir d'Alene (FR)
Famous Bridge (IRE)
Favori de Champdou (FR)
Firm Footings (IRE)
Flash de Touzaine (FR)
Fortescue
Forward Plan (IRE)
Found On (IRE)
Frontal Assault (IRE)
Gevrey (FR)
Git Maker (FR)
Gold Bullion (FR)
Gold Clermont (FR)
Good Time Jonny (IRE)
Grozni (FR)
Indigo Breeze (FR)
Inothewayurthinkin (IRE)
Java Point (IRE)
Killer Kane (IRE)
La Malmason (IRE)
Life In The Park (IRE)
Make Me A Believer (IRE)
Manothepeople (IRE)
Meetingofthewaters (IRE)
Midnight Our Fred (IRE)
Minella Cocooner (IRE)
Mister Coffey (FR)
Ontheropes (IRE)
Perceval Legallois (FR)
Positive Thinker (IRE)
Quick Draw (IRE)
Rapper
Read To Return (IRE)
Robyndzone (IRE)
Royal Thief (IRE)
Run Wild Fred (IRE)
Some Scope
Stormy Judge (IRE)
Street Value (IRE)
Strictlyadancer (IRE)
Stumptown (IRE)
Sure Touch
Surrey Quest (IRE)
The Big Breakaway (IRE)
Tommie Beau (IRE)
Trelawne
Twoshotsoftequila (IRE)
Undersupervision (IRE)
Wayfinder (IRE)
Weveallbeencaught (IRE)
Whacker Clan (IRE)
Where It All Began (IRE)
Whistleinthedark (IRE)

[Liammet]

The horse I fancy here is Braeside

Gordon is a creature of habit and he could go down the same route as Mount Ida for the same owners

Not seen him quoted anywhere as yet

[Goldentouch]

The horse I fancy here is Braeside

Gordon is a creature of habit and he could go down the same route as Mount Ida for the same owners

Not seen him quoted anywhere as yet

I also like this one but I think I saw that it’s Irish rating was 145, so factoring in the UK handicap tax I think it will be too high to race here.

[charlie]

Plan Of Attack only bet so far @ 22/1. Convinced he would have won or gone very close in 2021 if not for tipping up. Tons of Cheltenham experience, inc trips over for the XC which haven’t quite worked out. Down to a mark of 134 which will no doubt take a small hike, but I think he’s a big player

[Liammet]

I also like this one but I think I saw that it’s Irish rating was 145, so factoring in the UK handicap tax I think it will be too high to race here.

Yeah,doesn’t look like the English capper would be letting it happen

[Eggs]

….I think it was Lobos who along with me was keeping an eye on entries/runs of Se Mo Laoch.

Just noticed he ran in an Irish PtP on 30th Dec finishing 3rd to Mighty Stowaway. He changed trainer ahead of that run but appears to have immediately reverted back to Brian McMahon.

[Lobos]

….I think it was Lobos who along with me was keeping an eye on entries/runs of Se Mo Laoch.

Just noticed he ran in an Irish PtP on 30th Dec finishing 3rd to Mighty Stowaway. He changed trainer ahead of that run but appears to have immediately reverted back to Brian McMahon.

Very, very interesting. Protecting his hcp mark possibly?? Dirty barstewards. If he's entered for the 4th time I'm going in large !

[Ray]

Anyone fancy glenloe to finally come here??

[Liammet]

Anyone fancy glenloe to finally come here??

If ever there was a NRNB it is for him

[Faugheen_Machine]

Anyone fancy glenloe to finally come here??

I quite like another in Green and Gold for this, although not sure that narrows it down much

[The Fellow]

Birchdale ?

[Spectre]

I quite like another in Green and Gold for this, although not sure that narrows it down much

Me too. And if we're thinking about the same one it'll be so obvious in retrospect. The one I'm thinking of isn't quoted though if we are on the same page.

[Birds Nest]

Always keep my eye on Gordons previous martin pipe runners for this. Frontal assault got hampered a couple of times in it last year and was still staying on ok. Already had 2 runs this season, just waiting on another entry for him.

[Attaglance]

Me too. And if we're thinking about the same one it'll be so obvious in retrospect. The one I'm thinking of isn't quoted though if we are on the same page.

Me 3… If on same page was well touted last year and didn’t show up. If 25/1 popped up I would grab it…

[Odin]

Ooooh I might also know - this intrigue is fun