Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups

[HoldenTheReins]

I'll dip my foot in here, by suggesting Berrahri in the 1455 at Epsom today. I got 11/1 earlier but 9/1 still available widely available. I've rolled up with SWIW in Mares at 14s to get a 180/1 double (more or less).

Berrahri current OR 70:
- Won race in 2019 last time it was run off OR 82
- Has CD win this year off OR 68, and won at Chester off 66
- Had poor year last year, but has run 7 times this year, only once obtaining an RPR lower than his OR and that was an RPR of 69.
- On five occasions this year, has an RPR greater than his OR today of 70.
- Draw is a slight negative, but prominent racing style is perfect for the course

(For full disclosure, I'm currently operating at a 27% strike rate on 33 roll up attempts since Cheltenham - I don't know whether that's good or bad - and I'm trying to find the time to set up a diary so all my bets can be scrutinised!)

Some shout Odin, congrats

[Odin]

Thanks guys, hopefully SWIW turns up in March now so I can dream of a nice return!

[Joleg]

I'll dip my foot in here, by suggesting Berrahri in the 1455 at Epsom today. I got 11/1 earlier but 9/1 still available widely available. I've rolled up with SWIW in Mares at 14s to get a 180/1 double (more or less).

Berrahri current OR 70:
- Won race in 2019 last time it was run off OR 82
- Has CD win this year off OR 68, and won at Chester off 66
- Had poor year last year, but has run 7 times this year, only once obtaining an RPR lower than his OR and that was an RPR of 69.
- On five occasions this year, has an RPR greater than his OR today of 70.
- Draw is a slight negative, but prominent racing style is perfect for the course

(For full disclosure, I'm currently operating at a 27% strike rate on 33 roll up attempts since Cheltenham - I don't know whether that's good or bad - and I'm trying to find the time to set up a diary so all my bets can be scrutinised!)

That's top work Odin

If i was into Flat Racing i would have taken a look, may well follow in on your next tip

[Kevloaf]

I'll dip my foot in here, by suggesting Berrahri in the 1455 at Epsom today. I got 11/1 earlier but 9/1 still available widely available. I've rolled up with SWIW in Mares at 14s to get a 180/1 double (more or less).

Berrahri current OR 70:
- Won race in 2019 last time it was run off OR 82
- Has CD win this year off OR 68, and won at Chester off 66
- Had poor year last year, but has run 7 times this year, only once obtaining an RPR lower than his OR and that was an RPR of 69.
- On five occasions this year, has an RPR greater than his OR today of 70.
- Draw is a slight negative, but prominent racing style is perfect for the course

(For full disclosure, I'm currently operating at a 27% strike rate on 33 roll up attempts since Cheltenham - I don't know whether that's good or bad - and I'm trying to find the time to set up a diary so all my bets can be scrutinised!)

Oh yes!

That is fantastic, really well done.


Will look forward to this diary Odin - chuffed for you.

[Quevega]

Surprised at some of the Ryder Cup comments.
Have any of you watched previous matches ??
The US Team always looks miles better on paper and World rankings etc

But the Value bet looking at the current odds is Europe.

Since 1985 (Europes first victory) it's 12 v 5 in Europe's favour, and 4 v 4 on American Soil.
I can't find the Stats but I'd be fairly confident that the stats are even better over the first day or 2 also (when in pairs). With the Americans generally having stronger final day results.

In all those years, Europe would have been well behind in terms of form and rankings etc.

[BookieBasher]

Surprised at some of the Ryder Cup comments.
Have any of you watched previous matches ??
The US Team always looks miles better on paper and World rankings etc

But the Value bet looking at the current odds is Europe.

Since 1985 (Europes first victory) it's 12 v 5 in Europe's favour, and 4 v 4 on American Soil.
I can't find the Stats but I'd be fairly confident that the stats are even better over the first day or 2 also (when in pairs). With the Americans generally having stronger final day results.

In all those years, Europe would have been well behind in terms of form and rankings etc.

I guess when you look at the stats that way then Yes you can say that Europe are the value bet (Value seems to be the word of the day)

My reasoning behind using USA so frequently in roll ups this year is purely based on who has the strongest 12 players. I know the camaraderie that Europe always have is something that USA struggle to find so that can be a little worrying. The closer the event gets and looking at form, apart from Rahm I’m struggling to find any Europeans who can deliver points consistently. Fleetwood won’t have his buddy Molinari who won 5/5 in Paris. I also am thinking the lack of European fans could lead it to be a very hostile environment which could unnerve a few guys. It could also have the total opposite effect!! And with all 12 USA players spending 3/4 days at Whistling this weekend to get valuable course knowledge before practice round get underway will help.

Anyway, Come Monday morning I could have some nicer looking Cheltenham bets or have quite a few in the ‘Settled’ category.

Which ever way the Ryder Cup goes, I can’t wait to watch it all unfold and hope for a close and exciting 3 days........and USA to reach 14.5pts when the last ball drops

[Quevega]

I guess when you look at the stats that way then Yes you can say that Europe are the value bet (Value seems to be the word of the day)

My reasoning behind using USA so frequently in roll ups this year is purely based on who has the strongest 12 players. I know the camaraderie that Europe always have is something that USA struggle to find so that can be a little worrying. The closer the event gets and looking at form, apart from Rahm I’m struggling to find any Europeans who can deliver points consistently. Fleetwood won’t have his buddy Molinari who won 5/5 in Paris. I also am thinking the lack of European fans could lead it to be a very hostile environment which could unnerve a few guys. It could also have the total opposite effect!! And with all 12 USA players spending 3/4 days at Whistling this weekend to get valuable course knowledge before practice round get underway will help.

Anyway, Come Monday morning I could have some nicer looking Cheltenham bets or have quite a few in the ‘Settled’ category.

Which ever way the Ryder Cup goes, I can’t wait to watch it all unfold and hope for a close and exciting 3 days........and USA to reach 14.5pts when the last ball drops

On memory, and I can't prove it. I'm fairly sure the odds are always similar to this, but often get tighter before the off.

[Spectre]

That’s a very good shout Odin. I suspect very few would have had the confidence to put up a roll up with such a big price first leg.

You deserve the result with Shewearsitwell for that kind of tipping.

[jono]

I'll dip my foot in here, by suggesting Berrahri in the 1455 at Epsom today. I got 11/1 earlier but 9/1 still available widely available. I've rolled up with SWIW in Mares at 14s to get a 180/1 double (more or less)…

Superb. Will be hard to find a better roll up shout in here all year

[Alexmilton]

Getting nervous now! Into the semis

Good luck for this game, have stayed up to watch it as I thought it was going to be 1am ish! Now committed

[Mighty]

Had 0.5pt on Raducanu to win US Open last night before the Barty match at 28/1, managed to get it rolled up with GDC in RSA and a treble with Honeysuckle and Bob Olinger, 280/1 and 434/1 respectively, given that the number one seed BARTY has been knocked out who she would have faced next, odds have now been slashed to 11/1 heres hoping!

Crikey Zach - just seen last night’s result, and Emma’s now 4/6 favourite. Might well be the best roll up yet! Will be keeping my fingers crossed for the win!

[Odin]

Thanks guys, think we are all routing for Zach's bet to blow mine out of the water in terms of first leg of a roll up though. Good luck tomorrow mate!

[Craigy14]

Zachx02 best of luck tomorrow night, that’s a belter of a shout!

Could be 2 lovely Cheltenham bets to look forward to.

[HoldenTheReins]

Good luck Zachx02, some shout also

[Zachx02]

Thanks for the messages everyone, appreciate it. The fact she's the same age as me makes it even more surprising but at the same time makes me feel like I wasted my younger years not doing anything even though I am going to a very highly ranked university in England to study computer science after getting AAA in my a levels just 3 weeks ago it's just made me feel a bit deflated feeling like I didn't try to do stuff like Tennis albeit we probably couldn't afford it. If anyone's messages are open for a chat since I've been feeling down lately I would appreciate it cheers.