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Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups

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  • Mellificent is out tomorrow at Uttoxeter in the mares bumper. Now owned by Jonjo, she finished second to Hunters Yarn in the Fairyhouse bumper, beating The Mediator and I am Fortunata, two well regarded Elliot horses. She should have enough in hand to beat the opposition tomorrow, and is a shade of odds on.

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    • BUA to place in the first three at 4/5 in the last race at Dundalk looks like a nice opportunity.

      Paddy Twomey operates at a brilliant strike rate and this newcomer has a very eye catching pedigree and cost 115,000 as a yearling, it looks like a pretty average maiden too with the main market rival Karakoul being beaten five times this season and I’d be disappointed if bua isn’t forward enough to place at the least.

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      • Originally posted by Mighty View Post
        Mellificent is out tomorrow at Uttoxeter in the mares bumper. Now owned by Jonjo, she finished second to Hunters Yarn in the Fairyhouse bumper, beating The Mediator and I am Fortunata, two well regarded Elliot horses. She should have enough in hand to beat the opposition tomorrow, and is a shade of odds on.
        Wins handily in the last - hope a few were on.

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        • Originally posted by Mighty View Post

          Wins handily in the last - hope a few were on.
          Well done. Happy to see him win as it boosts the form of Hunters Yarn and The Mediator, two I've backed. The former has been talked up by Mullins as a 2 miler so he could turn up in the Supreme or maybe the county if he can get enough experience.

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          • Originally posted by Mighty View Post

            Wins handily in the last - hope a few were on.
            Nice one Mighty, I used it to top up on Nature Strip tomorrow morning

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            • I've been looking at the below horses as potential roll up candidates running today at Champions day.

              All the below are place only suggestions:
              1. Kinross - 3 places - 2pm Ascot. (11/10 Hills)
              2. Sea Le Rosa - 3 places - 2.40 Ascot. (15/8 Hills)
              In my opinion, the two about are the form horses running today and should hit the frame.

              I've added those and 3 other odds on place chances with Allegorie De Vassy to win the Mares Chase utilising a free bet.

              Not sure how big of a multiplier others in the form look to add for a roll up, thoughts are appreciated.

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              • Hi couple of roll ups ive got my eye on today in the form of yellow cards in the football...

                Regan Slater of Hull to be booked 3/1 (Betfair)
                6 cards in 14 this season, with 4 in his last 5. Rarely subbed and loves a tackle. Ref has shown 5 cards in his last 3 games with 1 red too. They face Rotherham who have got 3 cards in their last 3 games so expecting a battling game vs Hull.

                As the price is quite short for Slater and rightly so i think its worth doubling for 13/1 with...

                David Kasumu Huddersfield to be booked 12/5 (Betfair)
                6 cards in 7 games this season with a red thrown in. There was 6 cards in last game Huddersfield played Middlesborough who are fresh off a 4-1 victory so should take the game to Huddersfield meaning plenty of chances for a Kasumu foul. Only concern is refs low average of cards 2.2 this season.

                More value could be either or the below...

                Idrissa Gueye of Everton to be booked 4/1 (365)
                4 yellows in last 5 games and generally plays 90 minites in close games which i'm expecting between Everton & Palace. Looks to be decent value in this one...
                Same game if wanting bigger price Anthony Gordon to be booked 5/1 (PP/BF)
                6 cards in last 10 games again plays 90 mins and loves a tackle. Back from suspension last game got a yellow after tussling with opposition...also throws in the odd dive...

                5 cards in the game last time these two met. Simon Hooper reffing is a concern as only avg 2.57 cards in 7 games this season but i think this will be a cagey contest with plenty opportunities for a Gueye or Gordon yellow.

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                • Printemps 15/8-2/1 6:15 Newcastle tomorrow

                  Won a strong Newmarket class 3 handicap cosily last time, travelling like a dream then being pushed out value for plenty more than the winning distance and only got put up 2lb

                  The third queenlet and 4th canoodled have both bolted in since

                  Drops into a class 5 0-75 tomorrow against exposed aw horses (she's an improving 3yo the rest are 5 or older)

                  She's by sharmadal so the step up to a mile shouldn't be a problem either

                  This looks a very good opportunity for her to win again

                  The only slight worry is the stable aren't firing in the winners but his RTF% of 62% is fine

                  I'd make her more like an evs-5/4 shot not 15/8-2/1 (dissapearing fast)

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                  • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
                    Printemps 15/8-2/1 6:15 Newcastle tomorrow

                    Won a strong Newmarket class 3 handicap cosily last time, travelling like a dream then being pushed out value for plenty more than the winning distance and only got put up 2lb
                    Sounds like a good thing, surely only I can ruin that

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                    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                      Sounds like a good thing, surely only I can ruin that
                      It's almost too obvious a case to make isnt it

                      I'm also an expert at making a really nice sounding case for a good value bet that loses

                      Probably go off odds on and finish last

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                      • I’m a mug for a convincing case, so fairly certain I’ll be using that, probably to try & get Mighty Potter further onside.

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                        • Originally posted by Stormez View Post
                          I’m a mug for a convincing case, so fairly certain I’ll be using that, probably to try & get Mighty Potter further onside.
                          Yeah, I've done this one and also with Lossiemouth

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                          • To quote Billy Joel

                            "And we will all go down together"

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                            • 3yo filly in a class 5 on the all weather definitely isn't usually my scene! But I'm all for mob mentality so I'll chuck her in a multiple. ​​​

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                              • This is why i Love this Forum . .......
                                .................................................. ..............
                                Stage Star - 2-05 warwick. , Printemps - 6-15 newc. , Greaneteen - tingle Creek, Bravemansgame - king george ....Roll Up... I hope..
                                .. 1st.- 6-4. , 1st. - 7-4, .
                                Last edited by BigChaang; 1 November 2022, 07:26 PM.

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