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Champion Hurdle 2021

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  • Does anyone know who else will likely be running in the ICH apart from Concertista (not sure that has been indicated)? Could do with Saint Roi putting them both in their place...#pockettalk

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    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

      If she wins and does go CH, what price do you think she'd be?

      Bigger than 7/1?
      Apologies I meant I wouldn't back her for the mares hurdle now.
      ​​

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      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

        Worth the 7/1 NRNB do you think then?
        I think it depends whether you actually fancy her to win it or not come March if she were to line up.

        I would take Epatante all day so ew at 7/1 just wouldn't interest me really at this stage.

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        • Originally posted by Rhinestone_Cowboy View Post
          Does anyone know who else will likely be running in the ICH apart from Concertista (not sure that has been indicated)? Could do with Saint Roi putting them both in their place...#pockettalk
          Do we think Concertista will run in the ICH ? I don't.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Crolwey113 View Post

            I think it depends whether you actually fancy her to win it or not come March if she were to line up.

            I would take Epatante all day so ew at 7/1 just wouldn't interest me really at this stage.
            Kind of.... still at this stage for me I still consider will I beat SP

            It makes thinking about whether I fancy the horse easier to assess closer to the time


            I could not fancy her but still think she's got a better chance than 7/1.... it's easy to not fancy her if she's 3/1?

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            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

              Kind of.... still at this stage for me I still consider will I beat SP

              It makes thinking about whether I fancy the horse easier to assess closer to the time


              I could not fancy her but still think she's got a better chance than 7/1.... it's easy to not fancy her if she's 3/1?
              If she wins the ICH well Kev and they confirmed Churdle she'd go around 4/1. Does that help ? I suppose if you don't fancy her to win whatever the outcome of the ICH then I wouldn't bother.

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              • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                If she wins the ICH well Kev and they confirmed Churdle she'd go around 4/1. Does that help ? I suppose if you don't fancy her to win whatever the outcome of the ICH then I wouldn't bother.
                I think I've been fairly consistent all season, I don't think she'll win it BUT I think her ability alone means she will be 'in the mix'.... I can't say confidently 3 horses would finish ahead of her, and as a chump that likes each way, I'd be wanting her backed.

                At the moment (after some back and forth) all I have is a win only free bet or two, where she's an insignificant winner... however, I've got a few weeks before I need to think about it properly.

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                • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                  Kind of.... still at this stage for me I still consider will I beat SP

                  It makes thinking about whether I fancy the horse easier to assess closer to the time


                  I could not fancy her but still think she's got a better chance than 7/1.... it's easy to not fancy her if she's 3/1?
                  Yeh I suppose it you plan on beating the SP & laying or something that's a different story.

                  I would want 10s NRNB to be backing her ew for some slight value , as she could well run into a place but can't see her having the pace to beat an Epatante or even an in form Sharjah.

                  Can't see her winning it so no juice in a 7/1 ew for me where I think I'm playing for places.
                  Whereas a 5/1 ew with for example a BDD in a mres hurdle I could see her winning it and not being out of a place so I think that then at a shorter price would represent value ew.

                  So its more of do I think i'm playing for an ew or an ew I think can actually win if that makes sense

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                    I think I've been fairly consistent all season, I don't think she'll win it BUT I think her ability alone means she will be 'in the mix'.... I can't say confidently 3 horses would finish ahead of her, and as a chump that likes each way, I'd be wanting her backed.

                    At the moment (after some back and forth) all I have is a win only free bet or two, where she's an insignificant winner... however, I've got a few weeks before I need to think about it properly.
                    Who do you think will turn up at the ICH?? That could be very significant indeed with regards where she'll end up at the Fez. Personally I think the ICH field will be weaker than last year.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                      Who do you think will turn up at the ICH?? That could be very significant indeed with regards where she'll end up at the Fez. Personally I think the ICH field will be weaker than last year.
                      The ICH last year was shite. Sharjah underperformed, the rest of the field weren't great and she's just won. I'd be surprised if it weren't a stronger race this year.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Crolwey113 View Post

                        Yeh I suppose it you plan on beating the SP & laying or something that's a different story.

                        I would want 10s NRNB to be backing her ew for some slight value , as she could well run into a place but can't see her having the pace to beat an Epatante or even an in form Sharjah.

                        Can't see her winning it so no juice in a 7/1 ew for me where I think I'm playing for places.
                        Whereas a 5/1 ew with for example a BDD in a mres hurdle I could see her winning it and not being out of a place so I think that then at a shorter price would represent value ew.

                        So its more of do I think i'm playing for an ew or an ew I think can actually win if that makes sense
                        Oh I dunno, she'd be favourite to beat Sharjah wouldn't she? Her ability puts her in with a chance of that. (I've backed Sharjah every year, I do like him) but she's entitled to be fav if they were in a match? (thinking out loud)?

                        Yeah you are right in that a 7/1 each way bet 1/5 isn't going to make a big difference to anyones week really.... it's probably why I've not really bothered doing anything yet with her.

                        If the ICH does look really weak, I might back her with 365 and hope she contracts and assess again later.... there may be an angle there....but run the risk of losing the cashout (like last year...with the 40s!)


                        Yeah makes sense.... let's come back to it in a couple of weeks haha

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by charlie View Post

                          The ICH last year was shite. Sharjah underperformed, the rest of the field weren't great and she's just won. I'd be surprised if it weren't a stronger race this year.
                          Who do you think will turn up though ?

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                          • If I hadn't already backed her and wanted to, I'd jump on 20/1 to win both races . Imo if she wins ICh she runs in English version. If she loses, she goes Mares Hurdle. I personally don't think the ICH will be hard to win as I don't think many of the Irish big guns (are there any ) will run in it. Therefore, I'd take the 20's now as it won't be available when she's odds on in a couple of weeks time. I can't say any fairer than that.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
                              If I hadn't already backed her and wanted to, I'd jump on 20/1 to win both races . Imo if she wins ICh she runs in English version. If she loses, she goes Mares Hurdle. I personally don't think the ICH will be hard to win as I don't think many of the Irish big guns (are there any ) will run in it. Therefore, I'd take the 20's now as it won't be available when she's odds on in a couple of weeks time. I can't say any fairer than that.
                              Who is that special with again Lobos ?

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                              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                                Who is that special with again Lobos ?
                                William Hill I think

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