I've done a Galvin (XC) and Conflated (GC) double at 1065/1. Gordon's comments re Galvin lately do rather imply there's a very genuine chance he goes to the XC. Which got me thinking he must have something else for the GC. charlie posted about Conflated this morning and I think that could be, potentially, the reason why. We know Gigginstown love a GC runner and Conflated has proven himself over 3m against the best winning an Irish GC and finishing a narrow 1l second to a rested Clan in the Betway Bowl. That's good form and he shouldn't be 40/1 in my view.
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Originally posted by Exar Essay View PostI've done a Galvin (XC) and Conflated (GC) double at 1065/1. Gordon's comments re Galvin lately do rather imply there's a very genuine chance he goes to the XC. Which got me thinking he must have something else for the GC. charlie posted about Conflated this morning and I think that could be, potentially, the reason why. We know Gigginstown love a GC runner and Conflated has proven himself over 3m against the best winning an Irish GC and finishing a narrow 1l second to a rested Clan in the Betway Bowl. That's good form and he shouldn't be 40/1 in my view.
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Personally don't think the big 'G' is quite ready yet for the naughty step that is the XCC ! He's got another Good Gold Cup campaign in him this season. He is one of the very best out there winning fresh and can't see today being any different. He'll win comfortably and then move onto his Down Royal target. I'll leave the XCC to Delta Work again next March and then perhaps my beloved Galvin can win it in 2024.
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WPM said after GDM's second to Mighty Potter that GDM was a Grade 1 horse. If thats true then he will be aimed at the BANC and not the NHC. Ramillies runs today in the first at Thurles for the same trainer and owners. Ramillies has good cheltenham experience and will want every single inch of 3m6f around Cheltenham. If GDM gets re-routed, and I use the word 're-routed' because he is a short priced fav for the NHC and for good reason, then perhaps Ramillies could be the super sub? GDM is only 6 turning 7. There is every chance he has improved further and he wouldn't have much more to find on last years BANC effort to be very competitive. Ramillies is the 50/1 leg that is far more speculative, but I've had him in my sights for this race for a long long time. He's by Shantou, huge, 2 decent runs at Cheltenham and for that reason I think the double (B365) at 662/1 is well worth a few quid.
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Originally posted by charlie View PostWPM said after GDM's second to Mighty Potter that GDM was a Grade 1 horse. If thats true then he will be aimed at the BANC and not the NHC. Ramillies runs today in the first at Thurles for the same trainer and owners. Ramillies has good cheltenham experience and will want every single inch of 3m6f around Cheltenham. If GDM gets re-routed, and I use the word 're-routed' because he is a short priced fav for the NHC and for good reason, then perhaps Ramillies could be the super sub? GDM is only 6 turning 7. There is every chance he has improved further and he wouldn't have much more to find on last years BANC effort to be very competitive. Ramillies is the 50/1 leg that is far more speculative, but I've had him in my sights for this race for a long long time. He's by Shantou, huge, 2 decent runs at Cheltenham and for that reason I think the double (B365) at 662/1 is well worth a few quid.
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Originally posted by charlie View PostWPM said after GDM's second to Mighty Potter that GDM was a Grade 1 horse. If thats true then he will be aimed at the BANC and not the NHC. Ramillies runs today in the first at Thurles for the same trainer and owners. Ramillies has good cheltenham experience and will want every single inch of 3m6f around Cheltenham. If GDM gets re-routed, and I use the word 're-routed' because he is a short priced fav for the NHC and for good reason, then perhaps Ramillies could be the super sub? GDM is only 6 turning 7. There is every chance he has improved further and he wouldn't have much more to find on last years BANC effort to be very competitive. Ramillies is the 50/1 leg that is far more speculative, but I've had him in my sights for this race for a long long time. He's by Shantou, huge, 2 decent runs at Cheltenham and for that reason I think the double (B365) at 662/1 is well worth a few quid.
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Originally posted by charlie View PostWPM said after GDM's second to Mighty Potter that GDM was a Grade 1 horse. If thats true then he will be aimed at the BANC and not the NHC. Ramillies runs today in the first at Thurles for the same trainer and owners. Ramillies has good cheltenham experience and will want every single inch of 3m6f around Cheltenham. If GDM gets re-routed, and I use the word 're-routed' because he is a short priced fav for the NHC and for good reason, then perhaps Ramillies could be the super sub? GDM is only 6 turning 7. There is every chance he has improved further and he wouldn't have much more to find on last years BANC effort to be very competitive. Ramillies is the 50/1 leg that is far more speculative, but I've had him in my sights for this race for a long long time. He's by Shantou, huge, 2 decent runs at Cheltenham and for that reason I think the double (B365) at 662/1 is well worth a few quid.
3rd and 2nd in two very decent Grade 1 Novice Chases already and he's still only a 6yo.
Also a Grade 1 winning 5yo Novice Hurdler.
It's normal practice for many, to assume the likes of Gaelic Warrior and Gaillard du Mesnil might not reach those Grade 1 peaks when they are 2nd season novices - as they didn't win a single race of any sort in their debut season.
But, in their case, they are still young novices, in the top yard, and......
Gaelic was put away after Cheltenham and not declared in the Punchestown Grade 1 4yo Hurdle, specifically to try and see if he could be a top Novice hurdler (he had the Punchestown Grade 1 entry).
Gaillard went to the Irish National off a massive 154 rating as a maiden over fences.
(RW Fred did the same, but off 140 the year before).
He could've gone to the Punchestown Grade 1 over 3M and not the Irish National, but Willie ran Capodanno there instead, and he won that well (having been 4th in the BANC, behind Gaillard, in his previous race)
These decisions back in the spring had second season Grade 1 hopes in mind.Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 18 December 2022, 04:00 PM."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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