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Champion Hurdle 2021

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  • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

    Yes, win the ICH and I'm pretty certain she'll go for the English equivalent. Lose and she drops to the Mares Hurdle. I can't see connections thinking anything different than that. It's very straight forward to me. I watched her last 3 races back last night and the pace and acceleration she showed in each race to instantly pull 2/3 lengths clear and basically 'win' the races for her, shows to me she does have what it takes to win a Champion Hurdle especially with Epatantes poor show last time. Her jumping in the Hattons was very slick as well. 7/1 NRNB Churdle should be in everyone's book imho.
    What about her jumping in last years ICH where she jumped 4 of the 8 obstacles very slowly?

    Does that not worry you?

    Comment


    • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

      What about her jumping in last years ICH where she jumped 4 of the 8 obstacles very slowly?

      Does that not worry you?
      As I say , her jumping in the Mares Hurdle and last time was immaculate. She's better this season in many aspects to my eye. She does look quicker too. I am slightly biased though......

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

        As I say , her jumping in the Mares Hurdle and last time was immaculate. She's better this season in many aspects to my eye. She does look quicker too. I am slightly biased though......
        She completely bungled the last in the mares hurdle, it almost cost her the race

        Her jumping over 2m4f has always been generally fine

        It was over 2 miles that it fell apart, at that faster pace

        Comment


        • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

          She completely bungled the last in the mares hurdle, it almost cost her the race

          Her jumping over 2m4f has always been generally fine

          It was over 2 miles that it fell apart, at that faster pace
          She'll be fine. They looked to have sharpened her right up last time. All will be revealed soon anyway. Let Honeysuckle do the talking.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

            She'll be fine. They looked to have sharpened her right up last time. All will be revealed soon anyway. Let Honeysuckle do the talking.
            I didnt think she was impressive at all last time

            I have her in multis for the mares hurdle so hoping that she just needed the run, she didn't have a prep for the Hattons grace like the previous year

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

              Yes, win the ICH and I'm pretty certain she'll go for the English equivalent. Lose and she drops to the Mares Hurdle. I can't see connections thinking anything different than that. It's very straight forward to me. I watched her last 3 races back last night and the pace and acceleration she showed in each race to instantly pull 2/3 lengths clear and basically 'win' the races for her, shows to me she does have what it takes to win a Champion Hurdle especially with Epatantes poor show last time. Her jumping in the Hattons was very slick as well. 7/1 NRNB Churdle should be in everyone's book imho.
              Last year connections publicly stated the Champion Hurdle was an option pre Irish Champion Hurdle, which she won, then they went mares. What's changed baring the been there done that got the t-shirt....?

              The Hatton's Grace was a truly rubbish Grade 1, and she's nearly been picked up by Ronald Pump. Post race the vast majority on here recognised she was not a CH horse. What's changed?

              As FF91 eluded to, her jumping over 2m has been noticeably worse than over 2m4f. What's changed? (post race different story, but as a bet now, what's changed?)

              IMO a win in the ICH will not be enough on its own to send her here. The manner of the victory will dictate that. She needs to show she has the speed to go 2m in proper company, and then jump low and fast the way you expect a champion hurdle winner to do. She didn't do enough last year to persuade connections, and off the back of that performance in the Hatton's Grace, I don't think she'll do enough this year.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                As I say , her jumping in the Mares Hurdle and last time was immaculate. She's better this season in many aspects to my eye. She does look quicker too. I am slightly biased though......
                The Hatton's Grace this year was trash opposition in a race run at a slow pace. It turned into a sprint and she nearly got done by Ronald Pump! Aside from running a much quicker time in 2019, how is beating Apple's Jade by 13 lengths the previous year not significantly more impressive that what was achieved this time around? I think your love for Honeysuckle is your Achilles heal Lobos

                Comment


                • Taking on Epatante When quizzed about whether having a Cheltenham festival victory already “banked” may make connections more willing to consider taking on Epatante in the champion, the trainer didn’t dismiss the idea.

                  “You’d always be tempted by races like the Champion Hurdle but we’ll head for the Irish Champion Hurdle and then maybe we will firm up on plans,” said De Bromhead

                  Comment


                  • Ribble Valley was mentioned to me a while back for this race but after it was beaten by Epatante and and SR it all went quiet. Then drifted to 100/1!!

                    Does anyone have any info on this horse at all? I expect his chances are very slim given the competition.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Thethinker87 View Post
                      Ribble Valley was mentioned to me a while back for this race but after it was beaten by Epatante and and SR it all went quiet. Then drifted to 100/1!!

                      Does anyone have any info on this horse at all? I expect his chances are very slim given the competition.
                      Running at Haydock in Champion Hurdle trial in 2 weeks time.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                        Taking on Epatante When quizzed about whether having a Cheltenham festival victory already “banked” may make connections more willing to consider taking on Epatante in the champion, the trainer didn’t dismiss the idea.

                        “You’d always be tempted by races like the Champion Hurdle but we’ll head for the Irish Champion Hurdle and then maybe we will firm up on plans,” said De Bromhead
                        A quote that really can go either way. Some (cough, Lobos ) will interpret this as CH is firmly on the cards. To me the words 'tempted, but, maybe' smack of a man who either doesn't know, or has already decided.

                        The ICH and manner of victory (if she wins) is so important now for this mare. HDB will know like the rest of us (barring you Lobos) that Honeysuckle was much more impressive when winning at Fairyhouse on debut in 2019 than 2020, so she's gonna have to find a performance better than last year to sway them.

                        Possible though, she's a super mare. I may even have to take 7/1 NRNB just to avoid to avalanche of shit that would inevitably come my way were she to go here and win

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by charlie View Post

                          A quote that really can go either way. Some (cough, Lobos ) will interpret this as CH is firmly on the cards. To me the words 'tempted, but, maybe' smack of a man who either doesn't know, or has already decided.

                          The ICH and manner of victory (if she wins) is so important now for this mare. HDB will know like the rest of us (barring you Lobos) that Honeysuckle was much more impressive when winning at Fairyhouse on debut in 2019 than 2020, so she's gonna have to find a performance better than last year to sway them.

                          Possible though, she's a super mare. I may even have to take 7/1 NRNB just to avoid to avalanche of shit that would inevitably come my way were she to go here and win
                          I'd say take a flier with the 20/1 to win both races and get her on board that way.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by charlie View Post

                            A quote that really can go either way. Some (cough, Lobos ) will interpret this as CH is firmly on the cards. To me the words 'tempted, but, maybe' smack of a man who either doesn't know, or has already decided.

                            The ICH and manner of victory (if she wins) is so important now for this mare. HDB will know like the rest of us (barring you Lobos) that Honeysuckle was much more impressive when winning at Fairyhouse on debut in 2019 than 2020, so she's gonna have to find a performance better than last year to sway them.

                            Possible though, she's a super mare. I may even have to take 7/1 NRNB just to avoid to avalanche of shit that would inevitably come my way were she to go here and win
                            For someone like yourself, who thinks she won't come here....unless she blows them away..... surely NRNB 7/1 is worth it for you?


                            If she does what you don't think, and smashes them, you'd have to re-assess her and no doubt you'd have her shorter, maybe half the price or less?



                            I'm of the opinion she could win and this season as they've already won the Mares it's possible they do throw her in to the CH this time, which is stopping me.
                            • I only want Honeysuckle onside if she's won the Irish Champion Hurdle, really well

                            I suppose, I would have the option to cash out.... is she likely to go off 7/1 or bigger under any circumstances, that's the question? ... and then, would you want her onside at 6/1 and 5/1 ?

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by charlie View Post
                              I may even have to take 7/1 NRNB just to avoid to avalanche of shit that would inevitably come my way were she to go here and win
                              Do you think she'll shorten drastically from that 7/1 should they decide to tackle the Champion Hurdle ?
                              9 weeks to go and an Irish champion hurdle in between she won last year and still swerved the weakest champion hurdle in memory, she'd have to win hard held to drop to say 4/1 and even then some would argue 4/1 in 9 weeks time is better value than 7/1 now.
                              It's the NRNB insurance that's swaying you (and others) I think and not her chances of winning the race...

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                                Do you think she'll shorten drastically from that 7/1 should they decide to tackle the Champion Hurdle ?
                                9 weeks to go and an Irish champion hurdle in between she won last year and still swerved the weakest champion hurdle in memory, she'd have to win hard held to drop to say 4/1 and even then some would argue 4/1 in 9 weeks time is better value than 7/1 now.
                                It's the NRNB insurance that's swaying you (and others) I think and not her chances of winning the race...
                                She would go 7/2 or shorter if she won the Irish Champion I reckon.
                                She's unbeaten and popular.

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