Originally posted by somer1
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Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups
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2 tomorrow that I will use for roll ups
1) Bacardys - 6:45 Clonmel - 8/15
Lower odds than i would usually use, but combining with Stattler and will secure the desired 50pt return. Nothing within a stone of him in OR and RPR is an even bigger gap. He hasn't been great over fences and does have a tendency to go slightly left, but he definitely stays the trip and I don't see much else with a pulse in the race.
Stattler - GC - 22/1 - 1pt
2) Itwasfate - 5:00 Clonmel - 11/10
Again over a stone clear on both OR and RPR but racing off levels. Will be getting 4lb due to a claimer and again I don't see anything with much of a pulse. Malians glory at 3/1 definitely screams drifter, he's only faced one subsequent winner over hurdles and was a near 25 lengths back from that one. On a line through Plains Indian the selection has 10+lbs on MG. Doyenne has been well beaten in both races and the rest are usually distance
Have added with Minella Cocooner for the Turners @70/1. I'm not sold on the Turners being the target but some good arguments have been put up here and Any Race price is too skinny for me.
Will possibly use IWF again and will edit/update according.
Edit- Adding with Mighty Potter (Arkle) - 30.5/1 - 1ptLast edited by Hurricane fly; 9 June 2022, 11:45 PM.
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Originally posted by Hurricane fly View Post2 tomorrow that I will use for roll ups
1) Bacardys - 6:45 Clonmel - 8/15
Lower odds than i would usually use, but combining with Stattler and will secure the desired 50pt return. Nothing within a stone of him in OR and RPR is an even bigger gap. He hasn't been great over fences and does have a tendency to go slightly left, but he definitely stays the trip and I don't see much else with a pulse in the race.
Stattler - GC - 22/1 - 1pt
2) Itwasfate - 5:00 Clonmel - 11/10
Again over a stone clear on both OR and RPR but racing off levels. Will be getting 4lb due to a claimer and again I don't see anything with much of a pulse. Malians glory at 3/1 definitely screams drifter, he's only faced one subsequent winner over hurdles and was a near 25 lengths back from that one. On a line through Plains Indian the selection has 10+lbs on MG. Doyenne has been well beaten in both races and the rest are usually distance
Have added with Minella Cocooner for the Turners @70/1. I'm not sold on the Turners being the target but some good arguments have been put up here and Any Race price is too skinny for me.
Will possibly use IWF again and will edit/update according.
Edit- Adding with Mighty Potter (Arkle) - 30.5/1 - 1pt
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Hurricane fly I like your analysis. Have had a look and agreed although I see Itwasfate has drifted a touch to 5/4. Placed a non roll up double on the two for a bit of interest.
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As a gluten for punishment I will be using Deodar again in the 3:45 at Newmarket.
A shades of odds against doubled with Mighty Potter and Minella Cocooner.
I want to get (in my eyes) the big 3 for the Arkle - Jonbon, El Fabiolo, Mighty Potter - all to be 100pt winners and with MP at a standout 14/1 if this roll up wins I'll already be up to 72 for him.
edit: I hate that horseLast edited by Hurricane fly; 23 June 2022, 09:33 PM.
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Catch the Paddy in the opener at Hamilton - Evens
2 2nds have come behind Queen Olly who subsequently came 4th in the Albany at RA and Show Respect was thought enough of to be entered in the Coventry, his debut was alsonfranked with the 2nd winning next time out and Royal Scotsman also placing at Ascot.
Anywhere close to those runs should win for me.
Have added with Three Stripe Life for the Turners for 1pt @ 21/1
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I'm taking you on Hurricane Fly ... . Lord Sam's Castle - 15-8 ../ Capodanno - gold cup - 20-1. .
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Edit.. L.S.C. a non runner , so i guess i have my self a single on Capodanno.
Catch the paddy won cosily there , well done H.F. .Last edited by BigChaang; 28 June 2022, 02:38 PM.
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In my eyes, one decent roll up opp today is Max Vertsappen to win the British GP at 4/6. Quali yesterday was so erratic with the constant rain and downpours, and Sainz probably a bit flattered to get P1, he himself didn't expect it when the team radio said he had got P1.
Verstappen was absolutely creaming everyone yesterday but spins or oversteers took the edge off what could have been. With the dry track today, fully expect him to win by some distance today without issue barring a freak incident like a puncture.
Taking it as an opp to get a few on side which I don't have in book yet, notably:
The Pornstar in the Mares - 12/1 RU
Ahoy Senor - Gold Cup - 14/1 RU
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Originally posted by knockando View PostIn my eyes, one decent roll up opp today is Max Vertsappen to win the British GP at 4/6. Quali yesterday was so erratic with the constant rain and downpours, and Sainz probably a bit flattered to get P1, he himself didn't expect it when the team radio said he had got P1.
Verstappen was absolutely creaming everyone yesterday but spins or oversteers took the edge off what could have been. With the dry track today, fully expect him to win by some distance today without issue barring a freak incident like a puncture.
Taking it as an opp to get a few on side which I don't have in book yet, notably:
The Pornstar in the Mares - 12/1 RU
Ahoy Senor - Gold Cup - 14/1 RU
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Knockando. Do me a favour and put a link up for the pornstar. I’m googling from my iPhone out here and all I get up is Pornstar doing wrong things with horses (I’m scared for life)
Can’t find this horse in any betting or anything about it.
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