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Fat Jockey Podcasts - Longshots - Ep 5

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  • #46
    Originally posted by MadeinJapan View Post

    Not sure if you guys are recording this yet - can you give your opinions on Imperial Aura for the Gold Cup? To me he was the only one travelling who might have given A Plus Tard a race in the Betfair Chase before coming down. The best he’s travelled in a race for a while, still looked to have plenty left. He’s the e/w standout in my opinion as a potential improver over the distance. Granted needs to brush his jumping up but at 50/1 should give a better account than Champ/Eklat De Rire for example who to me aren’t at the top level.
    He pulled up at the weekend as well MIJ so I think Allaho has broke him imo.

    Doesn’t seem the same this season, jumping errors, now pulled up again. I’d be going as far away from him as you can.

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    • #47
      Originally posted by jono View Post

      Not yet MIJ. Will be recording shortly.
      I'll make sure we touch on him
      Not ready to start the pod at 7.30 but enough time to browse the forum?



      Prep time is over

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      • #48
        Quick browser whilst I eat my dinner.
        I'm a professional.
        I don't eat my KFC in front of you when we say we'll start the pod

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        • #49
          Originally posted by MadeinJapan View Post

          Not sure if you guys are recording this yet - can you give your opinions on Imperial Aura for the Gold Cup? To me he was the only one travelling who might have given A Plus Tard a race in the Betfair Chase before coming down. The best he’s travelled in a race for a while, still looked to have plenty left. He’s the e/w standout in my opinion as a potential improver over the distance. Granted needs to brush his jumping up but at 50/1 should give a better account than Champ/Eklat De Rire for example who to me aren’t at the top level.
          Bled from the nose in the Ryanair. Since then FP!

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          • #50
            Spectre

            Balko des Flos at 20s now...

            I assume this is an even stronger fancy than before?

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            • #51
              Originally posted by MadeinJapan View Post

              Not sure if you guys are recording this yet - can you give your opinions on Imperial Aura for the Gold Cup? To me he was the only one travelling who might have given A Plus Tard a race in the Betfair Chase before coming down. The best he’s travelled in a race for a while, still looked to have plenty left. He’s the e/w standout in my opinion as a potential improver over the distance. Granted needs to brush his jumping up but at 50/1 should give a better account than Champ/Eklat De Rire for example who to me aren’t at the top level.
              A bit late, but I've got him covered in a couple of bets - think I made a similar argument and compared him to Galvin on their festival run a couple of seasons ago, but he's been terrible this season. Maybe he would have got closer to a plus tard, but UPFP just aren't form figures to have any confidence about now sadly

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              • #52
                Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                Spectre

                Balko des Flos at 20s now...

                I assume this is an even stronger fancy than before?
                At least he can actually be considered a 'long shot' now

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                • #53
                  Originally posted by jono View Post

                  At least he can actually be considered a 'long shot' now
                  Absolutely Jono, that shameful 10/1 antepost longshot, is now officially a proper longshot
                  "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

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                  • #54
                    Great job guys! A really good watch/listen. Thanks for putting in the effort - it shows.

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                    • #55
                      Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                      Spectre

                      Balko des Flos at 20s now...

                      I assume this is an even stronger fancy than before?
                      Yes and I much prefer the new price Kev!
                      Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

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                      • #56
                        Originally posted by Spectre View Post

                        Yes and I much prefer the new price Kev!


                        I'm on now

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                        • #57
                          I do like Heaven Help Us from that list as I try and find a decent horse who is at that right age to put in a peak performance at the Festival and has at least placed or won before. I often find that horses having their third race at the Festival hitting the age of 8 (or a few months off) will put in a top performance. I do allow for a 4th year if that horse has started out at an earlier age or is just a very good horse.

                          The ones I want to keep on side and that I think will put in a big performance are:

                          Heaven Help Us (will be 3rd race and age 8) Mares Hurdle - 33/1
                          Put The Kettle On (will be 3rd race and age 8) Champion chase - 25/1
                          Nube Negra - (will be 3rd race and age 7 going on 8) Champion Chase 16/1
                          Fidderlerontheroof - (will be 3rd race and age 7 going on 8) Gold Cup 33/1
                          Eldorado Allen - (will be 3rd race and age 7 going on 8) Ryanair 33/1
                          Abacadabras - (will be 4th race and age 7 going on 8) Stayers Hurdle 20/1

                          Even if I 'm not mad keen on someone like Fiddlerontgheroof I will put him in an each way double with someone like Bob to boost it 92/1 so I don't have a big outlay, but feel I have him covered for a decent bet.








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