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Mares Chase 2021
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
Got to be a little dubious that PP go 14/1 NRNB but Betfair are the absolute standout 25/1 now?
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Originally posted by Morley Street View Post
They were 20s and 33s 24 hours ago, so both have adjusted their respective markets. I do feel DDC is a great e/w play here... there’s been nothing but positives coming out from his connections and BDD aside, for me she’d bring the best hurdle / course form into the race from the likely runners.
They also haven't got hugely short NRNB compared to non NRNB firms, so they don't mind getting that in the book either?
I have to say, I'm surprised so many people have backed a horse we've never seen over a fence, for a race that's not even a novice chase... based on Nicky Henderson comments. People forget just how good Jenkins and Charli Parcs were
I did get 1.25 pts e/w with PP at 20/1 for her.... so easy for me to not take 25/1 without that concession now... I'm just putting it out there, that it's worth considering.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
Adjusting her but leaving her the literal biggest price though makes it look like they want to take money for her at 25/1 - which would have me wondering why...
They also haven't got hugely short NRNB compared to non NRNB firms, so they don't mind getting that in the book either?
I have to say, I'm surprised so many people have backed a horse we've never seen over a fence, for a race that's not even a novice chase... based on Nicky Henderson comments. People forget just how good Jenkins and Charli Parcs were
I did get 1.25 pts e/w with PP at 20/1 for her.... so easy for me to not take 25/1 without that concession now... I'm just putting it out there, that it's worth considering.
She's not jumped a fence yet.
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Originally posted by Quevega View Post
Just a calculated risk from Betfair/PP though surely.
She's not jumped a fence yet.
All of a sudden she seems peoples most likely winner of the race, which given everything I've said, is strange.
People have 33/1 without NRNB, you'd take a flier at that price....
People took 20/1 NRNB, safer and worthwhile.
Current prices, meh.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
Yeah exactly.... hence people are getting carried away?
All of a sudden she seems peoples most likely winner of the race, which given everything I've said, is strange.
People have 33/1 without NRNB, you'd take a flier at that price....
People took 20/1 NRNB, safer and worthwhile.
Current prices, meh.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
Adjusting her but leaving her the literal biggest price though makes it look like they want to take money for her at 25/1 - which would have me wondering why...
They also haven't got hugely short NRNB compared to non NRNB firms, so they don't mind getting that in the book either?
I have to say, I'm surprised so many people have backed a horse we've never seen over a fence, for a race that's not even a novice chase... based on Nicky Henderson comments. People forget just how good Jenkins and Charli Parcs were
I did get 1.25 pts e/w with PP at 20/1 for her.... so easy for me to not take 25/1 without that concession now... I'm just putting it out there, that it's worth considering.
Take the point re Jenkins & Charlie but this mare has already blown away a coral cup field.
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Originally posted by Morley Street View Post
Do you not see this race as her most likeliest target tho Kev... she’s not going down the novice route to take on Shish or Envoi surely?
Take the point re Jenkins & Charlie but this mare has already blown away a coral cup field.
The Coral Cup is probably a better quality race than this though.
I dunno, I'm not against her, I just wouldn't get carried away is all...
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Originally posted by The King Pimm View PostI can’t see the field for this race reaching double figures from the antepost list, I think 9 entries Max which is what makes an antepost price of 25/1 for the Dame attractive
Dame De Compagnie
Colreevy
Salsaretta
Benie
Shattered Love
Magic Of Light
Robin De Carlow
Not sure anyone can make much of a case for anything asides from these now as the likeliest runners. Hard to see a double figure field i’d agree.
Oh please Willie if you’re reading this send the good thing here. Benie would destroy this lot on the snaff. It would be the easiest festival win of your life Willie.
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