Originally posted by Quevega
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Originally posted by Rooster Booster View Post
I’m pretty sure I’d fancy a relatively seasoned 155 rated horse running over close to their optimum trip above a fair few of them in the Arkle market. I’m not sure finishing a good second to HW over this trip would dent Firefox’s Arkle credentials at all. Ofc if he gets well beat that’s different but that’s stating the bleeding obvious. If on the other hand Firefox does win surely he has to be taken seriously?
Not sure how testing the ground will be by Sunday, but Elliotts main successes in the drinmore tend to be with horses better over further than the minimum. Like someone said earlier in the thread.
Not sure Gordon knows what this horses best/optimum conditions are, which is usually the case when they aren't top drawer.
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
I have a fairly strong view and not one that will be massively popular, but I think Firefox was well down the list of a very average bunch of novice hurdlers last year so for him to a serious chaser he will need to improve bundles and on his Down Royal (RPR 135) run the other week he will need to make Put The Kettle On type improvement.
Of course you can't dismiss any horse after the one chase start but this horse isn't your standard novice chase recruit, he will have had far more racing than most novice chasers he will come up against so I wonder how much improvement there is.
I should point out that my only bet in the race is on L'eau de Sud who bizarrely has a similar profile to Firefox in terms of experience, my defence is that I backed him at double the price Firefox currently is and LDS already looks a much better chaser than he did hurdler....
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I'm in the Firefox camp.
I'm not sure he'll be good enough to win an Arkle, but he'll be there or thereabouts, IMO.
Gordon, from very early on last season said he couldn't wait to get him over a fence, and looking at him (Firefox, that is) you'd have to agree. A fine stamp of a horse.
I also think he would have got closer in the Supreme had he not had to switch. It all happened late on and he was never going to get going enough to be able to challenge in any way. I don't think he wins still, but most definitely closer than the end result.
He then ran with plenty of credit during the rest of the season in all the G1's.
He's just a solid horse.
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