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Related Doubles (ideas)

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  • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

    To run in the uk like stumptown did.
    He was allocated a Uk mark (including tax)
    then ran and got raised.
    he was taxed once.

    just like any Irish horse that gets entered over here.

    Using the word tax is wrong anyhow.
    they all get a uk mark when they run over here.
    there is no advantage to running over here prior from a handicapping perspective at all
    He was taxed once, beforehand..... the point and angle is the mark AFTER that, is an actual mark that you can work with...as it's relative to actual UK horses!


    You go on to confirm my point..... the angle is, the horses that ran over here are now handicapped to UK, the horses that haven't, we know less about and have to do more guessing. That is an advantage.


    If you get a mark over here but don't run and get a new mark, I agree, no advantage. Running and then getting a new mark is an advantage, you have something to work with.



    Comment


    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

      He was taxed once, beforehand..... the point and angle is the mark AFTER that, is an actual mark that you can work with...as it's relative to actual UK horses!


      You go on to confirm my point..... the angle is, the horses that ran over here are now handicapped to UK, the horses that haven't, we know less about and have to do more guessing. That is an advantage.


      If you get a mark over here but don't run and get a new mark, I agree, no advantage. Running and then getting a new mark is an advantage, you have something to work with.



      Definitely not confirming any point.
      The contentious element for any Irish based horse is the uk handicappers differential from its Irish mark.
      How is the fact he’s ran over here make his mark more reliable than a horse that hasn’t ?

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

        Definitely not confirming any point.
        The contentious element for any Irish based horse is the uk handicappers differential from its Irish mark.
        How is the fact he’s ran over here make his mark more reliable than a horse that hasn’t ?
        Because they literally are then re-assesing based on running against the horses (UK) we know they're running against? How can you possibly think running against a horse and getting a new mark is less important/accurate than not running against it?

        Before that happens, it's just a total guess from their seperate ratings. After the event, they will slot in their 'guess' from before, to what they now feel they know. if they don't do that, how can we have a clue? After it's happened, we can assess what their 'tax/guess' was..... that's it



        Honestly, that is so straight forward I don't know how to continue this.
        Last edited by Kevloaf; 11 March 2023, 11:23 PM.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

          Because they literally are then re-assesing based on running against the horses (UK) we know they're running against? How can you possibly think running against a horse ande getting a new mark is less important than not running against it?

          Before that happens, it's just a total guess from their seperate ratings. After the event, they will slot in their 'guess' from before to what they now feel they know.



          Honestly, that is so straight forward I don't know how to continue this.
          All Irish horses are given a uk rating.
          this can be lenient or harsh
          Running from this starting point over here and getting a hike is no advantage. It doesn’t mean the starting pint was more lenient or more harsh than others.

          I agree we could go on all night and so it’s best that we agree that I’m right.
          Because I most definitely am.

          on my phone so no emojis- lol

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

            All Irish horses are given a uk rating.
            this can be lenient or harsh
            Running from this starting point over here and getting a hike is no advantage. It doesn’t mean the starting pint was more lenient or more harsh than others.

            I agree we could go on all night and so it’s best that we agree that I’m right.
            Because I most definitely am.

            on my phone so no emojis- lol
            All Irish horses are given a uk rating. - yes, I know
            this can be lenient or harsh - yes, I agree
            Running from this starting point over here and getting a hike is no advantage. It doesn’t mean the starting pint was more lenient or more harsh than others. - still agree

            I agree we could go on all night and so it’s best that we agree that I’m right. -
            Because I most definitely am.




            Right..... whatever they were before, harsh or lenient, becomes irrelevant, as they they get assessed relative to the UK horses.... so if they WERE well in, and now aren't, or the opposite, that's FINE.... my point is, they are now 'relative' for us to actually make a decision on.


            Before they do this, it is not relative and therefore we are guessing at if they're well in or not. After, it is relative, and therefore we can make a decision. That makes it more reliable than if a horse has not ran over here.



            Don't worry about the emojis, I know we won't fall out... and this will be my last post on it because I cannot possibly explain my point any clearer - whether you agree or not

            Comment


            • Fantaastikas ultima
              beauport Kim Muir

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                Danny Mullins can't be out the places can he on Day One?


                Il Etait Temps 6/1
                Dysart Dynamo 5/1
                Vauban 12/1
                Shewearsitwell 20/1
                Sir Allen 10/1


                Gets progressively harder through the day, but he could be riding with Supreme confidence after the first....

                126125/1
                As the Cheltenham Festival approaches, some of the leading Irish connections have given their thoughts on their entries for the week, including Henry de Brom...


                18 mins 30 in ...... Danny certainly wouldn't put you off​

                Comment


                • Luca Morgan / Ben Pauling each way double
                  Samuel Spade
                  Global Citizen

                  608/1 with WH, 545/1 elsewhere

                  Comment


                  • ….NTD double:

                    Fantastikas (Ultima)
                    Beauport (KM)

                    275-1.

                    Comment


                    • Doctor Dino EW Double/Treble for day 1

                      Doctor Bravo - Supreme
                      State Man - Champion Hurdle (Optional)
                      Jazzy Matty - Boodles

                      Double (Excluding State Man): 356/1

                      Treble: 1544/1

                      Both prices available with multiple bookmakers according to odds checker.

                      You could also have Tekao in the Boodles by Doctor Dino but the above suggested as an EW double would be more interesting to me.

                      Comment


                      • ….reported that apprentice Ben Harvey booked for two handicap rides;

                        Fil Dor (Coral Cup)
                        Anna Bunina (County Hurdle)

                        866-1 with PP.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                          ….reported that apprentice Ben Harvey booked for two handicap rides;

                          Fil Dor (Coral Cup)
                          Anna Bunina (County Hurdle)

                          866-1 with PP.
                          He's on Coeur Sublime Wednesday* as well
                          Last edited by Kevloaf; 13 March 2023, 03:03 PM.

                          Comment


                          • While we looking at Fil Dor related multiples, maybe throw in a Doctor Bravo Supreme, Fil Dor Coral, Sharjah County treble for good measure lol
                            Long bitcoin, long gold, long silver, long g/s opening day Cheltenham Festival

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                              ….NTD double:

                              Fantastikas (Ultima)
                              Beauport (KM)

                              275-1.
                              Really like that one eggs, fant just needs the soft and beaus chase mark is still below his hurdles one...

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Brooksie View Post
                                While we looking at Fil Dor related multiples, maybe throw in a Doctor Bravo Supreme, Fil Dor Coral, Sharjah County treble for good measure lol
                                Yep, been mentioned, like that one

                                Comment

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