Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups

[Hurricane fly]

Can't see past Without a Fight in the next at York

have doubled with El Fabiolo and Mighty Potter for the Arkle, gets both to roughly 75pt return

[BigChaang]

Can't see past Without a Fight in the next at York

have doubled with El Fabiolo and Mighty Potter for the Arkle, gets both to roughly 75pt return

.. . Nice one H.F !! .

[somer1]

Just tried to do a couple of roll ups using Rishi Sunak @ 6/4 con leadership and horses for Cheltenham. WH and 365 said no on ya bike
Used Overstate 15.30 Bath and GDM and Edwardstone for the QMCC

[twig78]

Just tried to do a couple of roll ups using Rishi Sunak @ 6/4 con leadership and horses for Cheltenham. WH and 365 said no on ya bike
Used Overstate 15.30 Bath and GDM and Edwardstone for the QMCC

As ridiculous as all this is, there is something poetic about Richi Sunak and Ahoy Senor.

[Hurricane fly]

Benny The Duke - 17:00 Killarney @ 11/8 with Sir Gerhard for a 21/1 dohble

BTD has a string of seconds that's form all stacks up.

• Last race behind Ginto who we know was set to become potentially top dollar
• The third won next time out, Beating a horse that is now chasing a 4 timer
• Quantum Realm has won twice more since and is a 120OR horse
• The third has a string of 1s next to it all be it PTPs; but at my hometown course!

The 2nd favs form over hurdles doesn't amount to much, only 1 subsequent winner from either of his races and he's giving away 8lbs
Glenglass has nothing about him, Arabian Prince has been floundering away in C5 flat races and the rest are canon fodder.

I like the look of Foley as a promising claimed to boot

[somer1]

Trying again to get a roll up on
GDM QMCC with Magical Lagoon 15.45 Curragh
Edwardstone QMCC with Post No Bills 15.34 Cartmel

[BigChaang]

Trying again to get a roll up on
GDM QMCC with Magical Lagoon 15.45 Curragh
Edwardstone QMCC with Post No Bills 15.34 Cartmel

G.D.M - champ chase Somer ??.............. best of Luck mate anyway..

[That Horse]

G.D.M - champ chase Somer ??.............. best of Luck mate anyway..

Assuming he means Gentleman de mee in case you're thinking of Gaillard de Mesnil

[somer1]

Soz G.D.Mee QMCC

[BigChaang]

Yes , my Misunderstanding , That Horse... . Gentleman De Mee .
Well Done Somer 1, you got yourself a Live one there. ! . .

[robith]

I know people were saying you can't pair politics bets for roll ups, but Truss locks a lock in for next PM now, I can't imagine many Badenoch voters will switch to Mordount or Sunak, and Truss is like 16 points ahead of Sunak in Tory member polls. Still odds against just

[Black Dog]

I agree,Mordant looks very vulnerable now with Kemi's votes surely going to Truss. Sunak popular with MPs but not with grassroots. 5/4 with Fred. You can back in a single and put the returns on your roll up selection.

[BraveInca]

Agree also Truss will be more popular with members of party. Sky allows you to do the roll up double and Truss is evens. Done 1 pt roll up with Sir Gerhard in Turners 17/1 and 1 pt with Ahoy Senor (GC) 17/1

[Mighty]

Just be cautious about this. There’s a lot of volatility behind the bare numbers which is hiding a lot of the tactical voting.

Sunak has a lot more support amongst MPs than the numbers are giving him - I’d estimate he’s actually on around 140 - so he’s currently lending votes to other supporters.

Today was all about eliminating Kemi Badenoch - based on the polling with members who make the choice between the final two, then she was winning in all the head to heads.

Tugendhat went out last night - he had 31 votes and is on the left of the party (comparatively speaking) - the only way his supporters should have broken is to Sunak, or Penny Mordaunt as a one nation conservative. Instead, Truss went up 15 votes, Sunak only 3 - that’s scarcely credible.

It’s all still to play for, and it all depends on who Kemi’s supporters break for. It may well be a mix, but It’s Rishi will have a big influence on the final two - he can lend supporters to Penny to enable her to qualify over Liz (Chris Skidmore, one of his supporters rated Liz as the big danger to Rishi in the membership vote), or he could decide that he’s more likely to beat Liz, and let nature take its course.

This contest is hugely volatile, and I wouldn’t be backing anyone at the prices they are now, and I used to work in Westminster…

[Magpie]

I backed Truss at 2s as soon as the votes came out, thinking she will get her fair amount of votes from Badenock, but never thought about Rishi loaning votes to PM, but naive of me. But still think the right of the party might give her enough votes to get in final two, then the membership should get her over the line. It’s purely a financial bet, I won’t say what my true feelings are of Truss. She’s hopeless. Oh I have. Ha.