Ryanair Chase 2021

[SizingJohn]

Interesting they are thinking of throwing Le Richebourg into a race as hot as this. I know he has other entries, more likely to go for those instead of this as first race in nearly 2 years?

[Saxon Warrior]

DDS is scenes @ 22/1 for this. I know he has to put the QMCC behind him (not worried about seasonal reappearance run), but this is a 7 going on 8 year old with two festival wins to his name, multiple grade 1 winner, 170+ rated chaser and he's 22/1. Having seen him just get tired on debut I've seen enough to be confident in his wellbeing, and its simply the wrong price isn't it? Ruby did an interesting piece on RTV (think it was in Ep2 countdown to Cheltenham) where he analysed the benefit of speed as an asset to winning a Ryanair. We know from his exploits over 2m that DDS has speed, enough to go off 2/5 for a QMCC - I think he'll be a massive player in this race and 22/1 come March will look a massive.

That could shrink after the John Durkan, if a few bubbles are burst there, that are shorter than DDS's price.

[ComplyOrDie]

That could shrink after the John Durkan, if a few bubbles are burst there, that are shorter than DDS's price.

Yeah, that is what I was thinking.

[Leman14]

Interesting they are thinking of throwing Le Richebourg into a race as hot as this. I know he has other entries, more likely to go for those instead of this as first race in nearly 2 years?

Looking for a mark???
Was Fav (or as good as) for the Arkle in 2019 before injury.
OR 158
In this field, I would be very surprised if he was competitive off the back of 21 months off the track.
Pressure off. Finishes tailed off, but not made to work too hard...

[charlie]

Interesting they are thinking of throwing Le Richebourg into a race as hot as this. I know he has other entries, more likely to go for those instead of this as first race in nearly 2 years?

I completely agree. That's deep water to dive into first time up.

[Outlaw]

Cracker of a race, great to see Mullins let a few go H2H ! Be interesting to see any overreactions to the losers, Ryanair market certainly set for a shakeup.

[Eireman]

Be interested to see which one Paul Townend rides for Willie when its announced shortly.

I wouldn't necessarily think that means much in regards to Cheltenham. I think he rides the horse which he feels will give him the best chance of winning this race which may not be the same come say the Ryanair if most of Willie's entered into this race run in say the Ryanair.

Allaho for example has been beaten in both his seasonal reappearances since joining Mullins.

Melon hasn't won his seasonal reappearance for 3 years and that was in a hurdle nowhere near as competitive as this.

Min has won his seasonal reappearances in all four years he has been with Mullins, including this very race the last two years. Although he hasn't exactly set the world alight while doing so and none were anywhere near as competitive as this.

Tornado Flyer goes well fresh having won his last 3 seasonal reappearances. Again though none were near this quality and he still has to prove he is up to this class where Min doesn't imo.

In short. Would predict it will be Min but because hes least shit starting off rather than him simply being the best horse and it could very well be different come March.

[SizingJohn]

Looking for a mark???
Was Fav (or as good as) for the Arkle in 2019 before injury.
OR 158
In this field, I would be very surprised if he was competitive off the back of 21 months off the track.
Pressure off. Finishes tailed off, but not made to work too hard...

Maybe so, where would you think they would be looking long term then?

[Leman14]

If he stayed sound and they could get him dropped a few pounds - he would/could be the class horse in the Grand Annual.
BUT
Will that potential ability still remain?
Can they drop him sufficiently to be competitive?
Would they set their sights higher?
AND (one for the stats guys)
Last 10 winners of the Grand Annual have been rated 138 to 150 (thanks @gaultstats!)

[Eggs]

....a few John Durkin/Ryanair specials;

Chris’s Dream 1st 3 in both 5-1; win JD/1st 3 in R 16-1; win both 66-1 all with Hills (win both 40-1 Sky)
Min win both 20-1 Sky
Alloha win both 25-1; win JD & a/r 18-1.

[FinalFurlong91]

Allaho will almost definitely need the run judging by last year so I'd avoid him for the weekend

[charlie]

Allaho will almost definitely need the run judging by last year so I'd avoid him for the weekend

Yeh his seasonal reappearance runs make 11/4 and the 28/1 double look really unattractive

[FinalFurlong91]

I feel like it can't have been the plan for mullins to enter all these horses in the same race

maybe he was a week or two behind in their prep so if he wants to get a run into them before their Christmas targets it has to be now

[germanshepherd]

Interesting they are thinking of throwing Le Richebourg into a race as hot as this. I know he has other entries, more likely to go for those instead of this as first race in nearly 2 years?

Recall them saying he wants good ground during his novice chase season.

[Kautostar]

Be interested to see which one Paul Townend rides for Willie when its announced shortly.

He rides none of them!!
he’s going to cork to ride chacun